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Efficient load forecasting is needed to ensure better observability in the distribution networks, whereas such forecasting is made possible by an increasing number of smart meter installations. Because distribution networks include a large…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-04 Miha Grabner , Yi Wang , Qingsong Wen , Boštjan Blažič , Vitomir Štruc

Ensemble weather predictions require statistical post-processing of systematic errors to obtain reliable and accurate probabilistic forecasts. Traditionally, this is accomplished with distributional regression models in which the parameters…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-04-01 Stephan Rasp , Sebastian Lerch

In mobile edge computing (MEC) networks, mobile users generate diverse machine learning tasks dynamically over time. These tasks are typically offloaded to the nearest available edge server, by considering communication and computational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-26 Hongbo Li , Lingjie Duan

The contribution of this work is twofold: (1) We introduce a collection of ensemble methods for time series forecasting to combine predictions from base models. We demonstrate insights on the power of ensemble learning for forecasting,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-26 Julia Gastinger , Sébastien Nicolas , Dušica Stepić , Mischa Schmidt , Anett Schülke

Mixtures-of-Experts (MoE) are conditional mixture models that have shown their performance in modeling heterogeneity in data in many statistical learning approaches for prediction, including regression and classification, as well as for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-17 Bao Tuyen Huynh , Faicel Chamroukhi

Spatio-temporal machine learning is critically needed for a variety of societal applications, such as agricultural monitoring, hydrological forecast, and traffic management. These applications greatly rely on regional features that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-09 Zhexiong Liu , Licheng Liu , Yiqun Xie , Zhenong Jin , Xiaowei Jia

Ambitious decarbonisation targets are rapidly increasing the commission of new offshore wind farms. For these newly commissioned plants to run, accurate power forecasts are needed from the onset. These allow grid stability, good reserve…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-27 Dominic Weisser , Chloé Hashimoto-Cullen , Benjamin Guedj

Model editing aims to efficiently alter the behavior of Large Language Models (LLMs) within a desired scope, while ensuring no adverse impact on other inputs. Recent years have witnessed various model editing methods been proposed. However,…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-06-04 Renzhi Wang , Piji Li

Despite recent advancements in offline multi-task reinforcement learning (MTRL) have harnessed the powerful capabilities of the Transformer architecture, most approaches focus on a limited number of tasks, with scaling to extremely massive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-02 Yilun Kong , Guozheng Ma , Qi Zhao , Haoyu Wang , Li Shen , Xueqian Wang , Dacheng Tao

This work focuses on the end-to-end forecast of global extreme marine heatwaves (MHWs), which are unusually warm sea surface temperature events with profound impacts on marine ecosystems. Accurate prediction of extreme MHWs has significant…

地球物理 · 物理学 2025-08-15 Ruiqi Shu , Yuan Gao , Hao Wu , Ruijian Gou , Kun Wang , Yanfei Xiang , Fan Xu , Qingsong Wen , Xiaomeng Huang

Meta-reinforcement learning (RL) addresses the problem of sample inefficiency in deep RL by using experience obtained in past tasks for a new task to be solved. However, most meta-RL methods require partially or fully on-policy data, i.e.,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-01-07 Takahisa Imagawa , Takuya Hiraoka , Yoshimasa Tsuruoka

The rapid rise of deep learning (DL) in numerical weather prediction (NWP) has led to a proliferation of models which forecast atmospheric variables with comparable or superior skill than traditional physics-based NWP. However, among these…

Amounts of historical data collected increase and business intelligence applicability with automatic forecasting of time series are in high demand. While no single time series modeling method is universal to all types of dynamics,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-04-18 Evaldas Vaiciukynas , Paulius Danenas , Vilius Kontrimas , Rimantas Butleris

We present the winning strategy of an electricity demand forecasting competition. This competition was organized to design new forecasting methods for unstable periods such as the one starting in Spring 2020. We rely on state-space models…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-10-04 Joseph de Vilmarest , Yannig Goude

Optimizing various wireless user tasks poses a significant challenge for networking systems because of the expanding range of user requirements. Despite advancements in Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL), the need for customized optimization…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2024-02-16 Hongyang Du , Guangyuan Liu , Yijing Lin , Dusit Niyato , Jiawen Kang , Zehui Xiong , Dong In Kim

Simultaneous load forecasting across multiple entities (e.g., regions, buildings) is crucial for the efficient, reliable, and cost-effective operation of power systems. Accurate load forecasting is a challenging problem due to the inherent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-21 Onintze Zaballa , Verónica Álvarez , Santiago Mazuelas

Accurate forecasting is critical for reliable power grid operations, particularly as the share of renewable generation, such as wind and solar, continues to grow. Given the inherent uncertainty and variability in renewable generation,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-10-20 Alireza Moradi , Mathieu Tanneau , Reza Zandehshahvar , Pascal Van Hentenryck

Over an extensive duration, administrators and clinicians have endeavoured to predict Emergency Department (ED) visits with precision, aiming to optimise resource distribution. Despite the proliferation of diverse AI-driven models tailored…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-11 Mehdi Neshat , Michael Phipps , Nikhil Jha , Danial Khojasteh , Michael Tong , Amir Gandomi

This paper presents a deep learning-based approach for hourly power outage probability prediction within census tracts encompassing a utility company's service territory. Two distinct deep learning models, conditional Multi-Layer Perceptron…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-05 Xuesong Wang , Nina Fatehi , Caisheng Wang , Masoud H. Nazari

While classical time series forecasting considers individual time series in isolation, recent advances based on deep learning showed that jointly learning from a large pool of related time series can boost the forecasting accuracy. However,…