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Generative probabilistic forecasting produces future time series samples according to the conditional probability distribution given past time series observations. Such techniques are essential in risk-based decision-making and planning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-22 Xinyi Wang , Lang Tong , Qing Zhao

Large-scale administrative data is a common input in early warning systems for college dropout in higher education. Still, the terminology and methodology vary significantly across existing studies, and the implications of different…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-01-15 Dominik Glandorf , Hye Rin Lee , Gabe Avakian Orona , Marina Pumptow , Renzhe Yu , Christian Fischer

With the increasing proportion of renewable energy in the generation side, it becomes more difficult to accurately predict the power generation and adapt to the large deviations between the optimal dispatch scheme and the day-ahead…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-03-07 Xinyue Wang , Haiwang Zhong , Guanglun Zhang , Guangchun Ruan , Yiliu He , Zekuan Yu

In machine learning, a bias occurs whenever training sets are not representative for the test data, which results in unreliable models. The most common biases in data are arguably class imbalance and covariate shift. In this work, we aim to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-04-04 Patrick Glauner , Radu State , Petko Valtchev , Diogo Duarte

Fault monitoring and diagnostics are important to ensure reliability of electric motors. Efficient algorithms for fault detection improve reliability, yet development of cost-effective and reliable classifiers for diagnostics of equipment…

音频与语音处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-09-16 Waldemar Bauer , Marta Zagorowska , Jerzy Baranowski

Security assessment is among the most fundamental functions of power system operator. The sheer complexity of power systems exceeding a few buses, however, makes it an extremely computationally demanding task. The emergence of deep learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-04-22 José-María Hidalgo-Arteaga , Fiodar Hancharou , Florian Thams , Spyros Chatzivasileiadis

Prediction of breakdown in disordered solids under external loading in a question of paramount importance. Here we use a fiber bundle model for disordered solids and record the time series of the avalanche sizes and energy bursts. The time…

统计力学 · 物理学 2022-09-14 Diksha , Soumyajyoti Biswas

Online identification of post-contingency transient stability is essential in power system control, as it facilitates the grid operator to decide and coordinate system failure correction control actions. Utilizing machine learning methods…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-05-23 James J. Q. Yu , David J. Hill , Albert Y. S. Lam , Jiatao Gu , Victor O. K. Li

Modern power networks face increasing vulnerability to cascading failures due to high complexity and the growing penetration of intermittent resources, necessitating rigorous security assessment beyond the conventional $N-1$ criterion.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-12-10 Alexandre Gracia-Calvo , Francesca Rossi , Eduardo Iraola , Juan Carlos Olives-Camps , Eduardo Prieto-Araujo

Forecasting the dynamics of chaotic systems from the analysis of their output signals is a challenging problem with applications in most fields of modern science. In this work, we use a laser model to compare the performance of several…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2019-11-14 Pablo Amil , Miguel C. Soriano , Cristina Masoller

In complex networks, the failure of one or very few nodes may cause cascading failures. When this dynamical process stops in steady state, the size of the giant component formed by remaining un-failed nodes can be used to measure the…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2015-06-30 Junbiao Liu , Xinyu Jin , Lurong Jiang , Yongxiang Xia , Bo Ouyang , Fang Dong , Yicong Lang , Wenping Zhang

Machine learning, statistical-based, and knowledge-based methods are often used to implement an Anomaly-based Intrusion Detection System which is software that helps in detecting malicious and undesired activities in the network primarily…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2023-03-01 Vusumuzi Malele , Topside E Mathonsi

Thunderstorm-driven power outages are difficult to predict because most storms do not cause damage, convective processes occur rapidly and chaotically, and the available public data are noisy and incomplete. Severe convective storms now…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-08 Iryna Stanishevska , Seth Guikema

With the sharp increase of power demand, large-scale blackouts in power grids occur frequently around the world. Cascading failures are the main causes of network outages. Therefore, revealing the complicated cascade mechanism in grids is…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-07-31 Yubo Huang , Junguo Lu , Weidong Zhang

This paper presents a robust adaptive learning Model Predictive Control (MPC) framework for linear systems with parametric uncertainties and additive disturbances performing iterative tasks. The approach refines the parameter estimates…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-09-04 Hannes Petrenz , Johannes Köhler , Francesco Borrelli

In this paper, we present a new approach to learning cascaded classifiers for use in computing environments that involve networks of heterogeneous and resource-constrained, low-power embedded compute and sensing nodes. We present a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-06-27 Hamid Dadkhahi , Benjamin M. Marlin

Plant biomass estimation is critical due to the variability of different environmental factors and crop management practices associated with it. The assessment is largely impacted by the accurate prediction of different environmental…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-02-07 Syeda Nyma Ferdous , Xin Li , Kamalakanta Sahoo , Richard Bergman

To support N-1 pre-fault transient stability assessment, this paper introduces a new data collection method in a data-driven algorithm incorporating the knowledge of power system dynamics. The domain knowledge on how the disturbance effect…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-03-08 Seyedali Meghdadi , Guido Tack , Ariel Liebman , Nicolas Langrené , Christoph Bergmeir

Assuming access to synchronized stream of Phasor Measurement Unit (PMU) data over a significant portion of a power system interconnect, say controlled by an Independent System Operator (ISO), what can you extract about past, current and…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2020-09-25 Mauro Escobar , Daniel Bienstock , Michael Chertkov

Cascading failures in power systems propagate non-locally, making the control and mitigation of outages extremely hard. In this work, we use the emerging concept of the tree partition of transmission networks to provide an analytical…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-08-20 Linqi Guo , Chen Liang , Alessandro Zocca , Steven H. Low , Adam Wierman