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Bayesian inference for stochastic volatility models using MCMC methods highly depends on actual parameter values in terms of sampling efficiency. While draws from the posterior utilizing the standard centered parameterization break down…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-08 Gregor Kastner , Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter

We consider the efficient use of an approximation within Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), with subsequent importance sampling (IS) correction of the Markov chain inexact output, leading to asymptotically exact inference. We detail…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-04-15 Jordan Franks

The sampling efficiency of MCMC methods in Bayesian inference for stochastic volatility (SV) models is known to highly depend on the actual parameter values, and the effectiveness of samplers based on different parameterizations varies…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-12-02 Darjus Hosszejni , Gregor Kastner

Among Monte Carlo techniques, the importance sampling requires fine tuning of a proposal distribution, which is now fluently resolved through iterative schemes. The Adaptive Multiple Importance Sampling (AMIS) of Cornuet et al. (2012)…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-05-27 Jean-Michel Marin , Pierre Pudlo , Mohammed Sedki

In Bayesian statistics, many problems can be expressed as the evaluation of the expectation of a quantity of interest with respect to the posterior distribution. Standard Monte Carlo method is often not applicable because the encountered…

统计计算 · 统计学 2011-10-11 James L. Beck , Konstantin M. Zuev

Multidimensional scaling (MDS) is widely used to reconstruct a low-dimensional representation of high-dimensional data while preserving pairwise distances. However, Bayesian MDS approaches based on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) face…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-26 Jiarui Zhang , Jiguo Cao , Liangliang Wang

We discuss efficient Bayesian estimation of dynamic covariance matrices in multivariate time series through a factor stochastic volatility model. In particular, we propose two interweaving strategies (Yu and Meng, Journal of Computational…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-08-07 Gregor Kastner , Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter , Hedibert Freitas Lopes

We propose SYNCE (synchronized step correlation enhancement), a new algorithm for coupling Markov chains within multilevel Markov chain Monte Carlo (ML-MCMC) estimators. We apply this algorithm to solve Bayesian inverse problems using…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-02-03 Sanjan C. Muchandimath , Alex A. Gorodetsky

We analyze the optimized adaptive importance sampler (OAIS) for performing Monte Carlo integration with general proposals. We leverage a classical result which shows that the bias and the mean-squared error (MSE) of the importance sampling…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-01-30 Ömer Deniz Akyildiz

We propose a very fast approximate Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling framework that is applicable to a large class of sparse Bayesian inference problems, where the computational cost per iteration in several models is of order…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-08-17 Yves Atchadé , Liwei Wang

Bayesian inference promises to ground and improve the performance of deep neural networks. It promises to be robust to overfitting, to simplify the training procedure and the space of hyperparameters, and to provide a calibrated measure of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-08-12 Jonathan Heek , Nal Kalchbrenner

Bayesian model selection enables comparison and ranking of conceptual subsurface models described by spatial prior models, according to the support provided by available geophysical data. Deep generative neural networks can efficiently…

地球物理 · 物理学 2021-05-19 M. Amaya , N. Linde , E. Laloy

Adaptive importance sampling (AIS) methods are increasingly used for the approximation of distributions and related intractable integrals in the context of Bayesian inference. Population Monte Carlo (PMC) algorithms are a subclass of AIS…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-06-08 Víctor Elvira , Émilie Chouzenoux

The Effective Sample Size (ESS) and Integrated Autocorrelation Time (IACT) are two popular criteria for comparing Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms and detecting their convergence. Our goal is to assess those two quantities in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-27 Lucas Seiffert , Felipe Pereira

This paper introduces a framework for speeding up Bayesian inference conducted in presence of large datasets. We design a Markov chain whose transition kernel uses an (unknown) fraction of (fixed size) of the available data that is randomly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-01 Florian Maire , Nial Friel , Pierre Alquier

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are commonly used for their versatility in sampling from complicated probability distributions. However, as the dimension of the distribution gets larger, the computational costs for a satisfactory…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2020-12-01 Hector J. Hortua , Riccardo Volpi , Dimitri Marinelli , Luigi Malago

Monte Carlo sampling methods are the standard procedure for approximating complicated integrals of multidimensional posterior distributions in Bayesian inference. In this work, we focus on the class of Layered Adaptive Importance Sampling…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-07-08 F. Llorente , E. Curbelo , L. Martino , V. Elvira , D. Delgado

Annealed Sequential Monte Carlo (ASMC) samplers are special cases of SMC samplers where the sequence of distributions can be embedded in a smooth path of distributions. Using this underlying path and a performance model based on the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-12-03 Saifuddin Syed , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Kevin Chern , Arnaud Doucet

In many problems, complex non-Gaussian and/or nonlinear models are required to accurately describe a physical system of interest. In such cases, Monte Carlo algorithms are remarkably flexible and extremely powerful approaches to solve such…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-04-23 Thi Le Thu Nguyen , Francois Septier , Gareth W. Peters , Yves Delignon

Stochastic approximation Monte Carlo (SAMC) has recently been proposed by Liang, Liu and Carroll [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 102 (2007) 305--320] as a general simulation and optimization algorithm. In this paper, we propose to improve its…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-08-26 Faming Liang
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