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The forecasting of irregular multivariate time series (IMTS) is crucial in key areas such as healthcare, biomechanics, climate science, and astronomy. However, achieving accurate and practical predictions is challenging due to two main…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-18 Xvyuan Liu , Xiangfei Qiu , Xingjian Wu , Zhengyu Li , Chenjuan Guo , Jilin Hu , Bin Yang

We introduce LatentTimePFN (LaT-PFN), a foundational Time Series model with a strong embedding space that enables zero-shot forecasting. To achieve this, we perform in-context learning in latent space utilizing a novel integration of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-24 Stijn Verdenius , Andrea Zerio , Roy L. M. Wang

Time series forecasting plays an increasingly important role in modern business decisions. In today's data-rich environment, people often aim to choose the optimal forecasting model for their data. However, identifying the optimal model…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-12-17 Xixi Li , Fotios Petropoulos , Yanfei Kang

In this paper, we use convolutional neural networks to address the problem of model identification for autoregressive moving average time series models. We compare the performance of several neural network architectures, trained on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-21 Wai Hoh Tang , Adrian Röllin

Accurately forecasting power outages is a complex task influenced by diverse factors such as weather conditions [1], vegetation, wildlife, and load fluctuations. These factors introduce substantial variability and noise into outage data,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-23 Subhabrata Das , Bodruzzaman Khan , Xiao-Yang Liu

This paper develops an approach for multi-step forecasting of dynamical systems by integrating probabilistic input forecasting with physics-informed output prediction. Accurate multi-step forecasting of time series systems is important for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-13 Mahdi Nasiri , Johanna Kortelainen , Simo Särkkä

Stock market plays an important role in the economic development. Due to the complex volatility of the stock market, the research and prediction on the change of the stock price, can avoid the risk for the investors. The traditional time…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-02-23 Zhuangwei Shi , Yang Hu , Guangliang Mo , Jian Wu

During the past decade, metal additive manufacturing (MAM) has experienced significant developments and gained much attention due to its ability to fabricate complex parts, manufacture products with functionally graded materials, minimize…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-06 Sina Tayebati , Kyu Taek Cho

Recent advancements in language modeling have shown promising results when applied to time series data. In particular, fine-tuning pre-trained large language models (LLMs) for time series classification tasks has achieved state-of-the-art…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-03 Rachneet Kaur , Zhen Zeng , Tucker Balch , Manuela Veloso

This study discusses how insights retrieved from subscriber data can impact decision-making in telecommunications, focusing on predictive modeling using machine learning techniques such as the ARIMA model. The study explores time series…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-24 Mike Wa Nkongolo

This study proposes an integrated machine learning framework for advanced traffic analysis, combining time-series forecasting, classification, and computer vision techniques. The system utilizes an ARIMA(2,0,1) model for traffic prediction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-25 Nivedita M , Yasmeen Shajitha S

Large Language Model (LLM) inference systems present significant challenges in statistical performance characterization due to dynamic workload variations, diverse hardware architectures, and complex interactions between model size, batch…

Clinical time-series data are difficult to model with methods designed for regular sequences because they exhibit irregular sampling, frequent missing values, and heterogeneous observation patterns across variables. Existing approaches…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Jinwoong Kim , Sangjin Park

Stock market prediction is a long-standing challenge in finance, as accurate forecasts support informed investment decisions. Traditional models rely mainly on historical prices, but recent work shows that financial news can provide useful…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-10 Nader Sadek , Mirette Moawad , Christina Naguib , Mariam Elzahaby

Modelling physical data with linear discrete time series, namely Fractionally Integrated Autoregressive Moving Average (ARFIMA), is a technique which achieved attention in recent years. However, these models are used mainly as a statistical…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2017-03-20 Jakub Ślęzak , Aleksander Weron

The hybrid model combines the physics-based primitive-equations model SPEEDY with a machine learning-based (ML-based) model component, while ERA5 reanalyses provide the presumed true states of the atmosphere. Six-hourly simulated noisy…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2025-09-29 Dylan Elliott , Troy Arcomano , Istvan Szunyogh , Brian R. Hunt

Spatio-temporal forecasting plays a crucial role in various sectors such as transportation systems, logistics, and supply chain management. However, existing methods are limited by their ability to handle large, complex datasets. To…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-27 Sakhinana Sagar Srinivas , Chidaksh Ravuru , Geethan Sannidhi , Venkataramana Runkana

Anomaly Detection in multivariate time series is a major problem in many fields. Due to their nature, anomalies sparsely occur in real data, thus making the task of anomaly detection a challenging problem for classification algorithms to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-08 Anastasios Iliopoulos , John Violos , Christos Diou , Iraklis Varlamis

Time-series forecasting models (TSFM) have evolved from classical statistical methods to sophisticated foundation models, yet understanding why and when these models succeed or fail remains challenging. Despite this known limitation, time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-29 Michael Widener , Kausik Lakkaraju , John Aydin , Biplav Srivastava

With the advent of Big Data, nowadays in many applications databases containing large quantities of similar time series are available. Forecasting time series in these domains with traditional univariate forecasting procedures leaves great…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-09-13 Kasun Bandara , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl