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While machine learning has witnessed significant advancements, the emphasis has largely been on data acquisition and model creation. However, achieving a comprehensive assessment of machine learning solutions in real-world settings…

Spatio-temporal forecasting is essential for real-world applications such as traffic management and urban computing. Although recent methods have shown improved accuracy, they often fail to account for dynamic deviations between current…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-07 Haotian Gao , Zheng Dong , Jiawei Yong , Shintaro Fukushima , Kenjiro Taura , Renhe Jiang

The adaptation of large language models (LLMs) to time series forecasting poses unique challenges, as time series data is continuous in nature, while LLMs operate on discrete tokens. Despite the success of LLMs in natural language…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-08-05 Taibiao Zhao , Xiaobing Chen , Mingxuan Sun

Correlated time series (CTS) forecasting plays an essential role in many practical applications, such as traffic management and server load control. Many deep learning models have been proposed to improve the accuracy of CTS forecasting.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-28 Zhichen Lai , Dalin Zhang , Huan Li , Christian S. Jensen , Hua Lu , Yan Zhao

Time-series forecasting has seen significant advancements with the introduction of token prediction mechanisms such as multi-head attention. However, these methods often struggle to achieve the same performance as in language modeling,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-03 Panayiotis Christou , Shichu Chen , Xupeng Chen , Parijat Dube

Recently the deep learning has shown its advantage in representation learning and clustering for time series data. Despite the considerable progress, the existing deep time series clustering approaches mostly seek to train the deep neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-02 Ying Zhong , Dong Huang , Chang-Dong Wang

This study introduces a deep learning-based framework for forecasting weather-related traffic crash risk using heterogeneous spatiotemporal data. Given the complex, non-linear relationship between crash occurrence and factors such as road…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-03-06 Abimbola Ogungbire , Srinivas Pulugurtha

The rapid growth of location-based services (LBS) has yielded massive amounts of data on human mobility. Effectively extracting meaningful representations for user-generated check-in sequences is pivotal for facilitating various downstream…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-26 Letian Gong , Huaiyu Wan , Shengnan Guo , Xiucheng Li , Yan Lin , Erwen Zheng , Tianyi Wang , Zeyu Zhou , Youfang Lin

Time series forecasting is important in finance domain. Financial time series (TS) patterns are influenced by both short-term public opinions and medium-/long-term policy and market trends. Hence, processing multi-period inputs becomes…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2026-02-03 Xu Zhang , Zhengang Huang , Yunzhi Wu , Xun Lu , Erpeng Qi , Yunkai Chen , Zhongya Xue , Qitong Wang , Peng Wang , Wei Wang

Temporal Graph Learning, which aims to model the time-evolving nature of graphs, has gained increasing attention and achieved remarkable performance recently. However, in reality, graph structures are often incomplete and noisy, which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-16 Haozhen Zhang , Xueting Han , Xi Xiao , Jing Bai

Recent deep learning models for Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF) often emphasize complex, handcrafted designs, while simpler architectures like linear models or MLPs have often outperformed these intricate solutions. In this paper,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-26 Yihang Lu , Yangyang Xu , Qitao Qing , Xianwei Meng

Deep learning has achieved strong performance in Time Series Forecasting (TSF). However, we identify a critical representation paradox, termed Latent Chaos: models with accurate predictions often learn latent representations that are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-13 Jie Yang , Yifan Hu , Yuante Li , Kexin Zhang , Kaize Ding , Philip S. Yu

While previous research in multivariate time series forecasting has focused on developing complex holistic models, this work advocates for a shift toward a granular, component-level understanding of their impacts. We propose TSCOMP, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-27 Shuang Liang , Chaochuan Hou , Xu Yao , Shiping Wang , Hailiang Huang , Songqiao Han , Minqi Jiang

Time Series Forecasting (TSF) faces persistent challenges in modeling intricate temporal dependencies across different scales. Despite recent advances leveraging different decomposition operations and novel architectures based on CNN, MLP…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-24 Haonan Yang , Jianchao Tang , Zhuo Li , Long Lan

In recent work on time-series prediction, Transformers and even large language models have garnered significant attention due to their strong capabilities in sequence modeling. However, in practical deployments, time-series prediction often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-17 Wenxuan Xie , Fanpu Cao

Applying machine learning models to meteorological data brings many opportunities to the Geosciences field, such as predicting future weather conditions more accurately. In recent years, modeling meteorological data with deep neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-11 Rafaela Castro , Yania M. Souto , Eduardo Ogasawara , Fabio Porto , Eduardo Bezerra

Accurate forecasting of sequential data streams is a cornerstone of modern Web services, supporting applications such as traffic management, user behavior modeling, and online anomaly prevention. However, in many Web environments, new…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-02 Shichao Ma , Zhengyang Zhou , Qihe Huang , Binwu Wang , Yang Wang

Time series forecasting is a long-standing and highly challenging research topic. Recently, driven by the rise of large language models (LLMs), research has increasingly shifted from purely time series methods toward harnessing textual…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Shiqiao Zhou , Holger Schöner , Huanbo Lyu , Edouard Fouché , Shuo Wang

Deep learning has been actively studied for time series forecasting, and the mainstream paradigm is based on the end-to-end training of neural network architectures, ranging from classical LSTM/RNNs to more recent TCNs and Transformers.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-06 Gerald Woo , Chenghao Liu , Doyen Sahoo , Akshat Kumar , Steven Hoi

Sufficiently modeling the correlations among variables (aka channels) is crucial for achieving accurate multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF). In this paper, we propose a novel technique called Temporal Query (TQ) to more effectively…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-12 Shengsheng Lin , Haojun Chen , Haijie Wu , Chunyun Qiu , Weiwei Lin