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In order to address the growing need for more accurate space weather predictions, a new model named EUHFORIA (EUropean Heliospheric FORecasting Information Asset) was recently developed (Pomoell and Poedts, 2018). We present first results…

Robustly identifying the solar sources of individual packets of solar wind measured in interplanetary space remains an open problem. We set out to see if this problem is easier to tackle using solar wind measurements closer to the Sun than…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2018-11-21 D. Stansby , T. S. Horbury , L. Matteini

Solar Orbiter provides unique capabilities to understand the heliosphere. In particular, it has made observations of the far-side of the Sun and provides unique information to improve space weather monitoring. We aim to quantify how…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-04-11 Barbara Perri , Adam Finley , Victor Réville , Susanna Parenti , Allan Sacha Brun , Antoine Strugarek , Éric Buchlin

The Sun's outer atmosphere is heated to temperatures of millions of degrees, and solar plasma flows out into interplanetary space at supersonic speeds. This paper reviews our current understanding of these interrelated problems: coronal…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2017-10-11 Steven R. Cranmer , Sarah E. Gibson , Pete Riley

We perform a validation study of the latest version of the Alfv\'{e}n Wave Solar atmosphere Model (AWSoM) within the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF). To do so, we compare the simulation results of the model with a comprehensive…

The solar wind speed at Earth is one of the most important parameters regarding the effects of space weather on society. Thus far, most approaches for predicting the solar wind speed produce a single-value time series without uncertainty,…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2026-03-13 Daniel E. da Silva , Yash Parlikar , Shaela I. Jones , Charles N. Arge

The solar wind is connected to the Sun's atmosphere by flux tubes that are rooted in an ever-changing pattern of positive and negative magnetic polarities on the surface. Observations indicate that the magnetic field is filamentary and…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-06-15 Steven R. Cranmer , Adriaan A. van Ballegooijen , Lauren N. Woolsey

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) can create significant disruption to human activities and systems on Earth, much of which can be mitigated with prior warning of the upstream solar wind conditions. However, it is currently extremely…

Current models of the solar wind must approximate (or ignore) the small-scale dynamics within the solar atmosphere, however these are likely important in shaping the emerging wave-turbulence spectrum and ultimately heating/accelerating the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-09-28 Adam J. Finley , Sacha A. Brun , Mats Carlsson , Mikolaj Szydlarski , Viggo Hansteen , Munehito Shoda

The solar wind, a stream of charged particles originating from the Sun and transcending interplanetary space, poses risks to technology and astronauts. In this work, we develop a prediction model to forecast the solar wind speed at the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2025-01-22 Daniel Collin , Yuri Shprits , Stefan J. Hofmeister , Stefano Bianco , Guillermo Gallego

Predicting the large-scale eruptions from the solar corona and their propagation through interplanetary space remains an outstanding challenge in solar- and helio-physics research. In this article, we describe three dimensional…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-09-08 Ravindra T. Desai , Han Zhang , Emma E. Davies , Julia E. Stawarz , Joan Mico-Gomez , Pilar Iváñez-Ballesteros

We present a novel global 3-D coronal MHD model called COCONUT, polytropic in its first stage and based on a time-implicit backward Euler scheme. Our model boosts run-time performance in comparison with contemporary MHD-solvers based on…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-08-31 Barbara Perri , Peter Leitner , Michaela Brchnelova , Tinatin Baratashvili , Blazej Kuzma , Fan Zhang , Andrea Lani , Stefaan Poedts

Our current capability of space weather prediction in the Earth's radiation belts is limited to only an hour in advance using the real-time solar wind monitoring at the Lagrangian L1 point. To mitigate the impacts of space weather on…

Four decades have gone by since the discovery that the solar wind at 1 AU seems to exist in two relatively distinct states: slow and fast. There is still no universal agreement concerning the primary physical cause of this apparently…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Steven R. Cranmer

Space weather predictions are necessary to avoid damage caused by intense geomagnetic storms. Such strong storms are usually caused by a co-rotating interaction region (CIR) passing at Earth or by the arrival of strong coronal mass…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2025-01-28 Tinatin Baratashvili , Beatrice Popescu Braileanu , Fabio Bacchini , Rony Keppens , Stefaan Poedts

We study three CME/ICME events (2008 June 1-6, 2009 February 13-18, 2010 April 3-5) tracked from Sun to 1 AU in remote-sensing observations of STEREO Heliospheric Imagers and in situ plasma and magnetic field measurements. We focus on the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-05-30 Manuela Temmer , Tanja Rollett , Christian Möstl , Astrid M. Veronig , Bojan Vrsnak , Dusan Odstrcil

This Letter addresses the first Solar Orbiter (SO) -- Parker Solar Probe (PSP) quadrature, occurring on January 18, 2021, to investigate the evolution of solar wind from the extended corona to the inner heliosphere. Assuming ballistic…

The properties of the solar wind, as measured in situ throughout the heliosphere, depend both on the characteristics of its coronal source and on the intrinsic processes governing its interplanetary evolution. Recently, radial and Parker…

Solar wind conditions are predominantly predicted via three-dimensional numerical magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) models. Despite their ability to produce highly accurate predictions, MHD models require computationally intensive high-dimensional…

计算物理 · 物理学 2022-11-30 Opal Issan , Boris Kramer

Using a refined setup process, we simulated the propagation of six observed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) with the 2012 Block-Adaptive-Tree-Solarwind-Roe-Upwind-Scheme (BATS-R-US) code from the Sun to the Earth or STEREO A and compared the…

空间物理 · 物理学 2019-05-23 J. M. Schmidt , Iver H. Cairns