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We propose a doubly robust inference method for causal effects of continuous treatment variables, under unconfoundedness and with nonparametric or high-dimensional nuisance functions. Our double debiased machine learning (DML) estimators…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-10-02 Kyle Colangelo , Ying-Ying Lee

The double/debiased machine learning (DML) framework has become a cornerstone of modern causal inference, allowing researchers to utilise flexible machine learning models for the estimation of nuisance functions without introducing…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-19 Charles Shaw

We establish a general statistical optimality theory for estimation problems where the target parameter is a linear functional of an unknown nuisance component that must be estimated from data. This formulation covers many causal and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-06 Jikai Jin , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Doubly robust estimators are widely used for estimating average treatment effects and other linear summaries of regression functions. While consistency requires only one of two nuisance functions to be estimated consistently, asymptotic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-01 Lars van der Laan , Alex Luedtke , Marco Carone

Average treatment effect estimation is the most central problem in causal inference with application to numerous disciplines. While many estimation strategies have been proposed in the literature, the statistical optimality of these methods…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-10 Jikai Jin , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Confounding bias is a key challenge in causal effect estimation from observational data. Double Machine Learning (DML) addresses this issue by estimating treatment and outcome nuisance functions, constructing treatment and outcome…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Guodu Xiang , Kui Yu , Yujie Wang , Richang Hong , Fuyuan Cao , Jiye Liang

When studying treatment effects in multilevel studies, investigators commonly use (semi-)parametric estimators, which make strong parametric assumptions about the outcome, the treatment, and/or the correlation structure between study units…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-12 Chan Park , Hyunseung Kang

Proximal causal learning is a promising framework for identifying the causal effect under the existence of unmeasured confounders. Within this framework, the doubly robust (DR) estimator was derived and has shown its effectiveness in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-12 Yong Wu , Yanwei Fu , Shouyan Wang , Xinwei Sun

We study inference on a low-dimensional functional $\beta$ in the presence of infinite-dimensional nuisance parameters. Classical inferential methods are typically based on Wald intervals, whose large-sample validity rests on asymptotic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-24 Mengchu Zheng , Matteo Bonvini , Zijian Guo

Many practical decision-making problems in economics and healthcare seek to estimate the average treatment effect (ATE) from observational data. The Double/Debiased Machine Learning (DML) is one of the prevalent methods to estimate ATE in…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-12-07 Yiyan Huang , Cheuk Hang Leung , Xing Yan , Qi Wu , Shumin Ma , Zhiri Yuan , Dongdong Wang , Zhixiang Huang

Estimators of doubly robust functionals typically rely on estimating two complex nuisance functions, such as the propensity score and conditional outcome mean for the average treatment effect functional. We consider the problem of how to…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-10 Sean McGrath , Rajarshi Mukherjee

In the last decade, machine learning techniques have gained popularity for estimating causal effects. One machine learning approach that can be used for estimating an average treatment effect is Double/debiased machine learning (DML)…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-01-17 Daniele Ballinari , Nora Bearth

This paper provides an introduction to Double/Debiased Machine Learning (DML). DML is a general approach to performing inference about a target parameter in the presence of nuisance functions: objects that are needed to identify the target…

Causal learning is the key to obtaining stable predictions and answering \textit{what if} problems in decision-makings. In causal learning, it is central to seek methods to estimate the average treatment effect (ATE) from observational…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-12-07 Yiyan Huang , Cheuk Hang Leung , Qi Wu , Xing Yan

Machine learning methods, particularly the double machine learning (DML) estimator (Chernozhukov et al., 2018), are increasingly popular for the estimation of the average treatment effect (ATE). However, datasets often exhibit unbalanced…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-06-12 Daniele Ballinari

Additive noise models (ANMs) are an important setting studied in causal inference. Most of the existing works on ANMs assume causal sufficiency, i.e., there are no unobserved confounders. This paper focuses on confounded ANMs, where a set…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-16 Muhammad Qasim Elahi , Mahsa Ghasemi , Murat Kocaoglu

Double (debiased) machine learning (DML) has seen widespread use in recent years for learning causal/structural parameters, in part due to its flexibility and adaptability to high-dimensional nuisance functions as well as its ability to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-12 Abhinandan Dalal , Patrick Blöbaum , Shiva Kasiviswanathan , Aaditya Ramdas

Double Machine Learning is often justified by nuisance-rate conditions, yet finite-sample reliability also depends on the conditioning of the orthogonal-score Jacobian. This conditioning is typically assumed rather than tracked. When…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-08 Gabriel Saco

This study investigates the performance of robust anomaly detection models in industrial inspection, focusing particularly on their ability to handle noisy data. We propose to leverage the adaptation ability of meta learning approaches to…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-03-04 Muhammad Aqeel , Shakiba Sharifi , Marco Cristani , Francesco Setti

Distinguishing the cause and effect from bivariate observational data is the foundational problem that finds applications in many scientific disciplines. One solution to this problem is assuming that cause and effect are generated from a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-12-19 Quang-Duy Tran , Bao Duong , Phuoc Nguyen , Thin Nguyen
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