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相关论文: Joint leave-group-out cross-validation in Bayesian…

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Cross-validation (CV) is a common method to tune machine learning methods and can be used for model selection in regression as well. Because of the structured nature of small, traditional experimental designs, the literature has warned…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-06-18 Maria L. Weese , Byran J. Smucker , David J. Edwards

Evaluating the predictive performance of a statistical model is commonly done using cross-validation. Among the various methods, leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV) is frequently used. Originally designed for exchangeable observations,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-07-04 Zhedong Liu , Janet Van Niekerk , Haavard Rue

Evaluating models fit to data with internal spatial structure requires specific cross-validation (CV) approaches, because randomly selecting assessment data may produce assessment sets that are not truly independent of data used to train…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-03-14 Michael J Mahoney , Lucas K Johnson , Julia Silge , Hannah Frick , Max Kuhn , Colin M Beier

Cross-validation (CV) is a technique for evaluating the ability of statistical models/learning systems based on a given data set. Despite its wide applicability, the rather heavy computational cost can prevent its use as the system size…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-10-26 Yoshiyuki Kabashima , Tomoyuki Obuchi , Makoto Uemura

Bayesian cross-validation (CV) is a popular method for predictive model assessment that is simple to implement and broadly applicable. A wide range of CV schemes is available for time series applications, including generic leave-one-out…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-12 Alex Cooper , Dan Simpson , Lauren Kennedy , Catherine Forbes , Aki Vehtari

Cross-validation (CV) methods are popular for selecting the tuning parameter in the high-dimensional variable selection problem. We show the mis-alignment of the CV is one possible reason of its over-selection behavior. To fix this issue,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-01-17 Yang Feng , Yi Yu

Standard techniques such as leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV) might not be suitable for evaluating the predictive performance of models incorporating structured random effects. In such cases, the correlation between the training and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-21 A. Adin , E. Krainski , A. Lenzi , Z. Liu , J. Martínez-Minaya , H. Rue

Structural estimation is an important methodology in empirical economics, and a large class of structural models are estimated through the generalized method of moments (GMM). Traditionally, selection of structural models has been performed…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-07-19 Junpei Komiyama , Hajime Shimao

Cross-validation is a common method for estimating the predictive performance of machine learning models. In a data-scarce regime, where one typically wishes to maximize the number of instances used for training the model, an approach…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-25 George I. Austin , Itsik Pe'er , Tal Korem

Evaluating the predictive performance of species distribution models (SDMs) under realistic deployment scenarios requires careful handling of spatial and temporal dependencies in the data. Cross-validation (CV) is the standard approach for…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-12-22 Diana Koldasbayeva , Alexey Zaytsev

The problem of validating or criticising models for georeferenced data is challenging, since the conclusions can vary significantly depending on the locations of the validation set. This work proposes the use of cross-validation techniques…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-02-19 Viviana G R Lobo , Thaís C O da Fonseca , Fernando A S Moura

Cross-Validation (CV) is the default choice for evaluating the performance of machine learning models. Despite its wide usage, their statistical benefits have remained half-understood, especially in challenging nonparametric regimes. In…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-08-22 Garud Iyengar , Henry Lam , Tianyu Wang

In machine learning one often assumes the data are independent when evaluating model performance. However, this rarely holds in practise. Geographic information data sets are an example where the data points have stronger dependencies among…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-06-01 Jonne Pohjankukka , Tapio Pahikkala , Paavo Nevalainen , Jukka Heikkonen

It is useful to estimate the expected predictive performance of models planned to be used for prediction. We focus on leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO-CV), which has become a popular method for estimating predictive performance of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-29 Tuomas Sivula , Måns Magnusson , Asael Alonzo Matamoros , Aki Vehtari

Cross-validation (CV) is a popular method for model-selection. Unfortunately, it is not immediately obvious how to apply CV to unsupervised or exploratory contexts. This thesis discusses some extensions of cross-validation to unsupervised…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-09-17 Patrick O. Perry

One of the common goals of time series analysis is to use the observed series to inform predictions for future observations. In the absence of any actual new data to predict, cross-validation can be used to estimate a model's future…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-02 Paul-Christian Bürkner , Jonah Gabry , Aki Vehtari

We present a methodology for model evaluation and selection where the sampling mechanism violates the i.i.d. assumption. Our methodology involves a formulation of the bias between the standard Cross-Validation (CV) estimator and the mean…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-14 Oren Yuval , Saharon Rosset

As the main workhorse for model selection, Cross Validation (CV) has achieved an empirical success due to its simplicity and intuitiveness. However, despite its ubiquitous role, CV often falls into the following notorious dilemmas. On the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-29 Weikai Li , Chuanxing Geng , Songcan Chen

Leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO-CV) is a popular method for estimating out-of-sample predictive accuracy. However, computing LOO-CV criteria can be computationally expensive due to the need to fit the model multiple times. In the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-09-28 Luca Silva , Giacomo Zanella

For linear models that may have asymmetric errors, we study variable selection by cross-validation. The data are split into training and validation sets, with the number of observations in the validation set much larger than in the training…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-16 Bilel Bousselmi , Gabriela Ciuperca
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