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As climate change intensifies, the urgency for accurate global-scale disaster predictions grows. This research presents a novel multimodal disaster prediction framework, combining weather statistics, satellite imagery, and textual insights.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-02 Gengyin Liu , Huaiyang Zhong

Identifying flood affected areas in remote sensing data is a critical problem in earth observation to analyze flood impact and drive responses. While a number of methods have been proposed in the literature, there are two main limitations…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-03-07 Xavier Bou , Thibaud Ehret , Rafael Grompone von Gioi , Jeremy Anger

Disasters cause severe societal impacts, demanding rapid coordination of heterogeneous AI tools, from satellite analysis to flood prediction and damage assessment, into coherent multi-step workflows. As LLMs increasingly serve as…

Skillful streamflow forecasts can inform decisions in various areas of water policy and management. We integrate numerical weather prediction ensembles, distributed hydrological model and machine learning to generate ensemble streamflow…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-29 Sanjib Sharma , Ganesh Raj Ghimire , Ridwan Siddique

The hazard of pluvial flooding is largely influenced by the spatial and temporal dependence characteristics of precipitation. When extreme precipitation possesses strong spatial dependence, the risk of flooding is amplified due to catchment…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-08-03 Gregory P. Bopp , Benjamin A. Shaby , Chris E. Forest , Alfonso Mejía

Recent advances in deep learning have driven rapid progress in time series forecasting, yet many state-of-the-art models continue to struggle with robust performance in real-world applications, even when they achieve strong results on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-24 Qitai Tan , Yiyun Chen , Mo Li , Ruiwen Gu , Yilin Su , Xiao-Ping Zhang

Flood quantile estimation is of great importance for many engineering studies and policy decisions. However, practitioners must often deal with small data available. Thus, the information must be used optimally. In the last decades, to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2009-11-13 Mathieu Ribatet , Taha B. M. J. Ouarda , Eric Sauquet , Jean-Michel Grésillon

Joint models are a common and important tool in the intersection of machine learning and the physical sciences, particularly in contexts where real-world measurements are scarce. Recent developments in rainfall-runoff modeling, one of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-22 Guy Shalev , Ran El-Yaniv , Daniel Klotz , Frederik Kratzert , Asher Metzger , Sella Nevo

Precipitation prediction plays a crucial role in modern agriculture and industry. However, it poses significant challenges due to the diverse patterns and dynamics in time and space, as well as the scarcity of high precipitation events. To…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-01-19 Xinzhe Li , Sun Rui , Yiming Niu , Yao Liu

Historical observations of severe weather and simulated severe weather environments (i.e., features) from the Global Ensemble Forecast System v12 (GEFSv12) Reforecast Dataset (GEFS/R) are used in conjunction to train and test random forest…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-12-19 Aaron J. Hill , Russ S. Schumacher , Israel Jirak

In light of growing threats posed by climate change in general and sea level rise (SLR) in particular, the necessity for computationally efficient means to estimate and analyze potential coastal flood hazards has become increasingly…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-01-08 Areg Karapetyan , Aaron Chung Hin Chow , Samer Madanat

Hydroelectric power generation is a critical component of the global energy matrix, particularly in countries like Brazil, where it represents the majority of the energy supply. However, its strong dependence on river discharges, which are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-19 Julio Alberto Silva Dias

Floods can be very destructive causing heavy damage to life, property, and livelihoods. Global climate change and the consequent sea-level rise have increased the occurrence of extreme weather events, resulting in elevated and frequent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-12 Jimeng Shi , Vitalii Stebliankin , Zhaonan Wang , Shaowen Wang , Giri Narasimhan

In this paper we present our methods for the MediaEval 2019 Mul-timedia Satellite Task, which is aiming to extract complementaryinformation associated with adverse events from Social Media andsatellites. For the first challenge, we propose…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-10-08 Kashif Ahmad , Konstantin Pogorelov , Mohib Ullah , Michael Riegler , Nicola Conci , Johannes Langguth , Ala Al-Fuqaha

Drought is one of the most destructive and expensive natural disasters, severely impacting natural resources and risks by depleting water resources and diminishing agricultural yields. Under climate change, accurately predicting drought is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-20 Xuwei Tan , Qian Zhao , Yanlan Liu , Xueru Zhang

Streamflow prediction is one of the key challenges in the field of hydrology due to the complex interplay between multiple non-linear physical mechanisms behind streamflow generation. While physics based models are rooted in rich…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-11-12 Ankush Khandelwal , Shaoming Xu , Xiang Li , Xiaowei Jia , Michael Stienbach , Christopher Duffy , John Nieber , Vipin Kumar

Weather forecasting is one of the cornerstones of meteorological work. In this paper, we present a new benchmark dataset named Weather2K, which aims to make up for the deficiencies of existing weather forecasting datasets in terms of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-22 Xun Zhu , Yutong Xiong , Ming Wu , Gaozhen Nie , Bin Zhang , Ziheng Yang

Short- or mid-term rainfall forecasting is a major task with several environmental applications such as agricultural management or flood risk monitoring. Existing data-driven approaches, especially deep learning models, have shown…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-01-13 Vincent Bouget , Dominique Béréziat , Julien Brajard , Anastase Charantonis , Arthur Filoche

Delivering useful hydrological forecasts is critical for urban and agricultural water management, hydropower generation, flood protection and management, drought mitigation and alleviation, and river basin planning and management, among…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-08-19 Georgia Papacharalampous , Hristos Tyralis

Producing high-quality forecasts of key climate variables, such as temperature and precipitation, on subseasonal time scales has long been a gap in operational forecasting. This study explores an application of machine learning (ML) models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-17 Elena Orlova , Haokun Liu , Raphael Rossellini , Benjamin A. Cash , Rebecca Willett