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This study establishes the consistency of Bayesian adaptive testing methods under the Rasch model, addressing a gap in the literature on their large-sample guarantees. Although Bayesian approaches are recognized for their finite-sample…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-11 Hau-Hung Yang , Chia-Min Wei , Yu-Chang Chen

We present a conformal inference method for constructing lower prediction bounds for survival times from right-censored data, extending recent approaches designed for more restrictive type-I censoring scenarios. The proposed method imputes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-26 Matteo Sesia , Vladimir Svetnik

Non-parametric maximum likelihood estimation encompasses a group of classic methods to estimate distribution-associated functions from potentially censored and truncated data, with extensive applications in survival analysis. These methods,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-05 Justin D. Tubbs , Lane Guolan Chen , Thuan Quoc Thach , Pak C. Sham

A Bayesian non-parametric framework for studying time-to-event data is proposed, where the prior distribution is allowed to depend on an additional random source, and may update with the sample size. Such scenarios are natural, for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-06 Martin Bladt , Jorge González Cázares

Test-time alignment of large language models (LLMs) attracts attention because fine-tuning LLMs requires high computational costs. In this paper, we propose a new test-time alignment method called adaptive importance sampling on pre-logits…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-13 Sekitoshi Kanai , Tsukasa Yoshida , Hiroshi Takahashi , Haru Kuroki , Kazumune Hashimoto

In this paper, a Bayesian accelerated life testing model is presented. The Weibull distribution is used as the life distribution and the generalised Eyring model as the time transformation function. This is a model that allows for the use…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-30 Neill Smit , Lizanne Raubenheimer

Despite strong performance in many sequence-to-sequence tasks, autoregressive models trained with maximum likelihood estimation suffer from exposure bias, i.e. the discrepancy between the ground-truth prefixes used during training and the…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-01-11 Michalis Korakakis , Andreas Vlachos

In the sparse normal means model, coverage of adaptive Bayesian posterior credible sets associated to spike and slab prior distributions is considered. The key sparsity hyperparameter is calibrated via marginal maximum likelihood empirical…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-02-05 Ismael Castillo , Botond Szabo

When dealing with right-censored data, where some outcomes are missing due to a limited observation period, survival analysis -- known as time-to-event analysis -- focuses on predicting the time until an event of interest occurs. Multiple…

Accelerated life tests (ALTs) play a crucial role in reliability analyses, providing lifetime estimates of highly reliable products. Among ALTs, step-stress design increases the stress level at predefined times, while maintaining a constant…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-02-12 Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan , María Jaenada , Leandro Pardo

Survival analysis provides a powerful statistical framework for modeling time-to-event outcomes in the presence of censoring. However, selecting an appropriate estimator from the many specialized survival approaches often requires…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-18 Shi-ang Qi , Vahid Balazadeh , Michael Cooper , Russell Greiner , Rahul G. Krishnan

Bayesian adaptive designs enable flexible clinical trials by adapting features based on accumulating data. Among these, Bayesian Response-Adaptive Randomization (BRAR) skews patient allocation towards more promising treatments based on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-05 Daniel Kaddaj , Stef Baas , Edwin Y. N. Tang , David S. Robertson , Lukas Pin , Sofía S. Villar

Sample selection models are a widely used approach for correcting bias caused by data that are missing not at random. Their formulation requires specifying the variables that influence the outcome and those that drive the selection process.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-03-25 Adam J. Iqbal , Emmanuel O. Ogundimu , F. Javier Rubio

Parameter estimates for associated genetic variants, report ed in the initial discovery samples, are often grossly inflated compared to the values observed in the follow-up replication samples. This type of bias is a consequence of the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-04-15 Lizhen Xu , Radu V. Craiu , Lei Sun

Accelerated life-tests (ALTs) are used for inferring lifetime characteristics of highly reliable products. In particular, step-stress ALTs increase the stress level at which units under test are subject at certain pre-fixed times, thus…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-02-12 Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan , Maria Jaenada , Leandro Pardo

The use of Bayesian adaptive designs for randomised controlled trials has been hindered by the lack of software readily available to statisticians. We have developed a new software package (Bayesian Adaptive Trials Simulator Software -…

A comprehensive, unified approach to modeling arbitrarily censored spatial survival data is presented for the three most commonly-used semiparametric models: proportional hazards, proportional odds, and accelerated failure time. Unlike many…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-07-04 Haiming Zhou , Timothy Hanson

This paper proposes a general adaptive procedure for budget-limited predictor design in high dimensions called two-stage Sampling, Prediction and Adaptive Regression via Correlation Screening (SPARCS). SPARCS can be applied to high…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-11-18 Hamed Firouzi , Alfred Hero , Bala Rajaratnam

We propose a novel adaptive empirical Bayesian method for sparse deep learning, where the sparsity is ensured via a class of self-adaptive spike-and-slab priors. The proposed method works by alternatively sampling from an adaptive…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-04-15 Wei Deng , Xiao Zhang , Faming Liang , Guang Lin

This paper presents simple and efficient methods to mitigate sampling bias in active learning while achieving state-of-the-art accuracy and model robustness. We introduce supervised contrastive active learning by leveraging the contrastive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-15 Ranganath Krishnan , Alok Sinha , Nilesh Ahuja , Mahesh Subedar , Omesh Tickoo , Ravi Iyer