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Recently, large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated outstanding reasoning capabilities on mathematical and coding tasks. However, their application to financial tasks-especially the most fundamental task of stock movement…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-10-27 Xueyuan Lin , Cehao Yang , Ye Ma , Ming Li , Rongjunchen Zhang , Yang Ni , Xiaojun Wu , Chengjin Xu , Jian Guo , Hui Xiong

Scientists frequently prioritize learning from data rather than training the best possible model; however, research in machine learning often prioritizes the latter. Marginal contribution feature importance (MCI) was developed to break this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-11-12 Joseph Janssen , Vincent Guan , Elina Robeva

The financial industry poses great challenges with risk modeling and profit generation. These entities are intricately tied to the sophisticated prediction of stock movements. A stock forecaster must untangle the randomness and…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-09-14 Luke Sanborn , Matthew Sahagun

Algorithmic trading, due to its inherent nature, is a difficult problem to tackle; there are too many variables involved in the real world which make it almost impossible to have reliable algorithms for automated stock trading. The lack of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-01-28 Abhishek Nan , Anandh Perumal , Osmar R. Zaiane

This paper proposes DeepRule, an integrated framework for automated business rule generation in retail assortment and pricing optimization. Addressing the systematic misalignment between existing theoretical models and real-world economic…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-12-04 Yusen Wu , Xiaotie Deng

The use of intelligent systems for stock market predictions has been widely established. In this paper, we investigate how the seemingly chaotic behavior of stock markets could be well represented using several connectionist paradigms and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 Ajith Abraham , Ninan Sajith Philip , P. Saratchandran

Can AI Agents simulate real-world trading environments to investigate the impact of external factors on stock trading activities (e.g., macroeconomics, policy changes, company fundamentals, and global events)? These factors, which…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-09-24 Chong Zhang , Xinyi Liu , Zhongmou Zhang , Mingyu Jin , Lingyao Li , Zhenting Wang , Wenyue Hua , Dong Shu , Suiyuan Zhu , Xiaobo Jin , Sujian Li , Mengnan Du , Yongfeng Zhang

Prediction of future movement of stock prices has always been a challenging task for the researchers. While the advocates of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) believe that it is impossible to design any predictive framework that can…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-09-03 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen

The endeavor of stock trend forecasting is principally focused on predicting the future trajectory of the stock market, utilizing either manual or technical methodologies to optimize profitability. Recent advancements in machine learning…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-02-19 Mingjie Wang , Juanxi Tian , Mingze Zhang , Jianxiong Guo , Weijia Jia

Designing robust frameworks for precise prediction of future prices of stocks has always been considered a very challenging research problem. The advocates of the classical efficient market hypothesis affirm that it is impossible to…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-08-31 Jaydip Sen , Sidra Mehtab

Reward models (RMs) are essential for aligning large language models (LLM) with human expectations. However, existing RMs struggle to capture the stochastic and uncertain nature of human preferences and fail to assess the reliability of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-13 Xingzhou Lou , Dong Yan , Wei Shen , Yuzi Yan , Jian Xie , Junge Zhang

Prediction of future movement of stock prices has been a subject matter of many research work. There is a gamut of literature of technical analysis of stock prices where the objective is to identify patterns in stock price movements and…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-09-07 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen

The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) famously stated that prices fully reflect the information available to traders. This critically depends on the transfer of information into prices through trading strategies. Traders optimise their…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2025-01-14 Paolo Barucca , Flaviano Morone

Artificial intelligence is transforming financial investment decision-making frameworks, with deep reinforcement learning demonstrating substantial potential in robo-advisory applications. This paper addresses the limitations of traditional…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2025-02-24 Gang Huang , Xiaohua Zhou , Qingyang Song

Effective financial reasoning demands not only textual understanding but also the ability to interpret complex visual data such as charts, tables, and trend graphs. This paper introduces a new benchmark designed to evaluate how well AI…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-06-10 Shuangyan Deng , Haizhou Peng , Jiachen Xu , Chunhou Liu , Ciprian Doru Giurcuaneanu , Jiamou Liu

Traditional competitive markets do not account for negative externalities; indirect costs that some participants impose on others, such as the cost of over-appropriating a common-pool resource (which diminishes future stock, and thus…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2023-01-16 Panayiotis Danassis , Aris Filos-Ratsikas , Haipeng Chen , Milind Tambe , Boi Faltings

Building predictive models for robust and accurate prediction of stock prices and stock price movement is a challenging research problem to solve. The well-known efficient market hypothesis believes in the impossibility of accurate…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-10-12 Jaydip Sen , Sidra Mehtab

This study investigates whether international equity markets systematically price global macroeconomic risks. The empirical analysis is conducted using monthly excess returns for ten G20 countries over the period 2000-2024. A Dynamic Factor…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-04-30 Vivek Mishra

This paper presents a practical architecture for after-sales demand forecasting and monitoring that unifies a revenue- and cluster-aware ensemble of statistical, machine-learning, and deep-learning models with a role-driven analytics layer…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-10-02 Saravanan Venkatachalam

Trend following and momentum investing are common strategies employed by asset managers. Even though they can be helpful in the proper situations, they are limited in the sense that they work just by looking at past, as if we were driving…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-07-19 Fernando Berzal , Alberto Garcia