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With growing numbers of intelligent autonomous systems in human environments, the ability of such systems to perceive, understand and anticipate human behavior becomes increasingly important. Specifically, predicting future positions of…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2020-07-27 Andrey Rudenko , Luigi Palmieri , Michael Herman , Kris M. Kitani , Dariu M. Gavrila , Kai O. Arras

Mimicking human ability to forecast future positions or interpret complex interactions in urban scenarios, such as streets, shopping malls or squares, is essential to develop socially compliant robots or self-driving cars. Autonomous…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-09-20 Matteo Lisotto , Pasquale Coscia , Lamberto Ballan

Next-step location prediction plays a pivotal role in modeling human mobility, underpinning applications from personalized navigation to strategic urban planning. However, approaches that assume a closed world - restricting choices to a…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-08-05 Zhehong Ren , Tianluo Zhang , Yiheng Lu , Yushen Liang , Promethee Spathis

Modeling car-following behavior is fundamental to microscopic traffic simulation, yet traditional deterministic models often fail to capture the full extent of variability and unpredictability in human driving. While many modern approaches…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-01-30 Chengyuan Zhang , Zhengbing He , Cathy Wu , Lijun Sun

In this paper, we present Goal-GAN, an interpretable and end-to-end trainable model for human trajectory prediction. Inspired by human navigation, we model the task of trajectory prediction as an intuitive two-stage process: (i) goal…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-10-05 Patrick Dendorfer , Aljoša Ošep , Laura Leal-Taixé

Nowadays as the world population has become more interconnected and is relying on faster transportation methods, simplified connections and shorter commuting times, we witness a rapid increase in human mobility. In this situation unveiling…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2017-06-13 Karim Keramat Jahromi

The burgeoning availability of sensing technology and location-based data is driving the expansion of analysis of human mobility networks in science and engineering research, as well as in epidemic forecasting and mitigation, urban…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2024-05-02 Chia-Wei Hsu , Chenyue Liu , Kiet Minh Nguyen , Yu-Heng Chien , Ali Mostafavi

It is commonplace to encounter nonstationary data, of which the underlying generating process may change over time or across domains. The nonstationarity presents both challenges and opportunities for causal discovery. In this paper we…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-06-21 Kun Zhang , Biwei Huang , Jiji Zhang , Bernhard Schölkopf , Clark Glymour

Uncertainty-aware prediction is essential for safe motion planning, especially when using learned models to forecast the behavior of surrounding agents. Conformal prediction is a statistical tool often used to produce uncertainty-aware…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-11-19 Allen Emmanuel Binny , Anushri Dixit

The historical trajectories previously passing through a location may help infer the future trajectory of an agent currently at this location. Despite great improvements in trajectory forecasting with the guidance of high-definition maps,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-07-21 Yiqi Zhong , Zhenyang Ni , Siheng Chen , Ulrich Neumann

Faced with data-driven policies, individuals will manipulate their features to obtain favorable decisions. While earlier works cast these manipulations as undesirable gaming, recent works have adopted a more nuanced causal framing in which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-22 Tom Yan , Shantanu Gupta , Zachary Lipton

Predicting future trajectories of surrounding obstacles is a crucial task for autonomous driving cars to achieve a high degree of road safety. There are several challenges in trajectory prediction in real-world traffic scenarios, including…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-03-31 Bo Dong , Hao Liu , Yu Bai , Jinbiao Lin , Zhuoran Xu , Xinyu Xu , Qi Kong

Identifying variables responsible for changes to a biological system enables applications in drug target discovery and cell engineering. Given a pair of observational and interventional datasets, the goal is to isolate the subset of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-02 Menghua Wu , Umesh Padia , Sean H. Murphy , Regina Barzilay , Tommi Jaakkola

Understanding the variability of people's travel patterns is key to transport planning and policy-making. However, to what extent daily transit use displays geographic and temporal variabilities, and what are the contributing factors have…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-03-12 Sui Tao , Francisco Rowe , Hongyu Shan

We introduce a novel framework for temporal causal discovery and inference that addresses two key challenges: complex nonlinear dependencies and spurious correlations. Our approach employs a multi-layer Transformer-based time-series…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-25 Jihua Huang , Yi Yao , Ajay Divakaran

In this paper, we tackle the task of scene-aware 3D human motion forecasting, which consists of predicting future human poses given a 3D scene and a past human motion. A key challenge of this task is to ensure consistency between the human…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-10-11 Wei Mao , Miaomiao Liu , Richard Hartley , Mathieu Salzmann

Predicting the trajectories of surrounding agents is an essential ability for autonomous vehicles navigating through complex traffic scenes. The future trajectories of agents can be inferred using two important cues: the locations and past…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-09-04 Kaouther Messaoud , Nachiket Deo , Mohan M. Trivedi , Fawzi Nashashibi

The ability to accurately predict the trajectory of surrounding vehicles is a critical hurdle to overcome on the journey to fully autonomous vehicles. To address this challenge, we pioneer a novel behavior-aware trajectory prediction model…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-12-18 Haicheng Liao , Zhenning Li , Huanming Shen , Wenxuan Zeng , Dongping Liao , Guofa Li , Shengbo Eben Li , Chengzhong Xu

This study presents a novel framework for counterfactual user behavior forecasting that combines structural causal models with transformer-based generative artificial intelligence. To model fictitious situations, the method creates causal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-12 Dharmateja Priyadarshi Uddandarao , Ravi Kiran Vadlamani

Background: Symbolic models, particularly decision trees, are widely used in software engineering for explainable analytics in defect prediction, configuration tuning, and software quality assessment. Most of these models rely on…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2026-02-19 Amirali Rayegan , Tim Menzies