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Accurate and reliable energy time series prediction is of great significance for power generation planning and allocation. At present, deep learning time series prediction has become the mainstream method. However, the multi-scale time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-08 Wei Li , Zixin Wang , Qizheng Sun , Qixiang Gao , Fenglei Yang

Although recent studies on time-series anomaly detection have increasingly adopted ever-larger neural network architectures such as transformers and foundation models, they incur high computational costs and memory usage, making them…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-15 Jinju Park , Seokho Kang

Recent advances in lightweight time series forecasting models suggest the inherent simplicity of time series forecasting tasks. In this paper, we present CMoS, a super-lightweight time series forecasting model. Instead of learning the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-27 Haotian Si , Changhua Pei , Jianhui Li , Dan Pei , Gaogang Xie

Large volumes of spatiotemporal data, characterized by high spatial and temporal variability, may experience structural changes over time. Unlike traditional change-point problems, each sequence in this context consists of function-valued…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-12 Fengyi Song , Decai Liang , Changliang Zou

Recent developments in engineering techniques for spatial data collection such as geographic information systems have resulted in an increasing need for methods to analyze large spatial data sets. These sorts of data sets can be found in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-14 Toshihiro Hirano

Wind power prediction is of vital importance in wind power utilization. There have been a lot of researches based on the time series of the wind power or speed, but In fact, these time series cannot express the temporal and spatial changes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-07-19 Ruiguo Yu , Zhiqiang Liu , Xuewei Li , Wenhuan Lu , Mei Yu , Jianrong Wang , Bin Li

Structural Health Monitoring (SHM) is vital for evaluating structural condition, aiming to detect damage through sensor data analysis. It aligns with predictive maintenance in modern industry, minimizing downtime and costs by addressing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-10 Ishan Pathak , Ishan Jha , Aditya Sadana , Basuraj Bhowmik

Accurate building load forecasting plays a critical role in facilitating demand response aggregation and optimizing energy management. However, the complex temporal dependencies and high volatility of building loads limit the improvement of…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-04-16 Hang Fan , Ying Lu , Weican Liu , Dunnan Liu , Xiaotao Chen , Shengwei Mei

While time series prediction is an important, actively studied problem, the predictive accuracy of time series models is complicated by non-stationarity. We develop a fast and effective approach to allow for non-stationarity in the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-12-10 Daniel M. McCarthy , Shane T. Jensen

This paper addresses the issue of detecting change-points in multivariate time series. The proposed approach differs from existing counterparts by making only weak assumptions on both the change-points structure across series, and the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-07-14 Flore Harlé , Florent Chatelain , Cédric Gouy-Pailler , Sophie Achard

Cyber-physical system (CPS) forecasting models depend on sensor streams with noisy, biased, missing, or temporally misaligned readings, yet standard forecasting evaluation often selects models by nominal error without showing whether they…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Alexander Windmann , Philipp Wittenberg , Gianluca Manca , Marcel Dix , Jens U. Brandt , Oliver Niggemann

Accurate flood prediction is crucial for disaster prevention and mitigation. Hydrological data exhibit highly nonlinear temporal patterns and encompass complex spatial relationships between rainfall and flow. Existing flood prediction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-11 Jun Feng , Xueyi Liu , Jiamin Lu , Pingping Shao

The diversity of time series applications and scarcity of domain-specific data highlight the need for time-series models with strong few-shot learning capabilities. In this work, we propose a novel training scheme and a transformer-based…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-25 Ege Onur Taga , M. Emrullah Ildiz , Samet Oymak

Process Model Forecasting (PMF) aims to predict how the control-flow structure of a process evolves over time by modeling the temporal dynamics of directly-follows (DF) relations, complementing predictive process monitoring that focuses on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-09 Yongbo Yu , Jari Peeperkorn , Johannes De Smedt , Jochen De Weerdt

Given a set of synchronous time series, each associated with a sensor-point in space and characterized by inter-series relationships, the problem of spatiotemporal forecasting consists of predicting future observations for each point.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-11 Ivan Marisca , Cesare Alippi , Filippo Maria Bianchi

Time series forecasting is essential for many practical applications, with the adoption of transformer-based models on the rise due to their impressive performance in NLP and CV. Transformers' key feature, the attention mechanism,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-09 PeiSong Niu , Tian Zhou , Xue Wang , Liang Sun , Rong Jin

Time series data, including univariate and multivariate ones, are characterized by unique composition and complex multi-scale temporal variations. They often require special consideration of decomposition and multi-scale modeling to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-26 Shuhan Zhong , Sizhe Song , Weipeng Zhuo , Guanyao Li , Yang Liu , S. -H. Gary Chan

High-dimensional multivariate time series are challenging due to the dependent and high-dimensional nature of the data, but in many applications there is additional structure that can be exploited to reduce computing time along with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-13 Michael Schweinberger , Sergii Babkin , Katherine Ensor

Spatiotemporal forecasting is critical for real-world applications like traffic management, yet capturing reliable interactions remains challenging under noisy and non-stationary conditions. Existing methods primarily rely on historical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-20 Yinghao Ai , Yukai Zhou , Ruoxi Jiang , Junyi An , Chao Qu , Zhijian Zhou , Shiyu Wang , Fenglei Cao , Zenglin Xu , Furao Shen , Yuan Qi

Using a time series model to mimic an observed time series has a long history. However, with regard to this objective, conventional estimation methods for discrete-time dynamical models are frequently found to be wanting. In fact, they are…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-19 Yingcun Xia , Howell Tong