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In knowledge-intensive tasks, especially in high-stakes domains like medicine and law, it is critical not only to retrieve relevant information but also to provide causal reasoning and explainability. Large language models (LLMs) have…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-03-18 Hang Luo , Jian Zhang , Chujun Li

Despite the groundbreaking advancements made by large language models (LLMs), hallucination remains a critical bottleneck for their deployment in high-stakes domains. Existing classification-based methods mainly rely on static and passive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Linggang Kong , Lei Wu , Yunlong Zhang , Xiaofeng Zhong , Zhen Wang , Yongjie Wang , Yao Pan

Recent work by Chatzi et al. and Ravfogel et al. has developed, for the first time, a method for generating counterfactuals of probabilistic Large Language Models. Such counterfactuals tell us what would - or might - have been the output of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-04-21 Sander Beckers

Scientific discovery catalyzes human intellectual advances, driven by the cycle of hypothesis generation, experimental design, evaluation, and assumption refinement. Central to this process is causal inference, uncovering the mechanisms…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-26 Ivaxi Sheth , Sahar Abdelnabi , Mario Fritz

Inferring causal relationships between variable pairs is crucial for understanding multivariate interactions in complex systems. Knowledge-based causal discovery -- which involves inferring causal relationships by reasoning over the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-06-11 Yuni Susanti , Michael Färber

Causality is vital for understanding true cause-and-effect relationships between variables within predictive models, rather than relying on mere correlations, making it highly relevant in the field of Explainable AI. In an automated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-28 Arturo Fredes , Jordi Vitria

Causal inference, a cornerstone in disciplines such as economics, genomics, and medicine, is increasingly being recognized as fundamental to advancing the field of robotics. In particular, the ability to reason about cause and effect from…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-03-05 Minh Q. Tram , Nolan B. Gutierrez , William J. Beksi

Recent advances in Vision-Language Models (VLMs) have demonstrated impressive capabilities in perception and reasoning. However, the ability to perform causal inference -- a core aspect of human cognition -- remains underexplored,…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-08-14 Keummin Ka , Junhyeong Park , Jaehyun Jeon , Youngjae Yu

Current pre-trained language models have enabled remarkable improvements in downstream tasks, but it remains difficult to distinguish effects of statistical correlation from more systematic logical reasoning grounded on understanding of the…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-12-08 Jiaxuan Li , Lang Yu , Allyson Ettinger

The ability to perform causal and counterfactual reasoning are central properties of human intelligence. Decision-making systems that can perform these types of reasoning have the potential to be more generalizable and interpretable.…

Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated remarkable capabilities in various reasoning and generation tasks. However, their proficiency in complex causal reasoning, discovery, and estimation remains an area of active development, often…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Adib Bazgir , Amir Habibdoust , Yuwen Zhang , Xing Song

Building causal graphs can be a laborious process. To ensure all relevant causal pathways have been captured, researchers often have to discuss with clinicians and experts while also reviewing extensive relevant medical literature. By…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-02-26 Stephanie Long , Tibor Schuster , Alexandre Piché

The causal capabilities of large language models (LLMs) are a matter of significant debate, with critical implications for the use of LLMs in societally impactful domains such as medicine, science, law, and policy. We conduct a "behavorial"…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-08-21 Emre Kıcıman , Robert Ness , Amit Sharma , Chenhao Tan

Model explanations based on pure observational data cannot compute the effects of features reliably, due to their inability to estimate how each factor alteration could affect the rest. We argue that explanations should be based on the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-09-20 Álvaro Parafita , Jordi Vitrià

While LLMs exhibit impressive fluency and factual recall, they struggle with robust causal reasoning, often relying on spurious correlations and brittle patterns. Similarly, traditional Reinforcement Learning agents also lack causal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-26 Abi Aryan , Zac Liu

We propose a novel framework for generating causal graphs from narrative texts, bridging high-level causality and detailed event-specific relationships. Our method first extracts concise, agent-centered vertices using large language model…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-04-11 Zehan Li , Ruhua Pan , Xinyu Pi

There is growing interest in the study of causal methods in the Earth sciences. However, most applications have focused on causal discovery, i.e. inferring the causal relationships and causal structure from data. This paper instead examines…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-05-04 Adam Massmann , Pierre Gentine , Jakob Runge

Estimating individualized treatment effects from observational data presents a persistent challenge due to unmeasured confounding and structural bias. Causal Machine Learning (causal ML) methods, such as causal trees and doubly robust…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-12 Po-Han Lee , Yu-Cheng Lin , Chan-Tung Ku , Chan Hsu , Pei-Cing Huang , Ping-Hsun Wu , Yihuang Kang

Large language models (LLMs) have shown great potential in decision-making due to the vast amount of knowledge stored within the models. However, these pre-trained models are prone to lack reasoning abilities and are difficult to adapt to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-02 Wei Chen , Jiahao Zhang , Haipeng Zhu , Boyan Xu , Zhifeng Hao , Keli Zhang , Junjian Ye , Ruichu Cai

Causal Models are like Dependency Graphs and Belief Nets in that they provide a structure and a set of assumptions from which a joint distribution can, in principle, be computed. Unlike Dependency Graphs, Causal Models are models of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-03-08 John F. Lemmer