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The lack of high-quality public cyber incident data limits empirical research and predictive modeling for cyber risk assessment. This challenge persists due to the reluctance of companies to disclose incidents that could damage their…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2026-03-20 Jiayi Guo , Zhiyu Quan , Linfeng Zhang

Municipalities are vulnerable to cyberattacks with devastating consequences, but they lack key information to evaluate their own risk and compare their security posture to peers. Using data from 83 municipalities collected via a…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2024-02-06 Avital Baral , Taylor Reynolds , Lawrence Susskind , Daniel J. Weitzner , Angelina Wu

We use a methodology based on a machine learning algorithm to quantify firms' cyber risks based on their disclosures and a dedicated cyber corpus. The model can identify paragraphs related to determined cyber-threat types and accordingly…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2024-09-16 Loïc Maréchal , Nathan Monnet

Proactive cyber-risk assessment is gaining momentum due to the wide range of sectors that can benefit from the prevention of cyber-incidents by preserving integrity, confidentiality, and the availability of data. The rising attention to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-11 Mario Angelelli , Serena Arima , Christian Catalano , Enrico Ciavolino

There are two strategic and longstanding questions about cyber risk that organizations largely have been unable to answer: What is an organization's estimated risk exposure and how does its security compare with peers? Answering both…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2024-02-12 Taylor Reynolds , Sarah Scheffler , Daniel J. Weitzner , Angelina Wu

It is very challenging to predict the cost of a cyber incident owing to the complex nature of cyber risk. However, it is inevitable for insurance companies who offer cyber insurance policies. The time to identifying an incident and the time…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-09-27 Maochao Xu , Quynh Nhu Nguyen

In the dynamic cyber threat landscape, effective decision-making under uncertainty is crucial for maintaining robust information security. This paper introduces the Cyber Resilience Index (CRI), a threat-informed probabilistic approach to…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2024-09-09 Lampis Alevizos , Vinh-Thong Ta

When undertaking cyber security risk assessments, we must assign numeric values to metrics to compute the final expected loss that represents the risk that an organization is exposed to due to cyber threats. Even if risk assessment is…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2017-12-19 Andrew Fielder , Sandra Konig , Emmanouil Panaousis , Stefan Schauer , Stefan Rass

Quantifying cyber risks is essential for organizations to grasp their vulnerability to threats and make informed decisions. However, current approaches still need to work on blending economic viewpoints to provide insightful analysis. To…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2024-05-07 Muriel Figueredo Franco , Aiatur Rahaman Mullick , Santosh Jha

Artificial Intelligence brings innovations into the society. However, bias and unethical exist in many algorithms that make the applications less trustworthy. Threats hunting algorithms based on machine learning have shown great advantage…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2025-06-25 Shuangbao Paul Wang , Paul Mullin

This paper examines how Canadian firms balance the benefits of technology adoption against the rising risk of cyber security breaches. We merge data from the 2021 Canadian Survey of Digital Technology and Internet Use and the 2021 Canadian…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-28 Joann Jasiak , Peter MacKenzie , Purevdorj Tuvaandorj

Cyber assurance, which is the ability to operate under the onslaught of cyber attacks and other unexpected events, is essential for organizations facing inundating security threats on a daily basis. Organizations usually employ multiple…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2022-07-26 Nan Sun , Chang-Tsun Li , Hin Chan , Md Zahidul Islam , Md Rafiqul Islam , Warren Armstrong

Nowadays, companies are highly exposed to cyber security threats. In many industrial domains, protective measures are being deployed and actively supported by standards. However the global process remains largely dependent on document…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2024-09-13 Christophe Ponsard

Our research addresses the question: What are the conditions of the UK's cyber threat landscape? In addressing this we focus on detectable, known and therefore potentially preventable cyber threats, specifically those that are identifiable…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2023-03-14 Justin McKeown

Cyber risk classifications are widely used in the modeling of cyber event distributions, yet their effectiveness in out of sample forecasting performance remains underexplored. In this paper, we analyse the most commonly used…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2024-10-10 Matteo Malavasi , Gareth W. Peters , Stefan Treuck , Pavel V. Shevchenko , Jiwook Jang , Georgy Sofronov

Cyber attacks are growing in frequency and severity. Over the past year alone we have witnessed massive data breaches that stole personal information of millions of people and wide-scale ransomware attacks that paralyzed critical…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2018-06-13 Palash Goyal , KSM Tozammel Hossain , Ashok Deb , Nazgol Tavabi , Nathan Bartley , Andr'es Abeliuk , Emilio Ferrara , Kristina Lerman

Cybersecurity risk is commonly expressed through impact and likelihood, yet likelihood remains difficult to estimate because cyber incidents are underreported, heterogeneous datasets are weakly comparable, and attacker behaviour changes…

This study evaluates the application of predictive analytics for real-time cyber-attack detection and response, focusing on how statistical and machine learning methods can improve decision-making in Security Operations Centers (SOCs).…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Muhammad Danish

Data breaches have begun to take on new dimensions and their prediction is becoming of great importance to organizations. Prior work has addressed this issue mainly from a technical perspective and neglected other interfering aspects such…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2024-11-20 Hicham Hammouchi , Narjisse Nejjari , Ghita Mezzour , Mounir Ghogho , Houda Benbrahim

While the Web has become a global platform for communication, malicious actors, including hackers and hacktivist groups, often disseminate ideological content and coordinate activities through the "Dark Web", an obscure counterpart of the…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2025-06-04 Jubin Abhishek Soni , Amit Anand , Rajesh Kumar Pandey , Aniket Abhishek Soni
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