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The extratropical meridional energy transport in the atmosphere is fundamentally intermittent in nature, having extremes large enough to affect the net seasonal transport. Here, we investigate how these extreme transports are associated…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-10-27 Valerio Lembo , Federico Fabiano , Vera Melinda Galfi , Rune Graversen , Valerio Lucarini , Gabriele Messori

The Arctic has warmed dramatically compared to the global average over the last few decades. During this same period, there have been strong cooling trends observed in the wintertime, near-surface air temperature over central Eurasia, a…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2019-11-20 Stephen Outten , Richard Davy , Linling Chen

Decadal-scale interactions between the tropical Atlantic and Pacific Oceans play a crucial role in global climate variability through bidirectional teleconnections. Current climate models show persistent biases in representing these basin…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-04-08 Yan Xia , Yong-Fu Lin , Jin-Yi Yu , Walter Hannah , Mike Pritchard

The low frequency variability of the extratropical atmosphere involves hemispheric-scale recurring, often persistent, states known as teleconnection patterns or regimes, which can have profound impact on predictability on intra-seasonal and…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-01-31 Dmitry Mukhin , Abdel Hannachi , Tobias Braun , Norbert Marwan

The teleconnection between European climate and Atlantic Multidecadal Variability (AMV) remains difficult to isolate in observations because of internal variability and anthropogenically-forced signals. Using model sensitivity experiments…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-03-18 Saïd Qasmi , Christophe Cassou , Julien Boé

Several large scale circulation patterns have been identified in relation to extreme Northern Hemisphere summer heatwaves. Three main ones are a double jet over Eurasia, a positive phase of the summer northern annular mode, and a…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-03-10 Valeria Mascolo , Francesco Ragone , Nili Harnik , Freddy Bouchet

The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (phase 6) (CMIP6) global circulation models (GCMs) predict equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) values ranging between 1.8 and 5.7 $^\circ$C. To narrow this range, we group 38 GCMs into low, medium…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-10-21 Nicola Scafetta

This study investigates the synoptic circulation patterns associated with temperature extremes in southeastern (SE) Europe. Using ERA-Interim reanalysis data we report on the typical patterns that characterize the middle and upper…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2019-04-09 Georgios Fragkoulidis , Volkmar Wirth

Due to climate change, heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, with western Europe experiencing the strongest trends in the Northern Hemisphere mid-latitudes. Part of the temperature trends are caused by circulation changes, which…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-12-22 Tamara Happé , Jasper Wijnands , Paolo Scussolini , Peter Pfleiderer , Dim Coumou

Current literature suggests that urban heat-islands and their consequences are intensifying under climate change and urbanization. Here we explore the relatively unexplored hypothesis that emerging urban corridors (UCs) spawn megaregions of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-11-30 Babak Jalalzadeh Fard , Udit Bhatia , Auroop R. Ganguly

Current models for spatial extremes are concerned with the joint upper (or lower) tail of the distribution at two or more locations. Such models cannot account for teleconnection patterns of two-meter surface air temperature ($T_{2m}$) in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-12 Mitchell L. Krock , Adam H. Monahan , Michael L. Stein

Variations in stratospheric atmospheric circulation significantly influence tropospheric weather and climate, and understanding these variations can guide stratospheric aircraft development and operations. Despite a century of progress,…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-03-26 Ningning Tao , Xiaosong Chen , Fei Xie , Yongwen Zhang , Yan Xia , Xuan Ma , Han Huang , Hongyu Wang

Observations indicate that the Arctic sea ice cover is rapidly retreating while the Antarctic sea ice cover is steadily expanding. State-of-the-art climate models, by contrast, typically simulate a moderate decrease in both the Arctic and…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2017-10-11 Erica Rosenblum , Ian Eisenman

The equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) of the CMIP6 global circulation models (GCMs) varies from 1.83 {\deg}C to 5.67 {\deg}C. Herein, 38 GCMs are grouped into three ECS classes (low, 1.80-3.00 {\deg}C; medium, 3.01-4.50 {\deg}C; high,…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-03-30 Nicola Scafetta

The low-frequency variability of the mid-latitude atmosphere involves complex nonlinear and chaotic dynamical processes posing predictability challenges. It is characterized by sporadically recurring, often long-lived patterns of…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-10-24 Dmitry Mukhin , Roman Samoilov , Abdel Hannachi

The downward trend in Arctic sea ice extent is one of the most dramatic signals of climate change during recent decades. Comprehensive climate models have struggled to reproduce this, typically simulating a slower rate of sea ice retreat…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2016-12-21 Erica Rosenblum , Ian Eisenman

We have analyzed the teleconnection of total cloud fraction (TCF) with global sea surface temperature (SST) in multi-model ensembles (MME) of the fifth and sixth Coupled Model Intercomparison Projects (CMIP5 and CMIP6). CMIP6-MME has a more…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-01-15 Ushnanshu Dutta , Anupam Hazra , Hemantkumar S. Chaudhari , Subodh Kumar Saha , Samir Pokhrel , Utkarsh Verma

Here we evaluate the sea ice, surface air temperature, and sea-level-pressure from 31 of the models used in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) for their biases, trends, and variability, and compare them to the CMIP5…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2019-12-30 Richard Davy , Stephen Outten

Eastern Boundary Upwelling Systems (EBUS) are characterized by wind-triggered upwelling of deep waters along the coast. They are hotspots of biological productivity and diversity and therefore have a high economic, ecological and social…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-04-28 Raquel Flügel , Steven Herbette , Anne-Marie Treguier , Robin Waldman , Malcolm Roberts

The results of an analysis of changes in the characteristics of atmospheric centers of action (ACAs) in the Northern (NH) and Southern (SH) hemispheres using results of simulations with the CMIP5 and CMIP6 ensembles of climate models are…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-06-12 I. I. Mokhov , A. M. Osipov , A. V. Chernokulsky
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