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In safety-critical Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS), accurate trajectory prediction provides vital guidance for downstream planning and control, yet although deep learning models achieve high-fidelity forecasts on validation data, their…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-03-17 Tongfei Guo , Lili Su

To increase efficacy in traditional classroom courses as well as in Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs), automated systems supporting the instructor are needed. One important problem is to automatically detect students that are going to do…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-03-21 Yannick Meier , Jie Xu , Onur Atan , Mihaela van der Schaar

Change points in real-world systems mark significant regime shifts in system dynamics, possibly triggered by exogenous or endogenous factors. These points define regimes for the time evolution of the system and are crucial for understanding…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-30 Ioanna-Yvonni Tsaknaki , Fabrizio Lillo , Piero Mazzarisi

The performance in higher secondary school education in India is a turning point in the academic lives of all students. As this academic performance is influenced by many factors, it is essential to develop predictive data mining model for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2010-02-08 M. Ramaswami , R. Bhaskaran

The ability to accurately predict and analyze student performance in online education, both at the outset and throughout the semester, is vital. Most of the published studies focus on binary classification (Fail or Pass) but there is still…

The increasing availability of longitudinal student achievement data has heightened interest among researchers, educators and policy makers in using these data to evaluate educational inputs, as well as for school and possibly teacher…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-08-11 Daniel F. McCaffrey , J. R. Lockwood

An early warning of future system failure is essential for conducting predictive maintenance and enhancing system availability. This paper introduces a three-step framework for assessing system health to predict imminent system breakdowns.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-26 Hao Zhao , Rong Pan

We consider the problem of learning in a non-stationary reinforcement learning (RL) environment, where the setting can be fully described by a piecewise stationary discrete-time Markov decision process (MDP). We introduce a variant of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-04 Reda Alami , Mohammed Mahfoud , Eric Moulines

Multimodal learning with incomplete input data (missing modality) is practical and challenging. In this work, we conduct an in-depth analysis of this challenge and find that modality dominance has a significant negative impact on the model…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-02-27 Hao Wang , Shengda Luo , Guosheng Hu , Jianguo Zhang

The inherently diverse and uncertain nature of trajectories presents a formidable challenge in accurately modeling them. Motion prediction systems must effectively learn spatial and temporal information from the past to forecast the future…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-11-28 Pranav Singh Chib , Pravendra Singh

In this paper the problem of retrospective change-point detection and estimation in multivariate linear models is considered. The lower bounds for the error of change-point estimation are proved in different cases (one change-point:…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-10-27 Boris Brodsky , Boris Darkhovsky

Change-point detection methods are proposed for the case of temporary failures, or transient changes, when an unexpected disorder is ultimately followed by a readjustment and return to the initial state. A base distribution of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-12-14 Baron Michael , Malov Sergey

When recording the movement of individual animals, cells or molecules one will often observe changes in their diffusive behaviour at certain points in time along their trajectory. In order to capture the different diffusive modes assembled…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-10-21 Henrik Seckler , Ralf Metzler

Early detection of incipient faults is of vital importance to reducing maintenance costs, saving energy, and enhancing occupant comfort in buildings. Popular supervised learning models such as deep neural networks are considered promising…

Prediction tasks about students have practical significance for both student and college. Making multiple predictions about students is an important part of a smart campus. For instance, predicting whether a student will fail to graduate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-27 Haobing Liu , Yanmin Zhu , Tianzi Zang , Yanan Xu , Jiadi Yu , Feilong Tang

Changepoint detection is commonly formulated by minimizing the sum of in-sample losses to quantify the model's overall fit. However, for flexible modeling procedures -- especially those involving high-dimensional parameter spaces or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-05 Chengde Qian , Guanghui Wang , Zhaojun Wang , Changliang Zou

The detection of anomalies or transitions in complex dynamical systems is of critical importance to various applications. In this study, we propose the use of machine learning to detect changepoints for high-dimensional dynamical systems.…

动力系统 · 数学 2023-05-18 Sen Lin , Gianmarco Mengaldo , Romit Maulik

Introduced by Hinton et al. in 2012, dropout has stood the test of time as a regularizer for preventing overfitting in neural networks. In this study, we demonstrate that dropout can also mitigate underfitting when used at the start of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-01 Zhuang Liu , Zhiqiu Xu , Joseph Jin , Zhiqiang Shen , Trevor Darrell

Data drift is the change in model input data that is one of the key factors leading to machine learning models performance degradation over time. Monitoring drift helps detecting these issues and preventing their harmful consequences.…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-05-30 Ella Rabinovich , Matan Vetzler , Samuel Ackerman , Ateret Anaby-Tavor

The introductory programming course (CS1) at the university level is often perceived as particularly challenging, contributing to high dropout rates among Computer Science students. Identifying when and how students encounter difficulties…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2026-04-28 Denis Zhidkikh , Ville Isomöttönen , Toni Taipalus