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相关论文: Performance of Zero-Shot Time Series Foundation Mo…

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The recent surge in foundation models for natural language processing and computer vision has fueled innovation across various domains. Inspired by this progress, we explore the potential of foundation models for time-series forecasting in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-12 Boje Deforce , Bart Baesens , Estefanía Serral Asensio

An approach is presented for making predictions about functional time series. The method is applied to data coming from periodically correlated processes and electricity demand, obtaining accurate point forecasts and narrow prediction bands…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-29 Antonio Elías , Raúl Jiménez

Foundation models for zero-shot time series forecasting face challenges in efficient long-horizon prediction and reproducibility, with existing synthetic-only approaches underperforming on challenging benchmarks. This paper presents…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-06 Vladyslav Moroshan , Julien Siems , Arber Zela , Timur Carstensen , Frank Hutter

With the growing availability of multi-domain time series data, there is an increasing demand for general forecasting models pre-trained on multi-source datasets to support diverse downstream prediction scenarios. Existing time series…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-09 Yihang Wang , Yuying Qiu , Peng Chen , Kai Zhao , Yang Shu , Zhongwen Rao , Lujia Pan , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo

State estimation in control and systems engineering traditionally requires extensive manual system identification or data-collection effort. However, transformer-based foundation models in other domains have reduced data requirements by…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-09-05 Tobin Holtmann , David Stenger , Andres Posada-Moreno , Friedrich Solowjow , Sebastian Trimpe

Machine learning models, meticulously optimized for source data, often fail to predict target data when faced with distribution shifts (DSs). Previous benchmarking studies, though extensive, have mainly focused on simple DSs. Recognizing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-09 Myeongho Jeon , Suhwan Choi , Hyoje Lee , Teresa Yeo

The continuous advances in data collection and storage techniques allow us to observe and record real-life processes in great detail. Examples include financial transaction data, fMRI images, satellite photos, earths pollution distribution…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-02-26 Łukasz Kidziński

Time series forecasting is an important and forefront task in many real-world applications. However, most of time series forecasting techniques assume that the training data is clean without anomalies. This assumption is unrealistic since…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-06 Hao Cheng , Qingsong Wen , Yang Liu , Liang Sun

Foundation models (FM) have demonstrated remarkable performance across a wide range of tasks (especially in the fields of natural language processing and computer vision), primarily attributed to their ability to comprehend instructions and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-02-11 Hongling Zheng , Li Shen , Anke Tang , Yong Luo , Han Hu , Bo Du , Yonggang Wen , Dacheng Tao

By encoding time series as a string of numerical digits, we can frame time series forecasting as next-token prediction in text. Developing this approach, we find that large language models (LLMs) such as GPT-3 and LLaMA-2 can surprisingly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-13 Nate Gruver , Marc Finzi , Shikai Qiu , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Machine learning models for forecasting solar flares have been trained and evaluated using a variety of data sources, including Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) operational and science-quality data. Typically, data from these sources…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2026-02-02 Ke Hu , Kevin Jin , Victor Verma , Weihao Liu , Ward Manchester , Lulu Zhao , Tamas Gombosi , Yang Chen

Foundation models (FMs), i.e., models trained on a vast amount of typically unlabeled data, have become popular and available recently for the domain of histopathology. The key idea is to extract semantically rich vectors from any input…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-12-17 Jonathan Ganz , Jonas Ammeling , Emely Rosbach , Ludwig Lausser , Christof A. Bertram , Katharina Breininger , Marc Aubreville

Climate models are complicated software systems that approximate atmospheric and oceanic fluid mechanics at a coarse spatial resolution. Typical climate forecasts only explicitly resolve processes larger than 100 km and approximate any…

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) require diverse, real-world datasets to adapt across varying domains and temporal frequencies. However, current large-scale datasets predominantly focus on low-frequency time series with sampling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-22 Subina Khanal , Seshu Tirupathi , Merim Dzaferagic , Marco Ruffini , Torben Bach Pedersen

In robot manipulation, Reinforcement Learning (RL) often suffers from low sample efficiency and uncertain convergence, especially in large observation and action spaces. Foundation Models (FMs) offer an alternative, demonstrating promise in…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-04-18 Runyu Ma , Jelle Luijkx , Zlatan Ajanovic , Jens Kober

Reliability is extremely important for large-scale cloud systems like Microsoft 365. Cloud failures such as disk failure, node failure, etc. threaten service reliability, resulting in online service interruptions and economic loss. Existing…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2023-09-07 Fangkai Yang , Wenjie Yin , Lu Wang , Tianci Li , Pu Zhao , Bo Liu , Paul Wang , Bo Qiao , Yudong Liu , Mårten Björkman , Saravan Rajmohan , Qingwei Lin , Dongmei Zhang

The rise in energy demand highlights the importance of suitable subsurface storage, requiring detailed and accurate subsurface characterization often reliant on high-quality borehole well log data. However, obtaining complete well-log data…

地球物理 · 物理学 2024-12-10 Ardiansyah Koeshidayatullah , Abdulrahman Al-Fakih , SanLinn Ismael Kaka

Explosive growth in spatio-temporal data and its wide range of applications have attracted increasing interests of researchers in the statistical and machine learning fields. The spatio-temporal regression problem is of paramount importance…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-15 Aniruddha Rajendra Rao , Qiyao Wang , Haiyan Wang , Hamed Khorasgani , Chetan Gupta

Foundation models (FMs) such as large language models have revolutionized the field of AI by showing remarkable performance in various tasks. However, they exhibit numerous limitations that prevent their broader adoption in many real-world…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-02-05 Debarun Bhattacharjya , Junkyu Lee , Don Joven Agravante , Balaji Ganesan , Radu Marinescu

Unlike traditional time-series forecasting methods that require extensive in-task data for training, zero-shot forecasting can directly predict future values given a target time series without additional training data. Current zero-shot…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-05 Ting-Ji Huang , Xu-Yang Chen , Han-Jia Ye
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