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In multivariable time series (MTS) forecasting, existing state-of-the-art deep learning approaches tend to focus on autoregressive formulations and often overlook the potential of using exogenous variables in enhancing the prediction of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-03 Yuxuan Shu , Vasileios Lampos

Accurate and efficient multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting is essential for applications such as traffic management and weather prediction, which depend on capturing long-range temporal dependencies and interactions between entities.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-27 Yiming Niu , Jinliang Deng , Lulu Zhang , Zimu Zhou , Yongxin Tong

The massive generation of time-series data by largescale Internet of Things (IoT) devices necessitates the exploration of more effective models for multivariate time-series forecasting. In previous models, there was a predominant use of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-15 Wenyong Han , Tao Zhu Member , Liming Chen , Huansheng Ning , Yang Luo , Yaping Wan

Among the existing Transformer-based multivariate time series forecasting methods, iTransformer, which treats each variable sequence as a token and only explicitly extracts cross-variable dependencies, and PatchTST, which adopts a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-08 Liyang Qin , Xiaoli Wang , Chunhua Yang , Huaiwen Zou , Haochuan Zhang

This paper presents \textbf{FreEformer}, a simple yet effective model that leverages a \textbf{Fre}quency \textbf{E}nhanced Trans\textbf{former} for multivariate time series forecasting. Our work is based on the assumption that the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-27 Wenzhen Yue , Yong Liu , Xianghua Ying , Bowei Xing , Ruohao Guo , Ji Shi

Understanding the latent causal factors of a dynamical system from visual observations is considered a crucial step towards agents reasoning in complex environments. In this paper, we propose CITRIS, a variational autoencoder framework that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-16 Phillip Lippe , Sara Magliacane , Sindy Löwe , Yuki M. Asano , Taco Cohen , Efstratios Gavves

Transformer-based models have significantly advanced time series forecasting. Recent work, like the Cross-Attention-only Time Series transformer (CATS), shows that removing self-attention can make the model more accurate and efficient.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-08 Jiajun Song , Xiaoou Liu

Multi-horizon forecasting problems often contain a complex mix of inputs -- including static (i.e. time-invariant) covariates, known future inputs, and other exogenous time series that are only observed historically -- without any prior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-09-29 Bryan Lim , Sercan O. Arik , Nicolas Loeff , Tomas Pfister

The estimation of time-varying quantities is a fundamental component of decision making in fields such as healthcare and finance. However, the practical utility of such estimates is limited by how accurately they quantify predictive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-29 Alexandre Drouin , Étienne Marcotte , Nicolas Chapados

The advent of Vision Transformers (ViTs) marks a substantial paradigm shift in the realm of computer vision. ViTs capture the global information of images through self-attention modules, which perform dot product computations among…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-06-04 Shuoxi Zhang , Hanpeng Liu , Stephen Lin , Kun He

Time series prediction is crucial for understanding and forecasting complex dynamics in various domains, ranging from finance and economics to climate and healthcare. Based on Transformer architecture, one approach involves encoding…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-24 Xin Cheng , Xiuying Chen , Shuqi Li , Di Luo , Xun Wang , Dongyan Zhao , Rui Yan

We propose an efficient design of Transformer-based models for multivariate time series forecasting and self-supervised representation learning. It is based on two key components: (i) segmentation of time series into subseries-level patches…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-07 Yuqi Nie , Nam H. Nguyen , Phanwadee Sinthong , Jayant Kalagnanam

Transformers have achieved remarkable performance in multivariate time series(MTS) forecasting due to their capability to capture long-term dependencies. However, the canonical attention mechanism has two key limitations: (1) its quadratic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-17 Yifan Zhang , Rui Wu , Sergiu M. Dascalu , Frederick C. Harris

A variety of real-world applications rely on far future information to make decisions, thus calling for efficient and accurate long sequence multivariate time series forecasting. While recent attention-based forecasting models show strong…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-02 Razvan-Gabriel Cirstea , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang , Tung Kieu , Xuanyi Dong , Shirui Pan

Recent advances in deep forecasting models have achieved remarkable performance, yet most approaches still struggle to provide both accurate predictions and interpretable insights into temporal dynamics. This paper proposes CaReTS, a novel…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-14 Fulong Yao , Wanqing Zhao , Chao Zheng , Xiaofei Han

Irregularly sampled multivariate time series (ISMTS) are prevalent in reality. Due to their non-uniform intervals between successive observations and varying sampling rates among series, the channel-independent (CI) strategy, which has been…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-18 Jiexi Liu , Meng Cao , Songcan Chen

Sequence modeling faces challenges in capturing long-range dependencies across diverse tasks. Recent linear and transformer-based forecasters have shown superior performance in time series forecasting. However, they are constrained by their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-25 Bong Gyun Kang , Dongjun Lee , HyunGi Kim , DoHyun Chung , Sungroh Yoon

Transformer-based time series forecasting has recently gained strong interest due to the ability of transformers to model sequential data. Most of the state-of-the-art architectures exploit either temporal or inter-channel dependencies,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-25 Davide Villaboni , Alberto Castellini , Ivan Luciano Danesi , Alessandro Farinelli

Multivariate time series forecasting plays a crucial role in various real-world applications. Significant efforts have been made to integrate advanced network architectures and training strategies that enhance the capture of temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-31 Zhiding Liu , Jiqian Yang , Qingyang Mao , Yuze Zhao , Mingyue Cheng , Zhi Li , Qi Liu , Enhong Chen

In recent years, Transformer-based models (Transformers) have achieved significant success in multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF). However, previous works focus on extracting features either from the time domain or the frequency…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-22 Aobo Liang , Yan Sun , Nadra Guizani