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相关论文: Joint leave-group-out cross-validation in Bayesian…

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Cross-validation assesses the predictive ability of a model, allowing one to rank models accordingly. Although the nonparametric bootstrap is almost always used to assess the variability of a parameter, it can be used as the basis for…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-09-30 James Stephens Cavenaugh

We analyze the performance of cross-validation (CV) in the density estimation framework with two purposes: (i) risk estimation and (ii) model selection. The main focus is given to the so-called leave-$p$-out CV procedure (Lpo), where $p$…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-10-02 Alain Celisse

Cross-validation (CV) is a technique used to estimate generalization error for prediction models. For pipeline modeling algorithms (i.e. modeling procedures with multiple steps), it has been recommended the entire sequence of steps be…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-05 Byron C. Jaeger , Nicholas J. Tierney , Noah R. Simon

We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of the covariance function of a Gaussian process by cross-validation. We suggest using new cross-validation criteria derived from the literature of scoring rules. We also provide an…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-08-07 Sébastien Petit , Julien Bect , Sébastien da Veiga , Paul Feliot , Emmanuel Vazquez

Recursive partitioning approaches producing tree-like models are a long standing staple of predictive modeling, in the last decade mostly as ``sub-learners'' within state of the art ensemble methods like Boosting and Random Forest. However,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-12-14 Amichai Painsky , Saharon Rosset

We consider prediction in multiple studies with potential differences in the relationships between predictors and outcomes. Our objective is to integrate data from multiple studies to develop prediction models for unseen studies. We propose…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-23 Boyu Ren , Prasad Patil , Francesca Dominici , Giovanni Parmigiani , Lorenzo Trippa

We derive high-dimensional Gaussian comparison results for the standard $V$-fold cross-validated risk estimates. Our results combine a recent stability-based argument for the low-dimensional central limit theorem of cross-validation with…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-11-15 Nicholas Kissel , Jing Lei

Cross-validation (CV) is a popular approach for assessing and selecting predictive models. However, when the number of folds is large, CV suffers from a need to repeatedly refit a learning procedure on a large number of training datasets.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-12 Ashia Wilson , Maximilian Kasy , Lester Mackey

Many machine learning algorithms require precise estimates of covariance matrices. The sample covariance matrix performs poorly in high-dimensional settings, which has stimulated the development of alternative methods, the majority based on…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-11-04 Daniel Bartz

We investigate leave-one-out cross validation (CV) as a determinator of the weight of the penalty term in the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). First, on the basis of the message passing algorithm and a perturbative…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-06-22 Tomoyuki Obuchi , Yoshiyuki Kabashima

Cross-validation is the workhorse of modern applied statistics and machine learning, as it provides a principled framework for selecting the model that maximizes generalization performance. In this paper, we show that the cross-validation…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-05-21 Shane Barratt , Rishi Sharma

Although the leave-subject-out cross-validation (CV) has been widely used in practice for tuning parameter selection for various nonparametric and semiparametric models of longitudinal data, its theoretical property is unknown and solving…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-02-20 Ganggang Xu , Jianhua Z. Huang

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) cohorts collect data longitudinally to study the association between CVD risk factors and event times. An important area of scientific research is to better understand what features of CVD risk factor…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-03 Mirajul Islam , Michael J. Daniels , Zeynab Aghabazaz , Juned Siddique

Penalized logistic regression methods are frequently used to investigate the relationship between a binary outcome and a set of explanatory variables. The model performance can be assessed by measures such as the concordance statistic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-20 Angelika Geroldinger , Lara Lusa , Mariana Nold , Georg Heinze

We analyze the statistical properties of generalized cross-validation (GCV) and leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV) applied to early-stopped gradient descent (GD) in high-dimensional least squares regression. We prove that GCV is…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-02-27 Pratik Patil , Yuchen Wu , Ryan J. Tibshirani

Collective variables (CVs) are low-dimensional projections of high-dimensional system states. They are used to gain insights into complex emergent dynamical behaviors of processes on networks. The relation between CVs and network measures…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-03-19 Marvin Lücke , Stefanie Winkelmann , Jobst Heitzig , Nora Molkenthin , Péter Koltai

Evaluating anomaly detection in multivariate time series (MTS) requires careful consideration of temporal dependencies, particularly when detecting subsequence anomalies common in fault detection scenarios. While time series…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-17 Steven C. Hespeler , Pablo Moriano , Mingyan Li , Samuel C. Hollifield

Emulating the mapping between quantities of interest and their control parameters using surrogate models finds widespread application in engineering design, including in numerical optimization and uncertainty quantification. Gaussian…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-07-02 S. Ashwin Renganathan , Kade Carlson

Cross-validation is a widely used technique for evaluating the performance of prediction models, ranging from simple binary classification to complex precision medicine strategies. It helps correct for optimism bias in error estimates,…

Bipartite networks, which encode interactions between two distinct types of entities, arise widely in applications and exhibit inherent asymmetry across node sets. Despite a growing literature on bipartite community detection, estimating…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-18 Bokai Yang , Yuanxing Chen , Yuhong Yang