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Computing ratios of normalizing constants plays an important role in statistical modeling. Two important examples are hypothesis testing in latent variables models, and model comparison in Bayesian statistics. In both examples, the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-08-26 Tom Guédon , Charlotte Baey , Estelle Kuhn

Simulation-based Bayesian inference (SBI) can be used to estimate the parameters of complex mechanistic models given observed model outputs without requiring access to explicit likelihood evaluations. A prime example for the application of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-28 Jonas Beck , Michael Deistler , Yves Bernaerts , Jakob Macke , Philipp Berens

Learning unknown stochastic differential equations (SDEs) from observed data is a significant and challenging task with applications in various fields. Current approaches often use neural networks to represent drift and diffusion functions,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-21 Aiqing Zhu , Qianxiao Li

In this paper, we develop a method for estimating and clustering two-dimensional spectral density functions (2D-SDFs) for spatial data from multiple subregions. We use a common set of adaptive basis functions to explain the similarities…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-29 Tianbo Chen , Ying Sun , Mehdi Maadooliat

We present a pseudo-reversible normalizing flow method for efficiently generating samples of the state of a stochastic differential equation (SDE) with different initial distributions. The primary objective is to construct an accurate and…

Species distribution models (SDMs), which aim to predict species occurrence based on environmental variables, are widely used to monitor and respond to biodiversity change. Recent deep learning advances for SDMs have been shown to perform…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-14 Catherine Villeneuve , Benjamin Akera , Mélisande Teng , David Rolnick

We propose a fast probabilistic framework for identifying differential equations governing the dynamics of observed data. We recast the SINDy method within a Bayesian framework and use Gaussian approximations for the prior and likelihood to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-24 Lloyd Fung , Urban Fasel , Matthew P. Juniper

Estimating density ratios between pairs of intractable data distributions is a core problem in probabilistic modeling, enabling principled comparisons of sample likelihoods under different data-generating processes across conditions and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-02 Egor Antipov , Alessandro Palma , Lorenzo Consoli , Stephan Günnemann , Andrea Dittadi , Fabian J. Theis

Machine learning models, and deep neural networks in particular, are increasingly deployed in risk-sensitive domains such as healthcare, environmental forecasting, and finance, where reliable quantification of predictive uncertainty is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-07 Asena Karolin Özdemir , Lars H. Heyen , Arvid Weyrauch , Achim Streit , Markus Götz , Charlotte Debus

Datasets in engineering applications are often limited and contaminated, mainly due to unavoidable measurement noise and signal distortion. Thus, using conventional data-driven approaches to build a reliable discriminative model, and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-04-14 Xihaier Luo , Ahsan Kareem

Kernel density estimation (KDE) is one of the most widely used nonparametric density estimation methods. The fact that it is a memory-based method, i.e., it uses the entire training data set for prediction, makes it unsuitable for most…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-08 Joseph A. Gallego , Juan F. Osorio , Fabio A. González

Although Bayesian density estimation using discrete mixtures has good performance in modest dimensions, there is a lack of statistical and computational scalability to high-dimensional multivariate cases. To combat the curse of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-10-29 Ye Wang , Antonio Canale , David Dunson

We propose SADGE, a quantitative similarity metric that predicts the performance of synthetic image datasets for common computer vision tasks without downstream model training. Estimating whether a synthetic dataset will lead to a model…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-22 Patryk Bartkowiak , Bartosz Kotrys , Dominik Michels , Soren Pirk , Wojtek Palubicki

The distance duality relation (DDR) relates two independent ways of measuring cosmological distances, namely the angular diameter distance and the luminosity distance. These can be measured with baryon acoustic oscillations (BAO) and Type…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2025-12-03 Felicitas Keil , Savvas Nesseris , Isaac Tutusaus , Alain Blanchard

Dimensionality reduction methods such as t-SNE are designed to preserve local neighborhood structure but do not explicitly account for how probability mass is distributed, often leading to distortions of data density. We reformulate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-05 Maksim Kazanskii

DNA methylation (DNAme) is a critical component of the epigenetic regulatory machinery and aberrations in DNAme patterns occur in many diseases, such as cancer. Mapping and understanding DNAme profiles offers considerable promise for…

Sufficient dimension reduction (SDR) is a popular class of regression methods which aim to find a small number of linear combinations of covariates that capture all the information of the responses i.e., a central subspace. The majority of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-15 Linh H. Nghiem , F. K. C. Hui

We explore two primary classes of approaches to dimensionality reduction (DR): Independent Dimensionality Reduction (IDR) and Simultaneous Dimensionality Reduction (SDR). In IDR methods, of which Principal Components Analysis is a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-28 Eslam Abdelaleem , Ahmed Roman , K. Michael Martini , Ilya Nemenman

Many modern applications of Bayesian inference, such as in cosmology, are based on complicated forward models with high-dimensional parameter spaces. This considerably limits the sampling of posterior distributions conditioned on observed…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2024-09-17 Marco Raveri , Cyrille Doux , Shivam Pandey

A density estimation method in a Bayesian nonparametric framework is presented when recorded data are not coming directly from the distribution of interest, but from a length biased version. From a Bayesian perspective, efforts to…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-10-23 Spyridon J. Hatjispyros , Theodoros Nicoleris , Stephen G. Walker