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We propose a score test for dependence predictability in conditional copulas that is robust to temporal instabilities. Our semiparametric procedure accommodates flexible dynamics in the marginal processes and remains agnostic about the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-03 Alexander Mayer , Tatsushi Oka , Dominik Wied

Various statistical tests have been developed for testing the equality of means in matched pairs with missing values. However, most existing methods are commonly based on certain distributional assumptions such as normality, 0-symmetry or…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-03-02 Lubna Amro , Markus Pauly

In many modern statistical problems, the limited available data must be used both to develop the hypotheses to test, and to test these hypotheses-that is, both for exploratory and confirmatory data analysis. Reusing the same dataset for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-24 Youngjoo Yun , Rina Foygel Barber

Incomplete covariate vectors are known to be problematic for estimation and inferences on model parameters, but their impact on prediction performance is less understood. We develop an imputation-free method that builds on a random…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-31 Matthew J. Heiner , Garritt L. Page , Fernando Andrés Quintana

A stepped wedge design is a unidirectional crossover design where clusters are randomized to distinct treatment sequences. While model-based analysis of stepped wedge designs is standard practice to evaluate treatment effects accounting for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-13 Bingkai Wang , Xueqi Wang , Fan Li

The proposal and study of dependent prior processes has been a major research focus in the recent Bayesian nonparametric literature. In this paper, we introduce a flexible class of dependent nonparametric priors, investigate their…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-07-03 Antonio Lijoi , Bernardo Nipoti , Igor Prünster

We present a new approach to study measures on ensembles of contours, polymers or other objects interacting by some sort of exclusion condition. For concreteness we develop it here for the case of Peierls contours. Unlike existing methods,…

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-15 Roberto Fernández , Pablo A. Ferrari , Nancy L. Garcia

This paper develops bootstrap methods for practical statistical inference in panel data quantile regression models with fixed effects. We consider random-weighted bootstrap resampling and formally establish its validity for asymptotic…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-11-08 Antonio F. Galvao , Thomas Parker , Zhijie Xiao

In this project we are interested in performing clustering of observations such that the cluster membership is influenced by a set of predictors. To that end, we employ the Bayesian nonparameteric Common Atoms Model, which is a nested…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-11 Md Yasin Ali Parh , Jeremy T. Gaskins

This paper studies inference in cluster randomized trials where treatment status is determined according to a "matched pairs" design. Here, by a cluster randomized experiment, we mean one in which treatment is assigned at the level of the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-08-14 Yuehao Bai , Jizhou Liu , Azeem M. Shaikh , Max Tabord-Meehan

A key challenge in causal inference from observational studies is the identification and estimation of causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding. In this paper, we introduce a novel approach for causal inference that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-17 Ying Zhou , Dingke Tang , Dehan Kong , Linbo Wang

In Bayesian statistics, the marginal likelihood (ML) is the key ingredient needed for model comparison and model averaging. Unfortunately, estimating MLs accurately is notoriously difficult, especially for models where posterior simulation…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-12-12 Dennis Christensen , Per August Jarval Moen

Ensembles, which employ a set of classifiers to enhance classification accuracy collectively, are crucial in the era of big data. However, although there is general agreement that the relation between ensemble size and its prediction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-29 Enes Bektas , Fazli Can

Clustering is part of unsupervised analysis methods that consist in grouping samples into homogeneous and separate subgroups of observations also called clusters. To interpret the clusters, statistical hypothesis testing is often used to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-25 Benjamin Hivert , Denis Agniel , Rodolphe Thiébaut , Boris P Hejblum

Many clustering methods, including k-means, require the user to specify the number of clusters as an input parameter. A variety of methods have been devised to choose the number of clusters automatically, but they often rely on strong…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-10 Wei Fu , Patrick O. Perry

I introduce a simple permutation procedure to test conventional (non-sharp) hypotheses about the effect of a binary treatment in the presence of a finite number of large, heterogeneous clusters when the treatment effect is identified by…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-02-08 Andreas Hagemann

In this paper we present a method ofcomputing the posterior probability ofconditional independence of two or morecontinuous variables from data,examined at several resolutions. Ourapproach is motivated by theobservation that the appearance…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-14 Dimitris Margaritis , Sebastian Thrun

We propose a method for inference in generalised linear mixed models (GLMMs) and several extensions of these models. First, we extend the GLMM by allowing the distribution of the random components to be non-Gaussian, that is, assuming an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-27 Jeanett S. Pelck , Rodrigo Labouriau

Motivated by a neuroscience question about synchrony detection in spike train analysis, we deal with the independence testing problem for point processes. We introduce non-parametric test statistics, which are rescaled general…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-05-28 Mélisande Albert , Yann Bouret , Magalie Fromont , Patricia Reynaud-Bouret

Conformal prediction provides a distribution-free framework for uncertainty quantification. This study explores the application of conformal prediction in scenarios where covariates are missing, which introduces significant challenges for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-09 Jingsen Kong , YIming Liu , Guangren Yang