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相关论文: Probabilistic Forecasting for Building Energy Syst…

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Time-series forecasting (TSF) finds broad applications in real-world scenarios. Prompting off-the-shelf Large Language Models (LLMs) demonstrates strong zero-shot TSF capabilities while preserving computational efficiency. However, existing…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-02-27 Haoxin Liu , Zhiyuan Zhao , Jindong Wang , Harshavardhan Kamarthi , B. Aditya Prakash

Large Language Models (LLMs) such as ChatGPT demonstrate strong few-shot adaptability without requiring fine-tuning, positioning them ideal for data-limited and real-time applications. However, this adaptability has not yet been replicated…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-12-04 Zixuan Hu , Yongxian Wei , Li Shen , Chun Yuan , Dacheng Tao

In this work, we introduce FLAME, a family of extremely lightweight and capable Time Series Foundation Models, which support both deterministic and probabilistic forecasting via generative probabilistic modeling, thus ensuring both…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-10 Xingjian Wu , Hanyin Cheng , Xiangfei Qiu , Zhengyu Li , Jilin Hu , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang

Cyber-physical systems, like Smart Buildings and power plants, have to meet high standards, both in terms of reliability and availability. Such metrics are typically evaluated using Fault trees (FTs) and do not consider maintenance…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2018-01-15 Nathalie Cauchi , Khaza Anuarul Hoque , Alessandro Abate , Marielle Stoelinga

In the context of global sustainability, buildings are significant consumers of energy, emphasizing the necessity for innovative strategies to enhance efficiency and reduce environmental impact. This research leverages extensive raw data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-22 Hamed Khosravi , Hadi Sahebi , Rahim khanizad , Imtiaz Ahmed

Foundation models for zero-shot time series forecasting face challenges in efficient long-horizon prediction and reproducibility, with existing synthetic-only approaches underperforming on challenging benchmarks. This paper presents…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-06 Vladyslav Moroshan , Julien Siems , Arber Zela , Timur Carstensen , Frank Hutter

This research provides an in-depth evaluation of various machine learning models for energy forecasting, focusing on the unique challenges of seasonal variations in student residential settings. The study assesses the performance of…

Time series forecasting is critical for decision-making across dynamic domains such as energy, finance, transportation, and cloud computing. However, real-world time series often exhibit non-stationarity, including temporal distribution…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-01 Junkai Lu , Peng Chen , Chenjuan Guo , Yang Shu , Meng Wang , Bin Yang

The use of residential photovoltaics has increased dramatically in recent years. With battery systems becoming more affordable, the optimal operation of a photovoltaic-battery system can bring significant savings to households. Optimal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-28 Joris Depoortere , Hussain Kazmi , Johan Driesen

Time series forecasting (TSF) is a fundamental and widely studied task, spanning methods from classical statistical approaches to modern deep learning and multimodal language modeling. Despite their effectiveness, these methods often follow…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-23 Mingyue Cheng , Jiahao Wang , Daoyu Wang , Xiaoyu Tao , Qi Liu , Enhong Chen

Machine learning methods have been adopted in the literature as contenders to conventional methods to solve the energy time series forecasting (TSF) problems. Recently, deep learning methods have been emerged in the artificial intelligence…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-25 Hala Hamdoun , Alaa Sagheer , Hassan Youness

Time series forecasting plays a pivotal role in a wide range of applications, including weather prediction, healthcare, structural health monitoring, predictive maintenance, energy systems, and financial markets. While models such as LSTM,…

In the fields of computer vision (CV) and remote sensing (RS), foundational models typically follow the "big data + large model parameters" paradigm. However, the application of this strategy in seismic data processing faces several…

地球物理 · 物理学 2025-03-14 Xintong Dong , Wenshuo Yu , Jun Lin , Zhenbo Guo , Hongzhou Wang , Jianhao Yang

Time series analysis stands as a focal point within the data mining community, serving as a cornerstone for extracting valuable insights crucial to a myriad of real-world applications. Recent advances in Foundation Models (FMs) have…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-19 Yuxuan Liang , Haomin Wen , Yuqi Nie , Yushan Jiang , Ming Jin , Dongjin Song , Shirui Pan , Qingsong Wen

Real-world time series often exhibit a non-stationary nature, degrading the performance of pre-trained forecasting models. Test-Time Adaptation (TTA) addresses this by adjusting models during inference, but existing methods typically update…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-01 Heitor R. Medeiros , Hossein Sharifi-Noghabi , Gabriel L. Oliveira , Saghar Irandoust

Time Series Forecasting (TSF) is used to predict the target variables at a future time point based on the learning from previous time points. To keep the problem tractable, learning methods use data from a fixed length window in the past as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-26 Jimeng Shi , Mahek Jain , Giri Narasimhan

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) have recently achieved strong zero-shot forecasting performance through large-scale pretraining and retrieval-augmented prediction. However, our empirical analysis reveals a non-trivial limitation of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Jinjin Chi , Lei Feng , Lulu Zhang , Yongcheng Jing , Yiming Wang , Ximing Li , Jialie Shen , Leszek Rutkowski , Dacheng Tao

Time series forecasting models have diverse real world applications (e.g., from electricity metrics to software workload). Latest foundational models trained for time series forecasting show strengths (e.g., for long sequences and in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-03 Keun Soo Yim

While Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) have demonstrated exceptional performance in generalized forecasting, their performance often degrades significantly when deployed in real-world vertical domains characterized by temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-17 Xiaoyun Yu , Li fan , Xiangfei Qiu , Nanqing Dong , Yonggui Huang , Honggang Qi , Geguang Pu , Wanli Ouyang , Xi Chen , Jilin Hu

Modeling buildings' heat dynamics is a complex process which depends on various factors including weather, building thermal capacity, insulation preservation, and residents' behavior. Gray-box models offer a causal inference of those…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-02-20 Nilavra Pathak , James Foulds , Nirmalya Roy , Nilanjan Banerjee , Ryan Robucci