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相关论文: Unifying Prediction and Explanation in Time-Series…

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Time-series forecasts are essential for planning and decision-making in many domains. Explainability is key to building user trust and meeting transparency requirements. Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) is a popular explainable AI…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-24 Matthias Hertel , Sebastian Pütz , Ralf Mikut , Veit Hagenmeyer , Benjamin Schäfer

Unpacking and comprehending how black-box machine learning algorithms make decisions has been a persistent challenge for researchers and end-users. Explaining time-series predictive models is useful for clinical applications with high…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-09 Amin Nayebi , Sindhu Tipirneni , Chandan K Reddy , Brandon Foreman , Vignesh Subbian

The value and copyright of training data are crucial in the artificial intelligence industry. Service platforms should protect data providers' legitimate rights and fairly reward them for their contributions. Shapley value, a potent tool…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-21 Haifeng Sun , Yu Xiong , Runze Wu , Xinyu Cai , Changjie Fan , Lan Zhang , Xiang-Yang Li

Researchers in explainable artificial intelligence have developed numerous methods for helping users understand the predictions of complex supervised learning models. By contrast, explaining the $\textit{uncertainty}$ of model outputs has…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-11-01 David S. Watson , Joshua O'Hara , Niek Tax , Richard Mudd , Ido Guy

Changes in input distribution can induce shifts in the average predictions of machine learning models. Such prediction shifts may impact downstream business outcomes (e.g. a bank's loan approval rate), so understanding their causes can be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-14 Tom Bewley , Salim I. Amoukou , Emanuele Albini , Saumitra Mishra , Manuela Veloso

Shapley values are widely used to explain black-box models, but they are costly to calculate because they require many model evaluations. We introduce FastSHAP, a method for estimating Shapley values in a single forward pass using a learned…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-24 Neil Jethani , Mukund Sudarshan , Ian Covert , Su-In Lee , Rajesh Ranganath

Shapley values have become one of the most popular feature attribution explanation methods. However, most prior work has focused on post-hoc Shapley explanations, which can be computationally demanding due to its exponential time complexity…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-07 Rui Wang , Xiaoqian Wang , David I. Inouye

Interpretability is central for scientific machine learning, as understanding \emph{why} models make predictions enables hypothesis generation and validation. While tabular foundation models show strong performance, existing explanation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-01 Luan Borges Teodoro Reis Sena , Francisco Galuppo Azevedo

Understanding why a neural network model makes certain decisions can be as important as the inference performance. Various methods have been proposed to help practitioners explain the prediction of a neural network model, of which Shapley…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-04 Yong Zhao , Runxin He , Nicholas Kersting , Can Liu , Shubham Agrawal , Chiranjeet Chetia , Yu Gu

We propose an efficient design of Transformer-based models for multivariate time series forecasting and self-supervised representation learning. It is based on two key components: (i) segmentation of time series into subseries-level patches…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-07 Yuqi Nie , Nam H. Nguyen , Phanwadee Sinthong , Jayant Kalagnanam

Explaining time series classification models is crucial, particularly in high-stakes applications such as healthcare and finance, where transparency and trust play a critical role. Although numerous time series classification methods have…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-28 Bosong Huang , Ming Jin , Yuxuan Liang , Johan Barthelemy , Debo Cheng , Qingsong Wen , Chenghao Liu , Shirui Pan

In this work we propose for the first time a transformer-based framework for unsupervised representation learning of multivariate time series. Pre-trained models can be potentially used for downstream tasks such as regression and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-10 George Zerveas , Srideepika Jayaraman , Dhaval Patel , Anuradha Bhamidipaty , Carsten Eickhoff

Accurate and reliable energy time series prediction is of great significance for power generation planning and allocation. At present, deep learning time series prediction has become the mainstream method. However, the multi-scale time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-08 Wei Li , Zixin Wang , Qizheng Sun , Qixiang Gao , Fenglei Yang

Shapelets are discriminative time series subsequences that allow generation of interpretable classification models, which provide faster and generally better classification than the nearest neighbor approach. However, the shapelet discovery…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-02-23 Atif Raza , Stefan Kramer

Shapelets are phase independent subsequences designed for time series classification. We propose three adaptations to the Shapelet Transform (ST) to capture multivariate features in multivariate time series classification. We create a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-12-19 Aaron Bostrom , Anthony Bagnall

While preference modelling is becoming one of the pillars of machine learning, the problem of preference explanation remains challenging and underexplored. In this paper, we propose \textsc{Pref-SHAP}, a Shapley value-based model…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-11-09 Robert Hu , Siu Lun Chau , Jaime Ferrando Huertas , Dino Sejdinovic

Predictions are the currency of a machine learning model, and to understand the model's behavior over segments of a dataset, or over time, is an important problem in machine learning research and practice. There currently is no systematic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-17 Aalok Shanbhag , Avijit Ghosh , Josh Rubin

Industrial Internet of Things environments increasingly rely on advanced Anomaly Detection and explanation techniques to rapidly detect and mitigate cyberincidents, thereby ensuring operational safety. The sequential nature of data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-03 Manuel Franco de la Peña , Ángel Luis Perales Gómez , Lorenzo Fernández Maimó

Foundation models pre-trained on large-scale source datasets are reshaping the traditional training paradigm for time series classification. However, existing time series foundation models primarily focus on forecasting tasks and often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-13 Zhen Liu , Yucheng Wang , Boyuan Li , Junhao Zheng , Emadeldeen Eldele , Min Wu , Qianli Ma

Transformers are the de-facto choice for sequence modelling, yet their quadratic self-attention and weak temporal bias can make long-range forecasting both expensive and brittle. We introduce FreezeTST, a lightweight hybrid that interleaves…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-21 Pradeep Singh , Mehak Sharma , Anupriya Dey , Balasubramanian Raman
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