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The computational efficiency of approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has been improved by using surrogate models such as Gaussian processes (GP). In one such promising framework the discrepancy between the simulated and observed data is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-08-07 Marko Järvenpää , Aki Vehtari , Pekka Marttinen

Gaussian Process (GP) regression has seen widespread use in robotics due to its generality, simplicity of use, and the utility of Bayesian predictions. The predominant implementation of GP regression is a nonparameteric kernel-based…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2018-11-01 James Harrison , Apoorva Sharma , Marco Pavone

Thermal issue is of great importance during layout design of heat source components in systems engineering, especially for high functional-density products. Thermal analysis generally needs complex simulation, which leads to an unaffordable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-23 Xianqi Chen , Xiaoyu Zhao , Zhiqiang Gong , Jun Zhang , Weien Zhou , Xiaoqian Chen , Wen Yao

Gaussian Processes (GPs) provide a flexible and statistically principled foundation for modelling spatiotemporal phenomena, but their $O(N^3)$ scaling makes them intractable for large datasets. Approximate methods such as variational…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-01 Jhonathan Navott , Daniel Jenson , Seth Flaxman , Elizaveta Semenova

Gaussian processes (GPs) are powerful non-parametric function estimators. However, their applications are largely limited by the expensive computational cost of the inference procedures. Existing stochastic or distributed synchronous…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-06-14 Hao Peng , Shandian Zhe , Yuan Qi

Neural network surrogate models have emerged as a promising approach to model solution fields for a wide variety of boundary value problems encountered in physical modeling. Stochastic problems represent an area of particularly high…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-18 Noah Wade , Kirubel Teferra

Machine learning models play a vital role in time series forecasting. These models, however, often overlook an important element: point uncertainty estimates. Incorporating these estimates is crucial for effective risk management, informed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-11 Leonid Erlygin , Vladimir Zholobov , Valeriia Baklanova , Evgeny Sokolovskiy , Alexey Zaytsev

AI-driven surrogate modeling has become an increasingly effective alternative to physics-based simulations for 3D design, analysis, and manufacturing. These models leverage data-driven methods to predict physical quantities traditionally…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-06 Yu-hsuan Chen , Jing Bi , Cyril Ngo Ngoc , Victor Oancea , Jonathan Cagan , Levent Burak Kara

High entropy alloys (HEA) represent a class of materials with promising properties, such as high strength and ductility, radiation damage tolerance, etc. At the same time, a combinatorially large variety of compositions and a complex…

材料科学 · 物理学 2025-10-03 Franco Moitzi , Lorenz Romaner , Andrei V. Ruban , Oleg E. Peil

New manufacturing techniques such as 3D printing have recently enabled the creation of previously infeasible chemical reactor designs. Optimizing the geometry of the next generation of chemical reactors is important to understand the…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2022-11-01 Tom Savage , Nausheen Basha , Omar Matar , Ehecatl Antonio Del-Rio Chanona

The investigation of finite temperature properties using Monte-Carlo (MC) methods requires a large number of evaluations of the system's Hamiltonian to sample the phase space needed to obtain physical observables as function of temperature.…

材料科学 · 物理学 2022-08-01 Markus Eisenbach , Mariia Karabin , Massimiliano Lupo Pasini , Junqi Yin

Computational Intelligence (CI) techniques have shown great potential as a surrogate model of expensive physics simulation, with demonstrated ability to make fast predictions, albeit at the expense of accuracy in some cases. For many…

Generating simulated training data needed for constructing sufficiently accurate surrogate models to be used for efficient optimization or parameter identification can incur a huge computational effort in the offline phase. We consider a…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-04-03 Phillip Semler , Martin Weiser

First-principles statistical mechanics enables the prediction of thermodynamic and kinetic properties of materials, but is computationally expensive. Many approaches require surrogate models to calculate energies within Monte Carlo or…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-09-10 Derick E. Ober , Sesha Sai Behara , Anton Van der Ven

This paper proposes novel noise-free Bayesian optimization strategies that rely on a random exploration step to enhance the accuracy of Gaussian process surrogate models. The new algorithms retain the ease of implementation of the classical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-18 Hwanwoo Kim , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

In many areas of science and engineering, computer simulations are widely used as proxies for physical experiments, which can be infeasible or unethical. Such simulations can often be computationally expensive, and an emulator can be…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-03 Tao Tang , Simon Mak , David Dunson

Digital twins are developed to model the behavior of a specific physical asset (or twin), and they can consist of high-fidelity physics-based models or surrogates. A highly accurate surrogate is often preferred over multi-physics models as…

The reason behind the remarkable properties of High-Entropy Alloys (HEAs) is rooted in the diverse phases and the crystal structures they contain. In the realm of material informatics, employing machine learning (ML) techniques to classify…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-02 Debsundar Dey , Suchandan Das , Anik Pal , Santanu Dey , Chandan Kumar Raul , Arghya Chatterjee

Grain boundaries (GBs) can critically influence the microstructural evolution and various materials properties. However, a fundamental understanding of GBs in high-entropy alloys (HEAs) is lacking because of the complex couplings of the…

材料科学 · 物理学 2021-04-13 Chongze Hu , Jian Luo

Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) compose GP layers to warp inputs, enabling improved emulation of computer models with nonstationary input-output behavior compared with ordinary GPs. In contrast to GPs, the predictive uncertainty for DGP…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Yiming Yang , Deyu Ming , Serge Guillas