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相关论文: A metrological framework for uncertainty evaluatio…

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ML models have errors when used for predictions. The errors are unknown but can be quantified by model uncertainty. When multiple ML models are trained using the same training points, their model uncertainties may be statistically…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-23 Xiaoping Du

Machine learning (ML) models are increasingly being used in metrology applications. However, for ML models to be credible in a metrology context they should be accompanied by principled uncertainty quantification. This paper addresses the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-09 Andrew Thompson

Accurate representations of unknown and sub-grid physical processes through parameterizations (or closure) in numerical simulations with quantified uncertainty are critical for resolving the coarse-grained partial differential equations…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-08 Yongquan Qu , Mohamed Aziz Bhouri , Pierre Gentine

In the context of industrially mass-manufactured products, quality management is based on physically inspecting a small sample from a large batch and reasoning about the batch's quality conformance. When complementing physical inspections…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-02-22 Simon Cramer , Tobias Müller , Robert H. Schmitt

To learn about real world phenomena, scientists have traditionally used models with clearly interpretable elements. However, modern machine learning (ML) models, while powerful predictors, lack this direct elementwise interpretability (e.g.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-07-16 Timo Freiesleben , Gunnar König , Christoph Molnar , Alvaro Tejero-Cantero

The development of large databases of material properties, together with the availability of powerful computers, has allowed machine learning (ML) modeling to become a widely used tool for predicting material performances. While confidence…

材料科学 · 物理学 2023-10-23 Francesca Tavazza , Kamal Choudhary , Brian DeCost

Ensuring that predictions of machine learning (ML) classification models are accompanied by uncertainty estimates is one of the main pillars of trustworthy AI. Current research in uncertainty quantification focuses mainly on epistemic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-27 Samuel Bilson , Miles McCrory , Anna Pustogvar

One compelling vision of the future of materials discovery and design involves the use of machine learning (ML) models to predict materials properties and then rapidly find materials tailored for specific applications. However, realizing…

Uncertainty quantification is one of the most crucial tasks to obtain trustworthy and reliable machine learning models for decision making. However, most research in this domain has only focused on problems with small label spaces and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-20 Jyun-Yu Jiang , Wei-Cheng Chang , Jiong Zhong , Cho-Jui Hsieh , Hsiang-Fu Yu

Simulations using machine learning (ML) models and mechanistic models are often run to inform decision-making processes. Uncertainty estimates of simulation results are critical to the decision-making process because simulation results of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-08 Babajide Kolade

The adaptation and use of Machine Learning (ML) in our daily lives has led to concerns in lack of transparency, privacy, reliability, among others. As a result, we are seeing research in niche areas such as interpretability, causality, bias…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-04 Fahimeh Fakour , Ali Mosleh , Ramin Ramezani

Machine learning models have emerged as a very effective strategy to sidestep time-consuming electronic-structure calculations, enabling accurate simulations of greater size, time scale and complexity. Given the interpolative nature of…

Trust is a crucial factor affecting the adoption of machine learning (ML) models. Qualitative studies have revealed that end-users, particularly in the medical domain, need models that can express their uncertainty in decision-making…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-21 Andrew Houston , Georgina Cosma

Reliable uncertainty quantification is essential for the use of machine learning in physics, where scientific discoveries depend on validated probabilistic statements. We provide a structured overview of uncertainty quantification in ML for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Manuel Haußmann , Ramon Winterhalder , Maria Ubiali

As large language models (LLMs) continue to evolve, understanding and quantifying the uncertainty in their predictions is critical for enhancing application credibility. However, the existing literature relevant to LLM uncertainty…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-10-22 Hsiu-Yuan Huang , Yutong Yang , Zhaoxi Zhang , Sanwoo Lee , Yunfang Wu

Reliable quantification of uncertainty in Mobile Laser Scanning (MLS) point clouds is essential for ensuring the accuracy and credibility of downstream applications such as 3D mapping, modeling, and change analysis. Traditional backward…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-10-30 Ziyang Xu , Olaf Wysocki , Christoph Holst

Commonly, AI or machine learning (ML) models are evaluated on benchmark datasets. This practice supports innovative methodological research, but benchmark performance can be poorly correlated with performance in real-world applications -- a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-18 Olivier Binette , Jerome P. Reiter

Uncertainty quantification in Artificial Intelligence (AI)-based predictions of material properties is of immense importance for the success and reliability of AI applications in material science. While confidence intervals are commonly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-16 Francesca Tavazza , Brian De Cost , Kamal Choudhary

Knowing the uncertainty in a prediction is critical when making expensive investment decisions and when patient safety is paramount, but machine learning (ML) models in drug discovery typically provide only a single best estimate and ignore…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-03 Stanley E. Lazic , Dominic P. Williams

Forming a reliable judgement of a machine learning (ML) model's appropriateness for an application ecosystem is critical for its responsible use, and requires considering a broad range of factors including harms, benefits, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-12 Ben Hutchinson , Negar Rostamzadeh , Christina Greer , Katherine Heller , Vinodkumar Prabhakaran
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