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A simple approach to obtaining uncertainty-aware neural networks for regression is to do Bayesian linear regression (BLR) on the representation from the last hidden layer. Recent work [Riquelme et al., 2018, Azizzadenesheli et al., 2018]…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-17 John Moberg , Lennart Svensson , Juliano Pinto , Henk Wymeersch

We incorporate heteroskedasticity into Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) by modeling the log of the error variance parameter as a linear function of prespecified covariates. Under this scheme, the Gibbs sampling procedure for the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-02-24 Justin Bleich , Adam Kapelner

Capturing aleatoric uncertainty is a critical part of many machine learning systems. In deep learning, a common approach to this end is to train a neural network to estimate the parameters of a heteroscedastic Gaussian distribution by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-04 Maximilian Seitzer , Arash Tavakoli , Dimitrije Antic , Georg Martius

Linear regressions with endogeneity are widely used to estimate causal effects. This paper studies a framework that involves two common practical issues: endogeneity of the regressors and heteroskedasticity that depends on endogenous…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-10 Javier Alejo , Antonio F. Galvao , Julian Martinez-Iriarte , Gabriel Montes-Rojas

We propose simultaneous mean-variance regression for the linear estimation and approximation of conditional mean functions. In the presence of heteroskedasticity of unknown form, our method accounts for varying dispersion in the regression…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-01-04 Richard Spady , Sami Stouli

Bayesian network classifiers (BNCs) possess a number of properties desirable for a modern classifier: They are easily interpretable, highly scalable, and offer adaptable complexity. However, traditional methods for learning BNCs have…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-30 Connor Cooper , Geoffrey I. Webb , Daniel F. Schmidt

Heteroscedastic regression considering the varying noises among observations has many applications in the fields like machine learning and statistics. Here we focus on the heteroscedastic Gaussian process (HGP) regression which integrates…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-22 Haitao Liu , Yew-Soon Ong , Jianfei Cai

Standard linear modeling approaches make potentially simplistic assumptions regarding the structure of categorical effects that may obfuscate more complex relationships governing data. For example, recent work focused on the two-way…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-05 Thomas A. Metzger , Christopher T. Franck

Dynamic network data analysis requires joint modelling individual snapshots and time dynamics. This paper proposes a new two-way heterogeneity model towards this goal. The new model equips each node of the network with two heterogeneity…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-15 Binyan Jiang , Chenlei Leng , Ting Yan , Qiwei Yao , Xinyang Yu

In this paper, we use augmented the hierarchical latent variable model to model multi-period time series, where the dynamics of time series are governed by factors or trends in multiple periods. Previous methods based on stacked recurrent…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2018-10-25 Daniel Hsu

Accounting for the complexity of psychological theories requires methods that can predict not only changes in the means of latent variables -- such as personality factors, creativity, or intelligence -- but also changes in their variances.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-27 Luna Fazio , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Since real-world objects and their interactions are often multi-modal and multi-typed, heterogeneous networks have been widely used as a more powerful, realistic, and generic superclass of traditional homogeneous networks (graphs).…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-12-18 Carl Yang , Yuxin Xiao , Yu Zhang , Yizhou Sun , Jiawei Han

Two key challenges in modern statistical applications are the large amount of information recorded per individual, and that such data are often not collected all at once but in batches. These batch effects can be complex, causing…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-05-21 Alejandra Avalos-Pacheco , David Rossell , Richard S. Savage

Deep learning methods for unsupervised registration often rely on objectives that assume a uniform noise level across the spatial domain (e.g. mean-squared error loss), but noise distributions are often heteroscedastic and input-dependent…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-07-19 Xiaoran Zhang , Daniel H. Pak , Shawn S. Ahn , Xiaoxiao Li , Chenyu You , Lawrence H. Staib , Albert J. Sinusas , Alex Wong , James S. Duncan

Meta-analysis is widely used to integrate results from multiple experiments to obtain generalized insights. Since meta-analysis datasets are often heteroscedastic due to varying subgroups and temporal heterogeneity arising from experiments…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-19 Kohsuke Kubota , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Keiichi Ochiai , Takahiro Hoshino

Ensemble learning has gain attention in resent deep learning research as a way to further boost the accuracy and generalizability of deep neural network (DNN) models. Recent ensemble training method explores different training algorithms or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-20 Jingchi Zhang , Huanrui Yang , Hai Li

Uncertainty is ubiquitous in real-world data, and the assumptions underlying classical linear regression models are often violated in practice. Inspired by the theory of sublinear expectation, we consider a linear regression model where the…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-28 Xifeng Li , Shuzhen Yang

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-09-01 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

Heteroscedasticity -- where the variance of a variable changes with other variables -- is pervasive in real data, and elucidating why it arises from the perspective of statistical moments is crucial in scientific knowledge discovery and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-28 Yoichi Chikahara

The latent class model is a widely used mixture model for multivariate discrete data. Besides the existence of qualitatively heterogeneous latent classes, real data often exhibit additional quantitative heterogeneity nested within each…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-23 Zhongyuan Lyu , Ling Chen , Yuqi Gu