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The causal assumptions, the study design and the data are the elements required for scientific inference in empirical research. The research is adequately communicated only if all of these elements and their relations are described…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-05-01 Juha Karvanen

Large language models (LLMs) are trained on enormous amounts of data and encode knowledge in their parameters. We propose a pipeline to elicit causal relationships from LLMs. Specifically, (i) we sample many documents from LLMs on a given…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-05 Takashi Kameyama , Masahiro Kato , Yasuko Hio , Yasushi Takano , Naoto Minakawa

A simple framework for reasoning under uncertainty and intervention is introduced. This is achieved in three steps. First, logic is restated in set-theoretic terms to obtain a framework for reasoning under certainty. Second, this framework…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-08-18 Pedro A. Ortega

In this study, we address causal inference when only observational data and a valid causal ordering from the causal graph are available. We introduce a set of flow models that can recover component-wise, invertible transformation of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-16 Minh Khoa Le , Kien Do , Truyen Tran

Causal reversibility blends reversibility and causality for concurrent systems. It indicates that an action can be undone provided that all of its consequences have been undone already, thus making it possible to bring the system back to a…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2024-02-14 Marco Bernardo , Claudio A. Mezzina

Structural causal models provide a formalism to express causal relations between variables of interest. Models and variables can represent a system at different levels of abstraction, whereby relations may be coarsened and refined according…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-05-09 Fabio Massimo Zennaro , Paolo Turrini , Theodoros Damoulas

Causal reasoning is a cornerstone of how humans interpret the world. To model and reason about causality, causal graphs offer a concise yet effective solution. Given the impressive advancements in language models, a crucial question arises:…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-06-25 Sirui Chen , Mengying Xu , Kun Wang , Xingyu Zeng , Rui Zhao , Shengjie Zhao , Chaochao Lu

Causal analysis has become an essential component in understanding the underlying causes of phenomena across various fields. Despite its significance, existing literature on causal discovery algorithms is fragmented, with inconsistent…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-09-05 Wenjin Niu , Zijun Gao , Liyan Song , Lingbo Li

Robots working in real environments need to adapt to unexpected changes to avoid failures. This is an open and complex challenge that requires robots to timely predict and identify the causes of failures to prevent them. In this paper, we…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2022-09-13 Maximilian Diehl , Karinne Ramirez-Amaro

This paper explains why internal and external validity cannot be simultaneously maximised. It introduces "evidential states" to represent the information available for causal inference and shows that routine study operations (restriction,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-12-01 Daniel D. Reidpath

Mechanistic interpretability aims to reverse engineer neural networks by uncovering which high-level algorithms they implement. Causal abstraction provides a precise notion of when a network implements an algorithm, i.e., a causal model of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-17 Theodora-Mara Pîslar , Sara Magliacane , Atticus Geiger

To gain deeper insights into a complex sensor system through the lens of causality, we present common and individual causal mechanism estimation (CICME), a novel three-step approach to inferring causal mechanisms from heterogeneous data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-21 Jingyi Yu , Tim Pychynski , Marco F. Huber

The increasing capture and analysis of large-scale longitudinal health data offer opportunities to improve healthcare and advance medical understanding. However, a critical gap exists between (a) -- the observation of patterns and…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2025-08-26 Arran Zeyu Wang , David Borland , David Gotz

Video analytics systems based on deep learning models are often opaque and brittle and require explanation systems to help users debug. Current model explanation system are very good at giving literal explanations of behavior in terms of…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-05-29 Jinjin Zhao , Ted Shaowang , Stavos Sintos , Sanjay Krishnan

The ease and speed of spreading misinformation and propaganda on the Web motivate the need to develop trustworthy technology for detecting fallacies in natural language arguments. However, state-of-the-art language modeling methods exhibit…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-05-19 Zhivar Sourati , Filip Ilievski , Hông-Ân Sandlin , Alain Mermoud

Not much has been written about the role of triggers in the literature on causal reasoning, causal modeling, or philosophy. In this paper, we focus on describing triggers and causes in the metaphysical sense and on characterizations that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-03 Kateřina Hlaváčková-Schindler , Rainer Wöß , Vera Pecorino , Philip Schindler

Understanding causality helps to structure interventions to achieve specific goals and enables predictions under interventions. With the growing importance of learning causal relationships, causal discovery tasks have transitioned from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-15 Hang Chen , Keqing Du , Xinyu Yang , Chenguang Li

Causal inference remains a fundamental challenge for large language models. Recent advances in internal reasoning with large language models have sparked interest in whether state-of-the-art reasoning models can robustly perform causal…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-08-01 Kacper Kadziolka , Saber Salehkaleybar

Understanding causality has vital importance for various Natural Language Processing (NLP) applications. Beyond the labeled instances, conceptual explanations of the causality can provide deep understanding of the causal facts to facilitate…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-05-13 Li Du , Xiao Ding , Kai Xiong , Ting Liu , Bing Qin

Complex processes often arise from sequences of simpler interactions involving a few particles at a time. These interactions, however, may not be directly accessible to experiments. Here we develop the first efficient method for unravelling…

量子物理 · 物理学 2022-06-24 Ge Bai , Ya-Dong Wu , Yan Zhu , Masahito Hayashi , Giulio Chiribella