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Recent CNN and Transformer-based models tried to utilize frequency and periodicity information for long-term time series forecasting. However, most existing work is based on Fourier transform, which cannot capture fine-grained and local…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-05 Peiyuan Liu , Beiliang Wu , Naiqi Li , Tao Dai , Fengmao Lei , Jigang Bao , Yong Jiang , Shu-Tao Xia

Generating temporal data under conditions is crucial for forecasting, imputation, and generative tasks. Such data often has metadata and partially observed signals that jointly influence the generated values. However, existing methods face…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-05 Aditya Shankar , Lydia Y. Chen , Arie van Deursen , Rihan Hai

Tidal energy is one of the key components in increasing the penetration of renewable energy. High tidal energy penetration into the electrical grid depends on accurate tidal current speed forecasting. Model inaccuracies hinder forecast…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-03 Tengfei Cheng , Yangdi Huang , Ling Xiao , Yunxuan Dong

A wavelet-based machine learning method is proposed for predicting the time evolution of homogeneous isotropic turbulence where vortex tubes are preserved. Three-dimensional convolutional neural networks and long short-term memory are…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2024-04-04 Tomoki Asaka , Katsunori Yoshimatsu , Kai Schneider

Accurate wind speed and direction forecasting is paramount across many sectors, spanning agriculture, renewable energy generation, and bushfire management. However, conventional forecasting models encounter significant challenges in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-31 Fuling Chen , Kevin Vinsen , Arthur Filoche

Accurate electricity load forecasting is essential for grid stability, resource optimization, and renewable energy integration. While transformer-based deep learning models like TimeGPT have gained traction in time-series forecasting, their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-19 Millend Roy , Vladimir Pyltsov , Yinbo Hu

Applying machine learning models to meteorological data brings many opportunities to the Geosciences field, such as predicting future weather conditions more accurately. In recent years, modeling meteorological data with deep neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-11 Rafaela Castro , Yania M. Souto , Eduardo Ogasawara , Fabio Porto , Eduardo Bezerra

Accurate forecasts of extreme wind speeds are of high importance for many applications. Such forecasts are usually generated by ensembles of numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, which however can be biased and have errors in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-12 Jakob Benjamin Wessel , Christopher A. T. Ferro , Gavin R. Evans , Frank Kwasniok

We present the method of complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition (CEEMD) and Hilbert-Huang transform (HHT) for analyzing nonstationary financial time series. This noise-assisted approach decomposes any time series into a number…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2021-05-25 Tim Leung , Theodore Zhao

Integrating wind power into the grid is challenging because of its random nature. Integration is facilitated with accurate short-term forecasts of wind power. The paper presents a spatio-temporal wind speed forecasting algorithm that…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2015-03-05 Borhan M. Sanandaji , Akin Tascikaraoglu , Kameshwar Poolla , Pravin Varaiya

The forecast accuracy of machine learning (ML) weather prediction models is improving rapidly, leading many to speak of a "second revolution in weather forecasting". With numerous methods being developed and limited physical guarantees…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-01-24 Olivier C. Pasche , Jonathan Wider , Zhongwei Zhang , Jakob Zscheischler , Sebastian Engelke

We introduce WaveSim, a multi-scale similarity metric for the evaluation of spatial fields in weather and climate applications. WaveSim exploits wavelet transforms to decompose input fields into scale-specific wavelet coefficients. The…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-12-17 Gabriele Accarino , Viviana Acquaviva , Sara Shamekh , Duncan Watson-Parris , David Lawrence

Reliable forecasting of Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI) is essential for mitigating the variability of solar energy in power grids. This study presents a comprehensive benchmark of ten deep learning architectures for short-term (1-hour…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-01 Tin Hoang

For short-term solar irradiance forecasting, the traditional point forecasting methods are rendered less useful due to the non-stationary characteristic of solar power. The amount of operating reserves required to maintain reliable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-02 Sakshi Mishra , Praveen Palanisamy

Deep learning has been actively applied to time series forecasting, leading to a deluge of new methods, belonging to the class of historical-value models. Yet, despite the attractive properties of time-index models, such as being able to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-18 Gerald Woo , Chenghao Liu , Doyen Sahoo , Akshat Kumar , Steven Hoi

Multivariate time series forecasting plays a crucial role in various real-world applications. Significant efforts have been made to integrate advanced network architectures and training strategies that enhance the capture of temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-31 Zhiding Liu , Jiqian Yang , Qingyang Mao , Yuze Zhao , Mingyue Cheng , Zhi Li , Qi Liu , Enhong Chen

Multi-variate time series (MTS) data is a ubiquitous class of data abstraction in the real world. Any instance of MTS is generated from a hybrid dynamical system and their specific dynamics are usually unknown. The hybrid nature of such a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-07 Jinliang Deng , Xiusi Chen , Renhe Jiang , Xuan Song , Ivor W. Tsang

Although demand forecasting is a critical component of supply chain planning, actual retail data can exhibit irreconcilable seasonality, irregular spikes, and noise, rendering precise projections nearly unattainable. This paper proposes a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-03 Khai Banh Nghiep , Duc Nguyen Minh , Lan Hoang Thi

Accurate forecasting of renewable energy generation is fundamental to enhancing the dynamic performance of modern power grids, especially under high renewable penetration. This paper presents Channel-Time Patch Time-Series Transformer…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-23 Kuan Lu , Menghao Huo , Yuxiao Li , Qiang Zhu , Zhenrui Chen

The ability to predict wind is crucial for both energy production and weather forecasting. Mechanistic models that form the basis of traditional forecasting perform poorly near the ground. In this paper, we take an alternative data-driven…