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Time-series forecasting in real-world applications such as finance and energy often faces challenges due to limited training data and complex, noisy temporal dynamics. Existing deep forecasting models typically supervise predictions using…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-14 Jiacheng You , Jingcheng Yang , Yuhang Xie , Zhongxuan Wu , Xiucheng Li , Feng Li , Pengjie Wang , Jian Xu , Bo Zheng , Xinyang Chen

In modern financial markets, investors increasingly seek personalized and adaptive portfolio strategies that reflect their individual risk preferences and respond to dynamic market conditions. Traditional rule-based or static optimization…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-16 Bangyu Li , Boping Gu , Ziyang Ding

The stock market is a network which provides a platform for almost all major economic transactions. While investing in the stock market is a good idea, investing in individual stocks may not be, especially for the casual investor. Smart…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-08-30 Om Mane , Saravanakumar kandasamy

Text-based financial networks are increasingly used to study cross-stock return predictability. A common approach constructs links from similarities in firms' disclosure embeddings, but such networks often contain spurious edges because…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2026-04-28 Yikuan Huang , Zheqi Fan , Kaiqi Hu , Yifan Ye

Prediction of future movement of stock prices has always been a challenging task for the researchers. While the advocates of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) believe that it is impossible to design any predictive framework that can…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-09-03 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen

Automated feature engineering plays a critical role in improving predictive model performance for tabular learning tasks. Traditional automated feature engineering methods are limited by their reliance on pre-defined transformations within…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Nikhil Abhyankar , Parshin Shojaee , Chandan K. Reddy

The stock market prediction has always been crucial for stakeholders, traders and investors. We developed an ensemble Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) model that includes two-time frequencies (annual and daily parameters) in order to predict…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-01-13 Zineb Lanbouri , Saaid Achchab

In this work, we apply machine learning techniques to historical stock prices to forecast future prices. To achieve this, we use recursive approaches that are appropriate for handling time series data. In particular, we apply a linear…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-02-08 Ogulcan E. Orsel , Sasha S. Yamada

The increasing richness in volume, and especially types of data in the financial domain provides unprecedented opportunities to understand the stock market more comprehensively and makes the price prediction more accurate than before.…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2018-05-16 Huiwen Wang , Shan Lu , Jichang Zhao

Stock price prediction is a rich research topic that has attracted interest from various areas of science. The recent success of machine learning in speech and image recognition has prompted researchers to apply these methods to asset price…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2020-09-22 Firuz Kamalov

Prior research shows that large language models (LLMs) exhibit systematic extrapolation bias when forming predictions from both experimental and real-world data, and that prompt-based approaches appear limited in alleviating this bias. We…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2026-05-05 Zhenyu Gao , Wenxi Jiang , Yutong Yan

Stock market prediction has been an active area of research for a considerable period. Arrival of computing, followed by Machine Learning has upgraded the speed of research as well as opened new avenues. As part of this research study, we…

This paper introduces a methodology leveraging Large Language Models (LLMs) for sector-level portfolio allocation through systematic analysis of macroeconomic conditions and market sentiment. Our framework emphasizes top-down sector…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-04-11 Ryan Quek Wei Heng , Edoardo Vittori , Keane Ong , Rui Mao , Erik Cambria , Gianmarco Mengaldo

Alpha signals for statistical arbitrage strategies are often driven by latent factors. This paper analyses how to optimally trade with latent factors that cause prices to jump and diffuse. Moreover, we account for the effect of the trader's…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2018-06-13 Philippe Casgrain , Sebastian Jaimungal

Opinions expressed in online finance-related textual data are having an increasingly profound impact on trading decisions and market movements. This trend highlights the vital role of sentiment analysis as a tool for quantifying the nature…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-07-25 Giorgos Iacovides , Wuyang Zhou , Danilo Mandic

Large language models (LLMs) fine-tuned on multimodal financial data have demonstrated impressive reasoning capabilities in various financial tasks. However, they often struggle with multi-step, goal-oriented scenarios in interactive…

Recent Transformer-based large language models (LLMs) demonstrate in-context learning ability to perform various functions based solely on the provided context, without updating model parameters. To fully utilize the in-context capabilities…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-06 Jiecheng Lu , Yan Sun , Shihao Yang

The integration of Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques, particularly large language models (LLMs), in finance has garnered increasing academic attention. Despite progress, existing studies predominantly focus on tasks like financial…

Large language models (LLMs) have drastically changed the possible ways to design intelligent systems, shifting the focuses from massive data acquisition and new modeling training to human alignment and strategical elicitation of the full…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-08-15 Frank Xing

LLMs are ideal for decision-making thanks to their ability to reason over long contexts. However, challenges arise when processing speech transcripts that describe complex scenarios, as they are verbose and include repetition, hedging, and…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-07-18 Yebowen Hu , Xiaoyang Wang , Wenlin Yao , Yiming Lu , Daoan Zhang , Hassan Foroosh , Dong Yu , Fei Liu