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Weather is a phenomenon that affects everything and everyone around us on a daily basis. Weather prediction has been an important point of study for decades as researchers have tried to predict the weather and climatic changes using…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-14 Ishu Gupta , Harsh Mittal , Deepak Rikhari , Ashutosh Kumar Singh

High-resolution precipitation forecasts are crucial for providing accurate weather prediction and supporting effective responses to extreme weather events. Traditional numerical models struggle with stochastic subgrid-scale processes, while…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-07 Shuangshuang He , Hongli Liang , Yuanting Zhang , Xingyuan Yuan

Drought is a natural creeping threat with numerous damaging effects in various aspects of human life. Accurate drought prediction is a promising step in helping policy makers to set drought risk management strategies. To fulfill this…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-06-05 Yousef Hassanzadeh , Mohammadvaghef Ghazvinian , Amin Abdi , Saman Baharvand , Ali Jozaghi

Precipitation exceedance probabilities are widely used in engineering design, risk assessment, and floodplain management. While common approaches like NOAA Atlas 14 assume that extreme precipitation characteristics are stationary over time,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-02-05 Yuchen Lu , Ben Seiyon Lee , James Doss-Gollin

Landslide is a natural disaster that can easily threaten local ecology, people's lives and property. In this paper, we conduct modelling research on real unidirectional surface displacement data of recent landslides in the research area and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-25 Menglin Kong , Ruichen Li , Fan Liu , Xingquan Li , Juan Cheng , Muzhou Hou , Cong Cao

Climate change is increasing the frequency of extreme precipitation events, making weather disasters such as flooding and landslides more likely. The ability to accurately nowcast precipitation is therefore becoming more critical for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-05 Daniel Seal , Rossella Arcucci , Salva Rühling-Cachay , César Quilodrán-Casas

Transformer-based and CNN-based methods demonstrate strong performance in long-term time series forecasting. However, their high computational and storage requirements can hinder large-scale deployment. To address this limitation, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-08 Juntong Ni , Zewen Liu , Shiyu Wang , Ming Jin , Wei Jin

Making accurate motion prediction of surrounding agents such as pedestrians and vehicles is a critical task when robots are trying to perform autonomous navigation tasks. Recent research on multi-modal trajectory prediction, including…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-10-16 YingQiao Wang

This study investigates the relationships which deep learning methods can identify between the input and output data. As a case study, rainfall-runoff modeling in a snow-dominated watershed by means of a long- and short-term memory (LSTM)…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-11-11 Kazuki Yokoo , Kei Ishida , Ali Ercan , Tongbi Tu , Takeyoshi Nagasato , Masato Kiyama , Motoki Amagasaki

Urban downscaling is a link to transfer the knowledge from coarser climate information to city scale assessments. These high-resolution assessments need multiyear climatology of past data and future projections, which are complex and…

Seasonal climate forecasts are commonly based on model runs from fully coupled forecasting systems that use Earth system models to represent interactions between the atmosphere, ocean, land and other Earth-system components. Recently,…

Rainfall prediction at the kilometre-scale up to a few hours in the future is key for planning and safety. But it is challenging given the complex influence of climate change on cloud processes and the limited skill of weather models at…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-11-08 S. Moran , B. Demir , F. Serva , B. Le Saux

Stream-flow forecasting for small rivers has always been of great importance, yet comparatively challenging due to the special features of rivers with smaller volume. Artificial Intelligence (AI) methods have been employed in this area for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-17 Youchuan Hu , Le Yan , Tingting Hang , Jun Feng

The series of mean daily temperature of air recorded over a period of 215 years is used for analysing the dimensionality and the predictability of the atmospheric system. The total number of data points of the series is 78527. Other 37…

comp-gas · 物理学 2009-10-28 Ales Raidl

Global navigation satellite systems (GNSS) station-based Precipitation Nowcasting aims to predict rainfall within the next 0-6 hours by leveraging a GNSS station's historical observations of precipitation, GNSS-PWV, and related…

Generating forecasts for time series with multiple seasonal cycles is an important use-case for many industries nowadays. Accounting for the multi-seasonal patterns becomes necessary to generate more accurate and meaningful forecasts in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-04-28 Kasun Bandara , Christoph Bergmeir , Hansika Hewamalage

Statistical downscaling of global climate models (GCMs) allows researchers to study local climate change effects decades into the future. A wide range of statistical models have been applied to downscaling GCMs but recent advances in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-02-15 Thomas Vandal , Evan Kodra , Auroop R Ganguly

Accurate Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI) forecasting is critical for grid stability, particularly in arid regions characterized by rapid aerosol fluctuations. While recent trends favor computationally expensive Transformer-based…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-21 Mohammed Ezzaldin Babiker Abdullah , Rufaidah Abdallah Ibrahim Mohammed

Road surface friction significantly impacts traffic safety and mobility. A precise road surface friction prediction model can help to alleviate the influence of inclement road conditions on traffic safety, Level of Service, traffic…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-07-13 Ziyuan Pu , Shuo Wang , Chenglong Liu , Zhiyong Cui , Yinhai Wang

Short-term precipitation forecasting remains challenging due to the difficulty in capturing long-term spatiotemporal dependencies. Current deep learning methods fall short in establishing effective dependencies between conditions and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-18 ChaoRong Li , XuDong Ling , YiLan Xue , Wenjie Luo , LiHong Zhu , FengQing Qin , Yaodong Zhou , Yuanyuan Huang