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Irregularly sampled multivariate time series (ISMTS) are prevalent in reality. Most existing methods treat ISMTS as synchronized regularly sampled time series with missing values, neglecting that the irregularities are primarily attributed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-03 Jiexi Liu , Meng Cao , Songcan Chen

Regression problems with time-series predictors are common in banking and many other areas of application. In this paper, we use multi-head attention networks to develop interpretable features and use them to achieve good predictive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-26 Tianjie Wang , Jie Chen , Joel Vaughan , Vijayan N. Nair

In many real-world scenarios, distribution shifts exist in the streaming data across time steps. Many complex sequential data can be effectively divided into distinct regimes that exhibit persistent dynamics. Discovering the shifted…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-07 Weijieying Ren , Tianxiang Zhao , Wei Qin , Kunpeng Liu

In multivariate time series systems, lead-lag relationships reveal dependencies between time series when they are shifted in time relative to each other. Uncovering such relationships is valuable in downstream tasks, such as control,…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-09-19 Yichi Zhang , Mihai Cucuringu , Alexander Y. Shestopaloff , Stefan Zohren

Causal discovery, i.e., inferring underlying causal relationships from observational data, is highly challenging for AI systems. In a time series modeling context, traditional causal discovery methods mainly consider constrained scenarios…

Despite the notable advancements in numerous Transformer-based models, the task of long multi-horizon time series forecasting remains a persistent challenge, especially towards explainability. Focusing on commonly used saliency maps in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-18 Nghia Duong-Trung , Duc-Manh Nguyen , Danh Le-Phuoc

Medical time series data, such as EEG and ECG, are vital for diagnosing neurological and cardiovascular diseases. However, their precise interpretation faces significant challenges due to high annotation costs, leading to data scarcity, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-13 Kaito Tanaka , Aya Nakayama , Masato Ito , Yuji Nishimura , Keisuke Matsuda

This study proposes Structural Gating and Effect-aligned Discovery for Temporal Causal Discovery (SGED-TCD), a novel and general framework for lag-resolved causal discovery in complex multivariate time series. SGED-TCD combines explicit…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-14 Rui Chen , Jinsong Wu

Asynchronous Time Series is a multivariate time series where all the channels are observed asynchronously-independently, making the time series extremely sparse when aligning them. We often observe this effect in applications with complex…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-25 Vijaya Krishna Yalavarthi , Johannes Burchert , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

Recurrent neural nets (RNN) and convolutional neural nets (CNN) are widely used on NLP tasks to capture the long-term and local dependencies, respectively. Attention mechanisms have recently attracted enormous interest due to their highly…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2017-11-22 Tao Shen , Tianyi Zhou , Guodong Long , Jing Jiang , Shirui Pan , Chengqi Zhang

Deepfakes have emerged as a significant threat to digital media authenticity, increasing the need for advanced detection techniques that can identify subtle and time-dependent manipulations. CNNs are effective at capturing spatial artifacts…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-03-17 Aryan Thakre , Omkar Nagwekar , Vedang Talekar , Aparna Santra Biswas

Long-context models are essential for many applications but face inefficiencies in loading large KV caches during decoding. Prior methods enforce fixed token budgets for sparse attention, assuming a set number of tokens can approximate full…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-19 Kan Zhu , Tian Tang , Qinyu Xu , Yile Gu , Zhichen Zeng , Rohan Kadekodi , Liangyu Zhao , Ang Li , Arvind Krishnamurthy , Baris Kasikci

Multivariate time series have many applications, from healthcare and meteorology to life science. Although deep learning models have shown excellent predictive performance for time series, they have been criticised for being "black-boxes"…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-06 Qiqi Su , Christos Kloukinas , Artur d'Avila Garcez

Multimodal sarcasm detection, which aims to precisely identify pragmatic incongruities between literal text and nonverbal cues, has gained substantial attention in multimodal understanding. Recent advancements have predominantly relied on…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-05-05 Maoheng Li , Ling Zhou , Xiaohua Huang , Rubing Huang , Wenming Zheng , Guoying Zhao

This paper addresses a gap in the current state of the art by providing a solution for modeling causal relationships that evolve over time and occur at different time scales. Specifically, we introduce the multiscale non-stationary directed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-21 Gabriele D'Acunto , Gianmarco De Francisci Morales , Paolo Bajardi , Francesco Bonchi

Robust causal discovery in time series datasets depends on reliable benchmark datasets with known ground-truth causal relationships. However, such datasets remain scarce, and existing synthetic alternatives often overlook critical temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-03 Muhammad Hasan Ferdous , Emam Hossain , Md Osman Gani

There is an abundance of complex dynamic systems that are critical to our daily lives and our society but that are hardly understood, and even with today's possibilities to sense and collect large amounts of experimental data, they are so…

Understanding causal dependencies in observational data is critical for informing decision-making. These relationships are often modeled as Bayesian Networks (BNs) and Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs). Existing methods, such as NOTEARS and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-03 Hao Zhu , Di Zhou , Donna Slonim

Causal discovery from time-series data has been a central task in machine learning. Recently, Granger causality inference is gaining momentum due to its good explainability and high compatibility with emerging deep neural networks. However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-16 Yuxiao Cheng , Runzhao Yang , Tingxiong Xiao , Zongren Li , Jinli Suo , Kunlun He , Qionghai Dai

Causal discovery is a data-driven paradigm for analyzing complex systems, while physics-based models, such as ordinary differential equations (ODEs), provide mechanistic structure for real-world dynamical processes. Integrating these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-21 Jianhong Chen , Naichen Shi , Xubo Yue