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Causal discovery methods aim to determine the causal direction between variables using observational data. Functional causal discovery methods, such as those based on the Linear Non-Gaussian Acyclic Model (LiNGAM), rely on structural and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-27 Shreya Prakash , Fan Xia , Elena Erosheva

Approximate inference in high-dimensional, discrete probabilistic models is a central problem in computational statistics and machine learning. This paper describes discrete particle variational inference (DPVI), a new approach that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-12-08 Ardavan Saeedi , Tejas D Kulkarni , Vikash Mansinghka , Samuel Gershman

We study the performance of Local Causal Discovery (LCD), a simple and efficient constraint-based method for causal discovery, in predicting causal effects in large-scale gene expression data. We construct practical estimators specific to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-21 Philip Versteeg , Joris M. Mooij

The data drawn from biological, economic, and social systems are often confounded due to the presence of unmeasured variables. Prior work in causal discovery has focused on discrete search procedures for selecting acyclic directed mixed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-26 Rohit Bhattacharya , Tushar Nagarajan , Daniel Malinsky , Ilya Shpitser

This paper presents an operator-theoretic framework Linear Operator Causality Analysis (LOCA), for analysing causality in linearised dynamical systems, focusing here on fluid flows. We demonstrate that the matrix exponential of the…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2025-07-15 Ankit Srivastava , Louis Cattafesta , Scott Dawson

Finding cause-effect relationships is of key importance in science. Causal discovery aims to recover a graph from data that succinctly describes these cause-effect relationships. However, current methods face several challenges, especially…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-21 Jan Marco Ruiz de Vargas , Kirtan Padh , Niki Kilbertus

It is commonplace to encounter heterogeneous or nonstationary data, of which the underlying generating process changes across domains or over time. Such a distribution shift feature presents both challenges and opportunities for causal…

This thesis develops methods for causal inference and causal representation learning (CRL) in high-dimensional, time-varying data. The first contribution introduces the Causal Dynamic Variational Autoencoder (CDVAE), a model for estimating…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-05 Mouad EL Bouchattaoui

Proxy causal learning (PCL) is a method for estimating the causal effect of treatments on outcomes in the presence of unobserved confounding, using proxies (structured side information) for the confounder. This is achieved via two-stage…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-19 Liyuan Xu , Heishiro Kanagawa , Arthur Gretton

Probabilistic circuits (PCs) are a class of tractable probabilistic models, which admit efficient inference routines depending on their structural properties. In this paper, we introduce md-vtrees, a novel structural formulation of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-04-18 Benjie Wang , Marta Kwiatkowska

Several causal discovery algorithms have been proposed. However, when the sample size is small relative to the number of variables, the accuracy of estimating causal graphs using existing methods decreases. And some methods are not feasible…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-06 Ming Cai , Hisayuki Hara

Causal discovery with time series data remains a challenging yet increasingly important task across many scientific domains. Convergent cross mapping (CCM) and related methods have been proposed to study time series that are generated by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-25 Kurt Butler , Daniel Waxman , Petar M. Djurić

Causal discovery with latent confounders is an important but challenging task in many scientific areas. Despite the success of some overcomplete independent component analysis (OICA) based methods in certain domains, they are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-01 Ruichu Cai , Zhiyi Huang , Wei Chen , Zhifeng Hao , Kun Zhang

Recently, we have demonstrated that our approach is a highly effective tool while analysing complex phenomena existing in networks of coupled nonlinear systems. In the present article we present the results of our investigations into a…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-07-04 Volodymyr Denysenko , Artur Dabrowski

Nowadays, the need for causal discovery is ubiquitous. A better understanding of not just the stochastic dependencies between parts of a system, but also the actual cause-effect relations, is essential for all parts of science. Thus, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-10 Boris Lorbeer , Mustafa Mohsen

Evidence-based Prescriptive Analytics (EbPA) is necessary to determine optimal operational set-points that will improve business productivity. EbPA results from what-if analysis and counterfactual experimentation on CAUSAL Digital Twins…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-04-14 PG Madhavan

Differential-algebraic equations (DAEs) integrate ordinary differential equations (ODEs) with algebraic constraints, providing a fundamental framework for developing models of dynamical systems characterized by timescale separation,…

动力系统 · 数学 2026-02-27 Manu Jayadharan , Christina Catlett , Arthur N. Montanari , Niall M. Mangan

Learning DAG structures from purely observational data remains a long-standing challenge across scientific domains. An emerging line of research leverages the score of the data distribution to initially identify a topological order of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-27 Vy Vo , He Zhao , Trung Le , Edwin V. Bonilla , Dinh Phung

Learning causal structure from observational data is a fundamental challenge in machine learning. However, the majority of commonly used differentiable causal discovery methods are non-identifiable, turning this problem into a continuous…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-30 Yu Wang , An Zhang , Xiang Wang , Yancheng Yuan , Xiangnan He , Tat-Seng Chua

Discovering causal relationships in complex multivariate time series is a fundamental scientific challenge. Traditional methods often falter, either by relying on restrictive linear assumptions or on conditional independence tests that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-05 Gian Marco Paldino , Gianluca Bontempi