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Over the last three decades, ensemble forecasts have become an integral part of forecasting the weather. They provide users with more complete information than single forecasts as they permit to estimate the probability of weather events by…

Fuzzy time series forecasting (FTSF) is a typical forecasting method with wide application. Traditional FTSF is regarded as an expert system which leads to loss of the ability to recognize undefined features. The mentioned is the main…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-29 Tianxiang Zhan , Yuanpeng He , Yong Deng , Zhen Li

Accurate demand forecasting is crucial for optimizing supply chain management. Traditional methods often fail to capture complex patterns from seasonal variability and special events. Despite advancements in deep learning, interpretable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-04 Md Abrar Jahin , Asef Shahriar , Md Al Amin

Multi-view unsupervised feature selection (MUFS), which selects informative features from multi-view unlabeled data, has attracted increasing research interest in recent years. Although great efforts have been devoted to MUFS, several…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-12 Minghui Lu , Yanyong Huang , Minbo Ma , Jinyuan Chang , Dongjie Wang , Xiuwen Yi , Tianrui Li

Exposure to air pollution is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. Recent technological advancements permit the collection of time-resolved personal exposure data. Such data are often incomplete with missing observations and…

Real-world time series data are inherently multivariate, often exhibiting complex inter-channel dependencies. Each channel is typically sampled at its own period and is prone to missing values due to various practical and operational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-11 Jinkwan Jang , Hyungjin Park , Jinmyeong Choi , Taesup Kim

Missing values are ubiquitous in multivariate time series (MTS) data, posing significant challenges for accurate analysis and downstream applications. In recent years, deep learning-based methods have successfully handled missing data by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-21 Jun Wang , Wenjie Du , Yiyuan Yang , Linglong Qian , Wei Cao , Keli Zhang , Wenjia Wang , Yuxuan Liang , Qingsong Wen

Forecasting the behaviour of complex dynamical systems such as interconnected sensor networks characterized by high-dimensional multivariate time series(MTS) is of paramount importance for making informed decisions and planning for the…

Multivariate time series forecasting is a pivotal task in several domains, including financial planning, medical diagnostics, and climate science. This paper presents the Neural Fourier Transform (NFT) algorithm, which combines…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-24 Noam Koren , Kira Radinsky

Multivariate time series (MTS) anomaly detection is essential for maintaining the reliability of industrial systems, yet real-world deployment is hindered by two critical challenges: training data contamination (noises and hidden anomalies)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-28 Songhan Zhang , Yuanhao Lai , Pengfei Zheng , Boxi Yu , Xiaoying Tang , Qiuai Fu , Pinjia He

Quantifying uncertainty in deep regression models is important both for understanding the confidence of the model and for safe decision-making in high-risk domains. Existing approaches that yield prediction intervals overlook distributional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-02 Adriel Sosa Marco , John Daniel Kirwan , Alexia Toumpa , Simos Gerasimou

This work introduces the Supervised Expectation-Maximization Framework (SEMF), a versatile and model-agnostic approach for generating prediction intervals with any ML model. SEMF extends the Expectation-Maximization algorithm, traditionally…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-30 Ilia Azizi , Marc-Olivier Boldi , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin

Time series data are observations collected over time intervals. Successful analysis of time series data captures patterns such as trends, cyclicity and irregularity, which are crucial for decision making in research, business, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-21 Daniel Zhang

Multivariate Time Series Forecasting (MTSF) plays a crucial role across diverse fields, ranging from economic, energy, to traffic. In recent years, deep learning has demonstrated outstanding performance in MTSF tasks. In MTSF, modeling the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-28 Xiangfei Qiu , Hanyin Cheng , Xingjian Wu , Junkai Lu , Jilin Hu , Chenjuan Guo , Christian S. Jensen , Bin Yang

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) is widely recognized as a central challenge in data mining and machine learning. LTSF has increasingly evolved into a benchmark-driven ''GAME,'' where models are ranked, compared, and declared…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-10 Thanapol Phungtua-eng , Yoshitaka Yamamoto

Most prognostic methods require a decent amount of data for model training. In reality, however, the amount of historical data owned by a single organization might be small or not large enough to train a reliable prognostic model. To…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-04-11 Madi Arabi , Xiaolei Fang

Pedestrian trajectory modelling in an urban complex is challenging because pedestrians can have many possible destinations, such as shops, escalators, and attractions. Moreover, weather and time-of-day may affect pedestrian behavior. In…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-05-30 Ho Chun Wu , Esther Hoi Shan Lau , Paul Yuen , Kevin Hung , John Kwok Tai Chui , Andrew Kwok Fai Lui

Multivariate time-series data are used in many classification and regression predictive tasks, and recurrent models have been widely used for such tasks. Most common recurrent models assume that time-series data elements are of equal length…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-21 Mehak Gupta , Rahmatollah Beheshti

Incomplete multi-view unsupervised feature selection (IMUFS), which aims to identify representative features from unlabeled multi-view data containing missing values, has received growing attention in recent years. Despite their promising…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-18 Zongxin Shen , Yanyong Huang , Dongjie Wang , Jinyuan Chang , Fengmao Lv , Tianrui Li , Xiaoyi Jiang

Most recent network failure diagnosis systems focused on data center networks where complex measurement systems can be deployed to derive routing information and ensure network coverage in order to achieve accurate and fast fault…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2022-07-06 Yufeng Xin , Shih-Wen Fu , Anirban Mandal , Ryan Tanaka , Mats Rynge , Karan Vahi , Ewa Deelman