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Forecasting the behaviour of complex dynamical systems such as interconnected sensor networks characterized by high-dimensional multivariate time series(MTS) is of paramount importance for making informed decisions and planning for the…

To ensure the out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization performance, traditional domain generalization (DG) methods resort to training on data from multiple sources with different underlying distributions. And the success of those DG methods…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-26 Zheyan Shen , Han Yu , Peng Cui , Jiashuo Liu , Xingxuan Zhang , Linjun Zhou , Furui Liu

Time-series forecasting models (TSFM) have evolved from classical statistical methods to sophisticated foundation models, yet understanding why and when these models succeed or fail remains challenging. Despite this known limitation, time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-29 Michael Widener , Kausik Lakkaraju , John Aydin , Biplav Srivastava

Multimodal foundation models (MFMs) have demonstrated significant success in tasks such as visual captioning, question answering, and image-text retrieval. However, these models face inherent limitations due to their finite internal…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-02-11 Xingjian Diao , Chunhui Zhang , Weiyi Wu , Zhongyu Ouyang , Peijun Qing , Ming Cheng , Soroush Vosoughi , Jiang Gui

Deep learning has achieved strong performance in Time Series Forecasting (TSF). However, we identify a critical representation paradox, termed Latent Chaos: models with accurate predictions often learn latent representations that are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-13 Jie Yang , Yifan Hu , Yuante Li , Kexin Zhang , Kaize Ding , Philip S. Yu

Spatio-Temporal Multivariate time series Forecast (STMF) uses the time series of $n$ spatially distributed variables in a period of recent past to forecast their values in a period of near future. It has important applications in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-29 Zibo Liu , Zhe Jiang , Zelin Xu , Tingsong Xiao , Yupu Zhang , Zhengkun Xiao , Haibo Wang , Shigang Chen

With the proliferation of mobile sensing techniques, huge amounts of time series data are generated and accumulated in various domains, fueling plenty of real-world applications. In this setting, time series anomaly detection is practically…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-08 Ronghui Xu , Hao Miao , Senzhang Wang , Philip S. Yu , Jianxin Wang

The prevailing Direct Forecasting (DF) paradigm dominates Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF) by forcing models to predict the entire future horizon in a single forward pass. While efficient, this rigid coupling of output and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-03 Jiaming Ma , Siyuan Mu , Ruilin Tang , Haofeng Ma , Qihe Huang , Zhengyang Zhou , Pengkun Wang , Binwu Wang , Yang Wang

Foundation models (FMs) for the Earth system learn statistical relationships between physical variables across massive datasets to enable versatile downstream applications through finetuning, separating them from task-specific weather…

Recent research in time series forecasting has explored integrating multimodal features into models to improve accuracy. However, the accuracy of such methods is constrained by three key challenges: inadequate extraction of fine-grained…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-21 Shule Hao , Junpeng Bao , Wenli Li

Some real-world decision-making problems require making probabilistic forecasts over multiple steps at once. However, methods for probabilistic forecasting may fail to capture correlations in the underlying time-series that exist over long…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-19 Arec Jamgochian , Di Wu , Kunal Menda , Soyeon Jung , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Learning representations for graph-structured data is essential for graph analytical tasks. While remarkable progress has been made on static graphs, researches on temporal graphs are still in its beginning stage. The bottleneck of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-16 Bowen Cao , Qichen Ye , Weiyuan Xu , Yuexian Zou

Recent studies have indicated that vision models pre-trained on images can serve as time series foundation models (TSFMs) by reformulating time series forecasting (TSF) as image reconstruction. However, effective cross-modal transfer from…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-10-13 Lefei Shen , Mouxiang Chen , Xu Liu , Han Fu , Xiaoxue Ren , Jianling Sun , Zhuo Li , Chenghao Liu

In economics and many other forecasting domains, the real world problems are too complex for a single model that assumes a specific data generation process. The forecasting performance of different methods changes depending on the nature of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-26 Li Li , Feng Li , Yanfei Kang

Generalized few-shot semantic segmentation (GFSS) aims to segment objects of both base and novel classes, using sufficient samples of base classes and few samples of novel classes. Representative GFSS approaches typically employ a two-phase…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-12-23 Xinyue Chen , Miaojing Shi , Zijian Zhou , Lianghua He , Sophia Tsoka

Time series forecasting is a long-standing challenge due to the real-world information is in various scenario (e.g., energy, weather, traffic, economics, earthquake warning). However some mainstream forecasting model forecasting result is…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-12-05 Maowei Jiang , Pengyu Zeng , Kai Wang , Huan Liu , Wenbo Chen , Haoran Liu

Accurately predicting the behavior of complex dynamical systems, characterized by high-dimensional multivariate time series(MTS) in interconnected sensor networks, is crucial for informed decision-making in various applications to minimize…

This paper tackles one of the most fundamental goals in functional time series analysis which is to provide reliable predictions for future functions. Existing methods for predicting a complete future functional observation use only…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-08 Shuhao Jiao , Alexander Aue , Hernando Ombao

Sound event detection is to infer the event by understanding the surrounding environmental sounds. Due to the scarcity of rare sound events, it becomes challenging for the well-trained detectors which have learned too much prior knowledge.…

声音 · 计算机科学 2022-05-27 Chendong Zhao , Jianzong Wang , Leilai Li , Xiaoyang Qu , Jing Xiao

Catastrophic forgetting (CF) poses a persistent challenge in continual learning (CL), especially within federated learning (FL) environments characterized by non-i.i.d. time series data. While existing research has largely focused on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-24 Khaled Hallak , Oudom Kem
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