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Black box models only provide results for deep learning tasks, and lack informative details about how these results were obtained. Knowing how input variables are related to outputs, in addition to why they are related, can be critical to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-18 Sichao Li , Amanda Barnard

Unquantified sources of uncertainty in observational causal analyses can break the integrity of the results. One would never want another analyst to repeat a calculation with the same dataset, using a seemingly identical procedure, only to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-12 Marco Morucci , Md. Noor-E-Alam , Cynthia Rudin

Most estimators collapse all uncertainty modes into a single confidence score, preventing reliable reasoning about when to allocate more compute or adjust inference. We introduce Uncertainty-Guided Inference-Time Selection, a lightweight…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-11-18 Divake Kumar , Patrick Poggi , Sina Tayebati , Devashri Naik , Nilesh Ahuja , Amit Ranjan Trivedi

In a large class of statistical inverse problems it is necessary to suppose that the transformation that is inverted is known. Although, in many applications, it is unrealistic to make this assumption, the problem is often insoluble without…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-18 Aurore Delaigle , Peter Hall , Alexander Meister

Reliably predicting potential failure risks of machine learning (ML) systems when deployed with production data is a crucial aspect of trustworthy AI. This paper introduces Risk Advisor, a novel post-hoc meta-learner for estimating failure…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-10 Preethi Lahoti , Krishna P. Gummadi , Gerhard Weikum

This paper focuses on the expected difference in borrower's repayment when there is a change in the lender's credit decisions. Classical estimators overlook the confounding effects and hence the estimation error can be magnificent. As such,…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2020-12-21 Yiyan Huang , Cheuk Hang Leung , Xing Yan , Qi Wu , Nanbo Peng , Dongdong Wang , Zhixiang Huang

Methods for interpreting machine learning black-box models increase the outcomes' transparency and in turn generates insight into the reliability and fairness of the algorithms. However, the interpretations themselves could contain…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-05 Yujia Zhang , Kuangyan Song , Yiming Sun , Sarah Tan , Madeleine Udell

As machine learning methods see greater adoption and implementation in high stakes applications such as medical image diagnosis, the need for model interpretability and explanation has become more critical. Classical approaches that assess…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-12 Sumedha Singla , Brian Pollack , Junxiang Chen , Kayhan Batmanghelich

Estimating an individual's potential outcomes under counterfactual treatments is a challenging task for traditional causal inference and supervised learning approaches when the outcome is high-dimensional (e.g. gene expressions, impulse…

Learning models that can handle distribution shifts is a key challenge in domain generalization. Invariance learning, an approach that focuses on identifying features invariant across environments, improves model generalization by capturing…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-11 Yiran Jia , Jelena Bradic

Detecting and measuring confounding effects from data is a key challenge in causal inference. Existing methods frequently assume causal sufficiency, disregarding the presence of unobserved confounding variables. Causal sufficiency is both…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-09-27 Abbavaram Gowtham Reddy , Vineeth N Balasubramanian

Deep Learning is a state-of-the-art technique to make inference on extensive or complex data. As a black box model due to their multilayer nonlinear structure, Deep Neural Networks are often criticized to be non-transparent and their…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2019-11-28 Vanessa Buhrmester , David Münch , Michael Arens

We propose a method to test for the presence of differential ascertainment in case-control studies, when data are collected by multiple sources. We show that, when differential ascertainment is present, the use of only the observed cases…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-07 Matteo Sordello , Dylan S. Small

The abundance of data produced daily from large variety of sources has boosted the need of novel approaches on causal inference analysis from observational data. Observational data often contain noisy or missing entries. Moreover, causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-03-14 Fani Tsapeli , Peter Tino , Mirco Musolesi

There has long been debates on how we could interpret neural networks and understand the decisions our models make. Specifically, why deep neural networks tend to be error-prone when dealing with samples that output low softmax scores. We…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-12-04 Simiao Zuo , Jialin Wu

Biometric recognition is used across a variety of applications from cyber security to border security. Recent research has focused on ensuring biometric performance (false negatives and false positives) is fair across demographic groups.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-24 Michael Schuckers , Sandip Purnapatra , Kaniz Fatima , Daqing Hou , Stephanie Schuckers

The quality and correct functioning of software components embedded in electronic systems are of utmost concern especially for safety and mission-critical systems. Model-based testing and formal verification techniques can be employed to…

形式语言与自动机理论 · 计算机科学 2019-01-08 Shahbaz Ali , Hailong Sun , Yongwang Zhao

As neural networks become more popular, the need for accompanying uncertainty estimates increases. There are currently two main approaches to test the quality of these estimates. Most methods output a density. They can be compared by…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-06-05 Laurens Sluijterman , Eric Cator , Tom Heskes

The forensic science community has increasingly sought quantitative methods for conveying the weight of evidence. Experts from many forensic laboratories summarize their findings in terms of a likelihood ratio. Several proponents of this…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-04-28 Steven P. Lund , Hari K. Iyer

A distribution inference attack aims to infer statistical properties of data used to train machine learning models. These attacks are sometimes surprisingly potent, but the factors that impact distribution inference risk are not well…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-09 Anshuman Suri , Yifu Lu , Yanjin Chen , David Evans