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Accurate Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) forecasting is vital for decision-making in agriculture, energy production, and emergency management. However, it remains a challenging and underexplored problem due to the chaotic nature of the…

Accurate subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) prediction of extreme events is critical for resource planning and disaster mitigation under accelerating climate change. However, such predictions remain challenging due to complex multi-sphere…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-16 Bin Mu , Yuxuan Chen , Shijin Yuan , Bo Qin , Hao Guo

Accurate prediction of global sea surface temperature at sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) timescale is critical for drought and flood forecasting, as well as for improving disaster preparedness in human society. Government departments or…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-09-10 Longhao Wang , Xuanze Zhang , L. Ruby Leung , Francis H. S. Chiew , Amir AghaKouchak , Kairan Ying , Yongqiang Zhang

Forecasting wildfires weeks to months in advance is difficult, yet crucial for planning fuel treatments and allocating resources. While short-term predictions typically rely on local weather conditions, long-term forecasting requires…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-12-02 Ioannis Prapas , Nikolaos Papadopoulos , Nikolaos-Ioannis Bountos , Dimitrios Michail , Gustau Camps-Valls , Ioannis Papoutsis

Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) temperature forecasts, spanning several weeks to a few months, are critically needed in agriculture practice, energy planning, and extreme-weather induced risk management, yet their reliability varies…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-11 Elnaz Bashir , Jiali Wang , Lin Yan

Predictions on subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) timescales--ranging from two weeks to two month--are crucial for early warning systems but remain challenging owing to chaos in the climate system. Teleconnections, such as the stratospheric…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-11 Philine L. Bommer , Marlene Kretschmer , Fiona R. Spuler , Kirill Bykov , Marina M. -C. Höhne

Wildfires are increasingly exacerbated as a result of climate change, necessitating advanced proactive measures for effective mitigation. It is important to forecast wildfires weeks and months in advance to plan forest fuel management,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-08-03 Ioannis Prapas , Nikolaos Ioannis Bountos , Spyros Kondylatos , Dimitrios Michail , Gustau Camps-Valls , Ioannis Papoutsis

Subseasonal forecasting, which is pivotal for agriculture, water resource management, and early warning of disasters, faces challenges due to the chaotic nature of the atmosphere. Recent advances in machine learning (ML) have revolutionized…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-06 Shan Zhao , Zhitong Xiong , Xiao Xiang Zhu

Accurate Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) climate forecasting is pivotal for decision-making including agriculture planning and disaster preparedness but is known to be challenging due to its chaotic nature. Although recent data-driven models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-28 Yang Liu , Zinan Zheng , Jiashun Cheng , Fugee Tsung , Deli Zhao , Yu Rong , Jia Li

Weather and climate forecasting is vital for sectors such as agriculture and disaster management. Although numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems have advanced, forecasting at the subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) scale, spanning 2 to 6…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-27 Yizhen Guo , Tian Zhou , Wanyi Jiang , Bo Wu , Liang Sun , Rong Jin

The increasing frequency of extreme weather events due to global climate change urges accurate weather prediction. Recently, great advances have been made by the \textbf{end-to-end methods}, thanks to deep learning techniques, but they face…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-24 Shaohan Li , Hao Yang , Min Chen , Xiaolin Qin

Accurate global Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) climate forecasting is critical for disaster preparedness and resource management, yet it remains challenging due to chaotic atmospheric dynamics. Existing models predominantly treat atmospheric…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-02-18 Ziyu Zhou , Tian Zhou , Shiyu Wang , James Kwok , Yuxuan Liang

Subseasonal-to-seasonal forecasting is crucial for public health, disaster preparedness, and agriculture, and yet it remains a particularly challenging timescale to predict. We explore the use of an interpretable AI-informed model analog…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-04-06 Jacob B. Landsberg , Matthew Newman , Elizabeth A. Barnes

Seamless forecasting that produces warning information at continuum timescales based on only one system is a long-standing pursuit for weather-climate service. While the rapid advancement of deep learning has induced revolutionary changes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-21 Fenghua Ling , Kang Chen , Jiye Wu , Tao Han , Jing-Jia Luo , Wanli Ouyang , Lei Bai

Subseasonal forecasting of the weather two to six weeks in advance is critical for resource allocation and advance disaster notice but poses many challenges for the forecasting community. At this forecast horizon, physics-based dynamical…

Global Station Weather Forecasting (GSWF) is a key meteorological research area, critical to energy, aviation, and agriculture. Existing time series forecasting methods often ignore or unidirectionally model spatial correlation when…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-26 Hongyi Chen , Xiucheng Li , Xinyang Chen , Yun Cheng , Jing Li , Kehai Chen , Liqiang Nie

Atmospheric regime transitions are highly impactful as drivers of extreme weather events, but pose two formidable modeling challenges: predicting the next event (weather forecasting), and characterizing the statistics of events of a given…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-10-20 Justin Finkel , Robert J. Webber , Edwin P. Gerber , Dorian S. Abbot , Jonathan Weare

Weather forecasting plays a critical role in various sectors, driving decision-making and risk management. However, traditional methods often struggle to capture the complex dynamics of meteorological systems, particularly in the presence…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-05-30 Jiaze Wang , Hao Chen , Hongcan Xu , Jinpeng Li , Bowen Wang , Kun Shao , Furui Liu , Huaxi Chen , Guangyong Chen , Pheng-Ann Heng

Although deep learning models have demonstrated remarkable potential in weather prediction, most of them overlook either the \textbf{physics} of the underlying weather evolution or the \textbf{topology} of the Earth's surface. In light of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-09 Jiaqi Zheng , Qing Ling , Yerong Feng

Applying machine learning models to meteorological data brings many opportunities to the Geosciences field, such as predicting future weather conditions more accurately. In recent years, modeling meteorological data with deep neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-11 Rafaela Castro , Yania M. Souto , Eduardo Ogasawara , Fabio Porto , Eduardo Bezerra
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