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Despite the prevalent assumption of uniform variable importance in long-term time series forecasting models, real world applications often exhibit asymmetric causal relationships and varying data acquisition costs. Specifically,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-24 Xinyang Chen , Huidong Jin , Yu Huang , Zaiwen Feng

A variety of real-world applications rely on far future information to make decisions, thus calling for efficient and accurate long sequence multivariate time series forecasting. While recent attention-based forecasting models show strong…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-02 Razvan-Gabriel Cirstea , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang , Tung Kieu , Xuanyi Dong , Shirui Pan

The planning and operation of renewable energy, especially wind power, depend crucially on accurate, timely, and high-resolution weather information. Coarse-grid global numerical weather forecasts are typically downscaled to meet these…

Although most transformer-based time series forecasting models primarily depend on endogenous inputs, recent state-of-the-art approaches have significantly improved performance by incorporating external information through exogenous inputs.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-09 Mustafa Kamal , Niyaz Bin Hashem , Robin Krambroeckers , Nabeel Mohammed , Shafin Rahman

Time series forecasting is an important application in various domains such as energy management, traffic planning, financial markets, meteorology, and medicine. However, real-time series data often present intricate temporal variability…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-02 Reza Nematirad , Anil Pahwa , Balasubramaniam Natarajan

Accurate energy time-series forecasting is crucial for ensuring grid stability and promoting the integration of renewable energy, yet it faces significant challenges from complex temporal dependencies and the heterogeneity of multi-source…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-13 Mingnan Zhu , Qixuan Zhang , Yixuan Cheng , Fangzhou Gu , Shiming Lin

Accurate renewable energy production forecasting has become a priority as the share of intermittent energy sources on the grid increases. Recent work has shown that convolutional deep learning models can successfully be applied to forecast…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-01-24 Sebastian Bosma , Negar Nazari

The forecasting of large ramps in wind power output known as ramp events is crucial for the incorporation of large volumes of wind energy into national electricity grids. Large variations in wind power supply must be compensated by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-01 Russell Sharp , Hisham Ihshaish , J. Ignacio Deza

Origin-Destination (OD) matrices record directional flow data between pairs of OD regions. The intricate spatiotemporal dependency in the matrices makes the OD matrix forecasting (ODMF) problem not only intractable but also non-trivial.…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-08-18 Jin Huang , Bosong Huang , Weihao Yu , Jing Xiao , Ruzhong Xie , Ke Ruan

Short-term precipitation forecasting remains challenging due to the difficulty in capturing long-term spatiotemporal dependencies. Current deep learning methods fall short in establishing effective dependencies between conditions and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-18 ChaoRong Li , XuDong Ling , YiLan Xue , Wenjie Luo , LiHong Zhu , FengQing Qin , Yaodong Zhou , Yuanyuan Huang

Integrating wind power into the grid is challenging because of its random nature. Integration is facilitated with accurate short-term forecasts of wind power. The paper presents a spatio-temporal wind speed forecasting algorithm that…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2015-03-05 Borhan M. Sanandaji , Akin Tascikaraoglu , Kameshwar Poolla , Pravin Varaiya

Wind energy plays an increasing role in the supply of energy world-wide. The energy output of a wind farm is highly dependent on the weather condition present at the wind farm. If the output can be predicted more accurately, energy…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2011-09-12 Katya Vladislavleva , Tobias Friedrich , Frank Neumann , Markus Wagner

Transformers have demonstrated impressive strength in long-term series forecasting. Existing prediction research mostly focused on mapping past short sub-series (lookback window) to future series (forecast window). The longer training…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-22 Julong Young , Junhui Chen , Feihu Huang , Jian Peng

Traffic flow forecasting is a crucial task in transportation management and planning. The main challenges for traffic flow forecasting are that (1) as the length of prediction time increases, the accuracy of prediction will decrease; (2)…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-05-13 Jianli Xiao , Baichao Long

The paper presents a spatio-temporal wind speed forecasting algorithm using Deep Learning (DL)and in particular, Recurrent Neural Networks(RNNs). Motivated by recent advances in renewable energy integration and smart grids, we apply our…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-07-27 Amir Ghaderi , Borhan M. Sanandaji , Faezeh Ghaderi

To ensure the safety of railroad operations, it is important to monitor and forecast track geometry irregularities. A higher safety requires forecasting with higher spatiotemporal frequencies, which in turn requires capturing spatial…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-24 Katsuya Kosukegawa , Yasukuni Mori , Hiroki Suyari , Kazuhiko Kawamoto

Accurate traffic forecasting is essential for intelligent transportation systems, supporting a wide range of real-world applications. However, it remains challenging due to two key factors:~(1) Traffic series contain heterogeneous temporal…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Ruiwen Gu , Qitai Tan , Yahao Liu , Xiao-Ping Zhang

Global environmental challenges and rising energy demands have led to extensive exploration of wind energy technologies. Accurate wind speed forecasting (WSF) is crucial for optimizing wind energy capture and ensuring system stability.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-29 Abid Hasan Zim , Aquib Iqbal , Asad Malik , Zhicheng Dong , Hanzhou Wu

Time series forecasting plays a vital role across scientific, industrial, and environmental domains, especially when dealing with high-dimensional and nonlinear systems. While Transformer-based models have recently achieved state-of-the-art…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-05 Ali Forootani , Mohammad Khosravi , Masoud Barati

Power loss mechanisms in large wind farms are complex due to the multiscale nature of wind farm aerodynamics. Recent studies based on the two-scale momentum theory have brought new insights into this field; however, most of them have been…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2025-08-06 Takafumi Nishino , Amanda S. M. Smyth