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Deciding the best future execution time is a critical task in many business activities while evolving time series forecasting, and optimal timing strategy provides such a solution, which is driven by observed data. This solution has plenty…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-10-10 Chen Pan , Fan Zhou , Xuanwei Hu , Xinxin Zhu , Wenxin Ning , Zi Zhuang , Siqiao Xue , James Zhang , Yunhua Hu

In recent years, both online and offline deep learning models have been developed for time series forecasting. However, offline deep forecasting models fail to adapt effectively to changes in time-series data, while online deep forecasting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-06 Mohamed Mejri , Chandramouli Amarnath , Abhijit Chatterjee

Fuzzy time series forecasting (FTSF) is a typical forecasting method with wide application. Traditional FTSF is regarded as an expert system which leads to loss of the ability to recognize undefined features. The mentioned is the main…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-29 Tianxiang Zhan , Yuanpeng He , Yong Deng , Zhen Li

Deep forecasting models often suffer from attenuated periodic perception and entangled trend-noise representations as network depth increases. Moreover, the widely adopted channel-independent paradigm, while improving training stability,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Hua Wang , Xianhao Jiao , Fan Zhang

Conventional time-series forecasting methods typically aim to minimize overall prediction error, without accounting for the varying importance of different forecast ranges in downstream applications. We propose a training methodology that…

Probabilistic forecasting of multivariate time series is essential for various downstream tasks. Most existing approaches rely on the sequences being uniformly spaced and aligned across all variables. However, real-world multivariate time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-18 Yijun Li , Cheuk Hang Leung , Qi Wu

Time series forecasting plays a critical role in domains such as transportation, energy, and meteorology. Despite their success, modern deep forecasting models are typically trained to minimize point-wise prediction loss without leveraging…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-27 Xiannan Huang , Shen Fang , Shuhan Qiu , Chengcheng Yu , Jiayuan Du , Chao Yang

Time-series forecasting is a critical challenge in various domains and has witnessed substantial progress in recent years. Many real-life scenarios, such as public health, economics, and social applications, involve feedback loops where…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-04 Zhiyuan Zhao , Haoxin Liu , Alexander Rodriguez , B. Aditya Prakash

Time series forecasting presents unique challenges that limit the effectiveness of traditional machine learning algorithms. To address these limitations, various approaches have incorporated linear constraints into learning algorithms, such…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-18 Nathan Doumèche , Francis Bach , Éloi Bedek , Gérard Biau , Claire Boyer , Yannig Goude

High-dimensional time series prediction is needed in applications as diverse as demand forecasting and climatology. Often, such applications require methods that are both highly scalable, and deal with noisy data in terms of corruptions or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-02-18 Hsiang-Fu Yu , Nikhil Rao , Inderjit S. Dhillon

We propose a tree ensemble method, referred to as time series forest (TSF), for time series classification. TSF employs a combination of the entropy gain and a distance measure, referred to as the Entrance (entropy and distance) gain, for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-06-04 Houtao Deng , George Runger , Eugene Tuv , Martyanov Vladimir

As multimodal data proliferates across diverse real-world applications, leveraging heterogeneous information such as texts and timestamps for accurate time series forecasting (TSF) has become a critical challenge. While diffusion models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-09 Da Zhang , Bingyu Li , Zhuyuan Zhao , Junyu Gao , Feiping Nie , Xuelong Li

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) is a critical task across diverse domains. Despite significant advancements in LTSF research, we identify a performance bottleneck in existing LTSF methods caused by the inadequate modeling of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-22 Qi Xiong , Kai Tang , Minbo Ma , Ji Zhang , Jie Xu , Tianrui Li

Long-range time series forecasting is usually based on one of two existing forecasting strategies: Direct Forecasting and Iterative Forecasting, where the former provides low bias, high variance forecasts and the latter leads to low…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-14 Shiyu Liu , Rohan Ghosh , Mehul Motani

Time series refer to a series of data points indexed in time order, which can be found in various fields, e.g., transportation, healthcare, and finance. Accurate time series forecasting can enhance optimization planning and decision-making…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-12 Ling Chen , Jiahua Cui

Forecasting in probabilistic time series is a complex endeavor that extends beyond predicting future values to also quantifying the uncertainty inherent in these predictions. Gaussian process regression stands out as a Bayesian machine…

The stable periodic patterns present in time series data serve as the foundation for conducting long-horizon forecasts. In this paper, we pioneer the exploration of explicitly modeling this periodicity to enhance the performance of models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-16 Shengsheng Lin , Weiwei Lin , Xinyi Hu , Wentai Wu , Ruichao Mo , Haocheng Zhong

Recent efforts have been dedicated to enhancing time series forecasting accuracy by introducing advanced network architectures and self-supervised pretraining strategies. Nevertheless, existing approaches still exhibit two critical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-19 Zhiding Liu , Jiqian Yang , Mingyue Cheng , Yucong Luo , Zhi Li

Deep learning has shown strong performance in time series forecasting tasks. However, issues such as missing values and anomalies in sequential data hinder its further development in prediction tasks. Previous research has primarily focused…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-17 Hua Wang , Jinghao Lu , Fan Zhang

Time-series forecasting (TSF) finds broad applications in real-world scenarios. Due to the dynamic nature of time-series data, it is crucial to equip TSF models with out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization abilities, as historical training…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-14 Haoxin Liu , Harshavardhan Kamarthi , Lingkai Kong , Zhiyuan Zhao , Chao Zhang , B. Aditya Prakash