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相关论文: Towards Robust Real-World Multivariate Time Series…

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Predicting the future behavior of agents is a fundamental task in autonomous vehicle domains. Accurate prediction relies on comprehending the surrounding map, which significantly regularizes agent behaviors. However, existing methods have…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-01-19 Chen Feng , Hangning Zhou , Huadong Lin , Zhigang Zhang , Ziyao Xu , Chi Zhang , Boyu Zhou , Shaojie Shen

We introduce a temporal feature encoding architecture called Time Series Representation Model (TSRM) for multivariate time series forecasting and imputation. The architecture is structured around CNN-based representation layers, each…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-29 Robert Leppich , Michael Stenger , Daniel Grillmeyer , Vanessa Borst , Samuel Kounev

Probabilistic time series forecasting is crucial in many application domains such as retail, ecommerce, finance, or biology. With the increasing availability of large volumes of data, a number of neural architectures have been proposed for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-15 Olivier Sprangers , Sebastian Schelter , Maarten de Rijke

Multivariate time series alignment is critical for ensuring coherent analysis across variables, but missing values and timestamp inconsistencies make this task highly challenging. Existing approaches often rely on prior imputation, which…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2025-12-23 Ding Jia , Jingyu Zhu , Yu Sun , Aoqian Zhang , Shaoxu Song , Haiwei Zhang , Xiaojie Yuan

Recent studies have demonstrated the great power of Transformer models for time series forecasting. One of the key elements that lead to the transformer's success is the channel-independent (CI) strategy to improve the training robustness.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-19 Wang Xue , Tian Zhou , Qingsong Wen , Jinyang Gao , Bolin Ding , Rong Jin

Multivariate time-series forecasting holds immense value across diverse applications, requiring methods to effectively capture complex temporal and inter-variable dynamics. A key challenge lies in uncovering the intrinsic patterns that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-12 Liang Yu , Lai Tu , Xiang Bai

Transformers have shown great power in time series forecasting due to their global-range modeling ability. However, their performance can degenerate terribly on non-stationary real-world data in which the joint distribution changes over…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-27 Yong Liu , Haixu Wu , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

Real-world time series often exhibit complex interdependencies that cannot be captured in isolation. Global models that model past data from multiple related time series globally while producing series-specific forecasts locally are now…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-14 Abishek Sriramulu , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl

Transformer is the state-of-the-art model for many natural language processing, computer vision, and audio analysis problems. Transformer effectively combines information from the past input and output samples in auto-regressive manner so…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-14 Joni-Kristian Kämäräinen

Forecasting multivariate time series data, such as prediction of electricity consumption, solar power production, and polyphonic piano pieces, has numerous valuable applications. However, complex and non-linear interdependencies between…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-20 Shun-Yao Shih , Fan-Keng Sun , Hung-yi Lee

Recent research has challenged the necessity of complex deep learning architectures for time series forecasting, demonstrating that simple linear models can often outperform sophisticated approaches. Building upon this insight, we introduce…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-30 Remi Genet , Hugo Inzirillo

Accurate tourism demand forecasting is hindered by limited historical data and complex spatiotemporal dependencies among tourist origins. A novel forecasting framework integrating virtual sample generation and a novel Transformer predictor…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-03-26 Tingting Diao , Xinzhang Wu , Lina Yang , Ling Xiao , Yunxuan Dong

Time series forecasting methods generally fall into two main categories: Channel Independent (CI) and Channel Dependent (CD) strategies. While CI overlooks important covariate relationships, CD captures all dependencies without distinction,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-21 Yifan Hu , Guibin Zhang , Peiyuan Liu , Disen Lan , Naiqi Li , Dawei Cheng , Tao Dai , Shu-Tao Xia , Shirui Pan

Modeling continuous-time dynamics on irregular time series is critical to account for data evolution and correlations that occur continuously. Traditional methods including recurrent neural networks or Transformer models leverage inductive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-19 Yuqi Chen , Kan Ren , Yansen Wang , Yuchen Fang , Weiwei Sun , Dongsheng Li

This paper introduces WeatherFormer, a transformer encoder-based model designed to learn robust weather features from minimal observations. It addresses the challenge of modeling complex weather dynamics from small datasets, a bottleneck…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-05-29 Adib Hasan , Mardavij Roozbehani , Munther Dahleh

The growing interest in Temporal Graph Neural Networks (TGNNs) stems from their ability to model complex dynamics and deliver superior performance. However, TGNNs encounter fundamental challenges in capturing long-term dependencies and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Hongjiang Chen , Pengfei Jiao , Ming Du , Xuan Guo , Zhidong Zhao , Di Jin , Xiao Liu

Transformer-based methods have shown great potential in long-term time series forecasting. However, most of these methods adopt the standard point-wise self-attention mechanism, which not only becomes intractable for long-term forecasting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-24 Dazhao Du , Bing Su , Zhewei Wei

Transformer-based models, despite their promise for long-term time series forecasting (LTSF), suffer from an inherent low-pass filtering effect that limits their effectiveness. This issue arises due to undifferentiated propagation of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-23 Jingjing Bai , Yoshinobu Kawahara

Long-term time-series forecasting (LTSF) is fundamental to various real-world applications, where Transformer-based models have become the dominant framework due to their ability to capture long-range dependencies. However, these models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-27 Mingjie Li , Rui Liu , Guangsi Shi , Mingfei Han , Changling Li , Lina Yao , Xiaojun Chang , Ling Chen

Global environmental challenges and rising energy demands have led to extensive exploration of wind energy technologies. Accurate wind speed forecasting (WSF) is crucial for optimizing wind energy capture and ensuring system stability.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-29 Abid Hasan Zim , Aquib Iqbal , Asad Malik , Zhicheng Dong , Hanzhou Wu