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Estimating the causal effects of a spatially-varying intervention on a spatially-varying outcome may be subject to non-local confounding (NLC), a phenomenon that can bias estimates when the treatments and outcomes of a given unit are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-13 Mauricio Tec , James Scott , Corwin Zigler

Causal discovery uncovers complex relationships between variables, enhancing predictions, decision-making, and insights into real-world systems, especially in nonlinear multivariate time series. However, most existing methods primarily…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-30 Wasim Ahmad , Joachim Denzler , Maha Shadaydeh

Air pollution and carbon emissions caused by modern transportation are closely related to global climate change. With the help of next-generation information technology such as Internet of Things (IoT) and Artificial Intelligence (AI),…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-03 Wei Zhao , Shiqi Zhang , Bing Zhou , Bei Wang

This paper aims at improving predictive crime models by extending the mathematical framework of Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) tailored to general spatiotemporal problems and appropriately applying them. Recent advancements in the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-01 Nicholas Robert Fisk , Matthew Ng Kok Ming , Zahratu Shabrina

Wildfires have become one of the biggest natural hazards for environments worldwide. The effects of wildfires are heterogeneous, meaning that the magnitude of their effects depends on many factors such as geographical region, climate and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-05-10 Feliu Serra-Burriel , Pedro Delicado , Andrew T. Prata , Fernando M. Cucchietti

This paper presents a deep learning framework for medical video segmentation. Convolution neural network (CNN) and transformer-based methods have achieved great milestones in medical image segmentation tasks due to their incredible semantic…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-02-13 Chengxi Zeng , Xinyu Yang , David Smithard , Majid Mirmehdi , Alberto M Gambaruto , Tilo Burghardt

Unmeasured confounding is a fundamental obstacle to causal inference from observational data. Latent-variable methods address this challenge by imputing unobserved confounders, yet many lack explicit model-based identification guarantees…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-03-03 Yaxin Fang , Faming Liang

Estimating potential outcomes for treatments over time based on observational data is important for personalized decision-making in medicine. However, many existing methods for this task fail to properly adjust for time-varying confounding…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-18 Konstantin Hess , Dennis Frauen , Valentyn Melnychuk , Stefan Feuerriegel

Most user-related data can be represented as a sequence of events associated with a timestamp and a collection of categorical labels. For example, the purchased basket of goods and the time of buying fully characterize the event of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-29 Elizaveta Kovtun , Galina Boeva , Andrey Shulga , Alexey Zaytsev

Epidemiological studies are often concerned with estimating causal effects of a sequence of treatment decisions on survival outcomes. In many settings, treatment decisions do not occur at fixed, pre-specified followup times. Rather, timing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-23 Arman Oganisian

Evidence derived primarily from physical models has identified saltwater disposal as the dominant causal factor that contributes to induced seismicity. To complement physical models, statistical/machine learning (ML) models are designed to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-10-21 Yuchen Xiao , Corwin Zigler , Peter H. Hennings , Alexandros Savvaidis

Temporal Sentence Grounding (TSG) aims to identify relevant moments in an untrimmed video that semantically correspond to a given textual query. Despite existing studies having made substantial progress, they often overlook the issue of…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-08-26 Kefan Tang , Lihuo He , Jisheng Dang , Xinbo Gao

Self-awareness is the key capability of autonomous systems, e.g., autonomous driving network, which relies on highly efficient time series forecasting algorithm to enable the system to reason about the future state of the environment, as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-18 Minh-Thanh Bui , Duc-Thinh Ngo , Demin Lu , Zonghua Zhang

Anomaly detection in multivariate time series is a central challenge in industrial monitoring, as failures frequently arise from complex temporal dynamics and cross-sensor interactions. While recent deep learning models, including graph…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-21 Pooyan Khosravinia , João Gama , Bruno Veloso

Climate-vulnerable road networks require a paradigm shift from reactive, fix-on-failure repairs to predictive, decision-ready maintenance. This paper introduces ST-ResGAT, a novel Spatio-Temporal Residual Graph Attention Network that fuses…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Mohsin Mahmud Topu , Azmine Toushik Wasi , Mahfuz Ahmed Anik , MD Manjurul Ahsan

Modeling multivariate time series has long been a subject that has attracted researchers from a diverse range of fields including economics, finance, and traffic. A basic assumption behind multivariate time series forecasting is that its…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-26 Zonghan Wu , Shirui Pan , Guodong Long , Jing Jiang , Xiaojun Chang , Chengqi Zhang

Trajectory prediction for multi-agents in complex scenarios is crucial for applications like autonomous driving. However, existing methods often overlook environmental biases, which leads to poor generalization. Additionally, hardware…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-20 Xiaohe Li , Feilong Huang , Zide Fan , Fangli Mou , Leilei Lin , Yingyan Hou , Lijie Wen

Accurate flight delay prediction is crucial for the secure and effective operation of the air traffic system. Recent advances in modeling inter-airport relationships present a promising approach for investigating flight delay prediction…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-07-23 Qihui Zhu , Shenwen Chen , Tong Guo , Yisheng Lv , Wenbo Du

Understanding causality between real-world events from social media is essential for situational awareness, yet existing causal discovery methods often overlook the interplay between semantic, spatial, and temporal contexts. We propose…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2026-02-04 Hieu Duong , Eugene Levin , Todd Gary , Long Nguyen

As a representative of public transportation, the fundamental issue of managing bike-sharing systems is bike flow prediction. Recent methods overemphasize the spatio-temporal correlations in the data, ignoring the effects of contextual…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-20 Pan Deng , Yu Zhao , Junting Liu , Xiaofeng Jia , Mulan Wang