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The recent boom of linear forecasting models questions the ongoing passion for architectural modifications of Transformer-based forecasters. These forecasters leverage Transformers to model the global dependencies over temporal tokens of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-15 Yong Liu , Tengge Hu , Haoran Zhang , Haixu Wu , Shiyu Wang , Lintao Ma , Mingsheng Long

Transformer has shown promise in reinforcement learning to model time-varying features for obtaining generalized low-level robot policies on diverse robotics datasets in embodied learning. However, it still suffers from the issues of low…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-19 Hengkai Tan , Songming Liu , Kai Ma , Chengyang Ying , Xingxing Zhang , Hang Su , Jun Zhu

Predicting customers' long-term revenue from sparse and irregular transaction data is central to marketing resource allocation in non-contractual settings, yet existing approaches face a trade-off. Traditional probabilistic customer base…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-27 Jeffrey Näf , Riana Valera Mbelson , Markus Meierer

Stock market prediction presents considerable challenges for investors, financial institutions, and policymakers operating in complex market environments characterized by noise, non-stationarity, and behavioral dynamics. Traditional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-18 Mohammad Al Ridhawi , Mahtab Haj Ali , Hussein Al Osman

In this technical report, we present our solutions to the Traffic4cast 2022 core challenge and extended challenge. In this competition, the participants are required to predict the traffic states for the future 15-minute based on the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-16 Leyan Deng , Chenwang Wu , Defu Lian , Min Zhou

Token-based transformer world models have shown strong performance in visual reinforcement learning, but often suffer from temporal inconsistency in long-horizon rollouts, including object duplication, disappearance, and transmutation. A…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-27 Youngin Kim , Ray Sun , Inho Kim , Bumsoo Park , Hyun Oh Song

Technical and fundamental analysis are traditional tools used to analyze individual stocks; however, the finance literature has shown that the price movement of each individual stock correlates heavily with other stocks, especially those…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2019-03-11 Ran Zhao , Yuntian Deng , Mark Dredze , Arun Verma , David Rosenberg , Amanda Stent

The transformer models have been extensively used with good results in a wide area of machine learning applications including Large Language Models and image generation. Here, we inquire on the applicability of this approach to financial…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-03-14 Pierre Brugiere , Gabriel Turinici

Precise short-term price prediction in the highly volatile cryptocurrency market is critical for informed trading strategies. Although Temporal Fusion Transformers (TFTs) have shown potential, their direct use often struggles in the face of…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-09-16 Arash Peik , Mohammad Ali Zare Chahooki , Amin Milani Fard , Mehdi Agha Sarram

Multi-agent spatiotemporal modeling is a challenging task from both an algorithmic design and computational complexity perspective. Recent work has explored the efficacy of traditional deep sequential models in this domain, but these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-30 Michael A. Alcorn , Anh Nguyen

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting has been extensively applied across diverse domains, such as weather prediction and energy consumption. However, current studies still rely on the vanilla point-wise self-attention mechanism to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-21 Yingnan Yang , Qingling Zhu , Jianyong Chen

Although conventional machine learning algorithms have been widely adopted for stock-price predictions in recent years, the massive volume of specific labeled data required are not always available. In contrast, meta-learning technology…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-18 Shin-Hung Chang , Cheng-Wen Hsu , Hsing-Ying Li , Wei-Sheng Zeng , Jan-Ming Ho

Predicting stock price movements during Earnings Announcements (EAs) is a significant challenge due to market noise and high-impact price discontinuities. In this study, we evaluate whether pre-announcement news sentiment, firm…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Manuel Noseda , Nathan Soldati , Marco Paina

Earnings release is a key economic event in the financial markets and crucial for predicting stock movements. Earnings data gives a glimpse into how a company is doing financially and can hint at where its stock might go next. However, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-27 Zhengxin Joseph Ye , Bjoern Schuller

We introduce a new convolutional AutoEncoder architecture for user modelling and recommendation tasks with several improvements over the state of the art. Firstly, our model has the flexibility to learn a set of associations and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-10 Antoine Ledent , Petr Kasalický , Rodrigo Alves , Hady W. Lauw

As a branch of time series forecasting, stock movement forecasting is one of the challenging problems for investors and researchers. Since Transformer was introduced to analyze financial data, many researchers have dedicated themselves to…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-04-12 Chufeng Li , Jianyong Chen

Attentional mechanisms are order-invariant. Positional encoding is a crucial component to allow attention-based deep model architectures such as Transformer to address sequences or images where the position of information matters. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-10 Yang Li , Si Si , Gang Li , Cho-Jui Hsieh , Samy Bengio

Time series forecasting is an important problem, with many real world applications. Ensembles of deep neural networks have recently achieved impressive forecasting accuracy, but such large ensembles are impractical in many real world…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-31 Espen Haugsdal , Erlend Aune , Massimiliano Ruocco

Multivariate time series forecasting is a pivotal task in several domains, including financial planning, medical diagnostics, and climate science. This paper presents the Neural Fourier Transform (NFT) algorithm, which combines…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-24 Noam Koren , Kira Radinsky

We present a representation learning framework for financial time series forecasting. One challenge of using deep learning models for finance forecasting is the shortage of available training data when using small datasets. Direct trend…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-10 Hanwei Wu , Ather Gattami , Markus Flierl