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相关论文: Normalizing Flow to Augmented Posterior: Condition…

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Density regression provides a flexible strategy for modeling the distribution of a response variable $Y$ given predictors $\mathbf{X}=(X_1,\ldots,X_p)$ by letting that the conditional density of $Y$ given $\mathbf{X}$ as a completely…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-07 Weining Shen , Subhashis Ghosal

Normalizing Flows (NFs) are able to model complicated distributions p(y) with strong inter-dimensional correlations and high multimodality by transforming a simple base density p(z) through an invertible neural network under the change of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-14 Christina Winkler , Daniel Worrall , Emiel Hoogeboom , Max Welling

Conditional Density Estimation (CDE) models deal with estimating conditional distributions. The conditions imposed on the distribution are the inputs of the model. CDE is a challenging task as there is a fundamental trade-off between model…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-31 Vincent Dutordoir , Hugh Salimbeni , Marc Deisenroth , James Hensman

We present Causal Posterior Estimation (CPE), a novel method for Bayesian inference in simulator models, i.e., models where the evaluation of the likelihood function is intractable or too computationally expensive, but where one can…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-28 Simon Dirmeier , Antonietta Mira

The vast majority of the neural network literature focuses on predicting point values for a given set of response variables, conditioned on a feature vector. In many cases we need to model the full joint conditional distribution over the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-06-09 Wesley Tansey , Karl Pichotta , James G. Scott

Conditional density estimation (CDE) is the task of estimating the probability of an event conditioned on some inputs. A neural network (NN) can also be used to compute the output distribution for continuous-domain, which can be viewed as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-30 Bing Chen , Mazharul Islam , Jisuo Gao , Lin Wang

Modeling complex conditional distributions is critical in a variety of settings. Despite a long tradition of research into conditional density estimation, current methods employ either simple parametric forms or are difficult to learn in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-02-15 Brian L Trippe , Richard E Turner

Arbitrary conditioning is an important problem in unsupervised learning, where we seek to model the conditional densities $p(\mathbf{x}_u \mid \mathbf{x}_o)$ that underly some data, for all possible non-intersecting subsets $o, u \subset…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-15 Ryan R. Strauss , Junier B. Oliva

Conformal prediction provides a distribution-free framework for uncertainty quantification via prediction sets with exact finite-sample coverage. In low dimensions these sets are easy to interpret, but in high-dimensional or structured…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-08 Trevor Harris

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is typically used when the likelihood is either unavailable or intractable but where data can be simulated under different parameter settings using a forward model. Despite the recent interest in ABC,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-12-24 Rafael Izbicki , Ann B. Lee , Taylor Pospisil

Given a set of empirical observations, conditional density estimation aims to capture the statistical relationship between a conditional variable $\mathbf{x}$ and a dependent variable $\mathbf{y}$ by modeling their conditional probability…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-04-16 Jonas Rothfuss , Fabio Ferreira , Simon Walther , Maxim Ulrich

Many systems in physics, engineering, and biology exhibit multiscale stochastic dynamics, where low-dimensional slow variables evolve under the influence of high-dimensional fast processes. In practice, observations are often limited to a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Anan Saha , Arnab Ganguly

We propose a way of transforming the problem of conditional density estimation into a single nonparametric regression task via the introduction of auxiliary samples. This allows leveraging regression methods that work well in high…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-25 Alexander G. Reisach , Olivier Collier , Alex Luedtke , Antoine Chambaz

Conditional density estimation (CDE) is a fundamental task in machine learning that aims to model the full conditional law $\mathbb{P}(\mathbf{y} \mid \mathbf{x})$, beyond mere point prediction (e.g., mean, mode). A core challenge is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-27 Chenglong Song , Mazharul Islam , Lin Wang , Bing Chen , Bo Yang

It is now practically the norm for data to be very high dimensional in areas such as genetics, machine vision, image analysis and many others. When analyzing such data, parametric models are often too inflexible while nonparametric…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-05-31 Abhishek Bhattacharya , Garritt Page , David Dunson

Modelling statistical relationships beyond the conditional mean is crucial in many settings. Conditional density estimation (CDE) aims to learn the full conditional probability density from data. Though highly expressive, neural network…

We propose a novel and computationally efficient approach for nonparametric conditional density estimation in high-dimensional settings that achieves dimension reduction without imposing restrictive distributional or functional form…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-14 Jianhua Mei , Fu Ouyang , Thomas T. Yang

Regression aims at estimating the conditional mean of output given input. However, regression is not informative enough if the conditional density is multimodal, heteroscedastic, and asymmetric. In such a case, estimating the conditional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-04-29 Voot Tangkaratt , Ning Xie , Masashi Sugiyama

Normalizing flow (NF) has gained popularity over traditional maximum likelihood based methods due to its strong capability to model complex data distributions. However, the standard approach, which maps the observed data to a normal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-22 Hanze Dong , Shizhe Diao , Weizhong Zhang , Tong Zhang

Modeling distributions of covariates, or density estimation, is a core challenge in unsupervised learning. However, the majority of work only considers the joint distribution, which has limited utility in practical situations. A more…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-28 Ryan R. Strauss , Junier B. Oliva
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