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Nested sampling has emerged as a valuable tool for Bayesian analysis, in particular for determining the Bayesian evidence. The method is based on a specific type of random sampling of the likelihood function and prior volume of the…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2015-05-27 Charles R. Keeton

I propose two U-statistics to test coefficients in generalized linear models. One of them is used to deal with global hypothesis and the other one to test with the nuisance parameter. Both the statistics proposed are within high-dimensional…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-12-03 Gong Zi Jiang Nan

The Political Districting Problem is mapped to a $q$-state Potts model in which the constraints can be written as interactions between sites or external fields acting on the system. Districting into $q$ voter districts is equivalent to…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Chung-I Chou , Sai-Ping Li

Testing for association or dependence between pairs of random variables is a fundamental problem in statistics. In some applications, data are subject to selection bias that causes dependence between observations even when it is absent from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-13 Yaniv Tenzer , Micha Mandel , Or Zuk

Machine learning algorithms are increasingly deployed in critical domains such as finance, healthcare, and criminal justice [1]. The increasing popularity of algorithmic decision-making has stimulated interest in algorithmic fairness within…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-18 Animesh Joshi

Many scientific applications involve testing theories that are only partially specified. This task often amounts to testing the goodness-of-fit of a candidate distribution while allowing for reasonable deviations from it. The tolerant…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-28 Lucas Kania , Tudor Manole , Larry Wasserman , Sivaraman Balakrishnan

Despite its importance to experimental design, statistical power (the probability that, given a real effect, an experiment will reject the null hypothesis) has largely been ignored by the NLP community. Underpowered experiments make it more…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2020-10-15 Dallas Card , Peter Henderson , Urvashi Khandelwal , Robin Jia , Kyle Mahowald , Dan Jurafsky

Assuming an exponential power distribution is one way to deal with outliers in regression and clustering, which can increase the robustness of the analysis. Gaussian distribution is a special case of an exponential distribution. And an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-22 Xiao Chen

Outlier hypothesis testing is studied in a universal setting. Multiple sequences of observations are collected, a small subset of which are outliers. A sequence is considered an outlier if the observations in that sequence are distributed…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2014-04-02 Yun Li , Sirin Nitinawarat , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

We study the computational complexity of the map redistricting problem (gerrymandering). Mathematically, the electoral district designer (gerrymanderer) attempts to partition a weighted graph into $k$ connected components (districts) such…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2024-01-09 Jack Dippel , Max Dupré la Tour , April Niu , Sanjukta Roy , Adrian Vetta

Using methods of statistical mechanics, we analyse the effect of outliers on the supervised learning of a classification problem. The learning strategy aims at selecting informative examples and discarding outliers. We compare two…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Rainer Dietrich , Manfred Opper

We describe here an iterative method for jointly estimating the noise power spectrum from a scanning experiment's time-ordered data, together with the maximum-likelihood map. We test the robustness of this method on simulated datasets with…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 S. Prunet , C. B. Netterfield , E. Hivon , B. P. Crill

Monte Carlo methods -- such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP) samplers -- provide asymptotically exact estimators of expectations under a target distribution. There is growing interest in…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-09-09 Adrien Corenflos , Matthew Sutton , Nicolas Chopin

The increasing frequency and intensity of extreme weather events is significantly affecting the power grid, causing large-scale outages and impacting power system resilience. Yet limited work has been done on systematically modeling the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-11-06 Apsara Adhikari , Charlotte Wertz , Anamika Dubey , Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson

Conjoint analysis is a popular experimental design used to measure multidimensional preferences. Researchers examine how varying a factor of interest, while controlling for other relevant factors, influences decision-making. Currently,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-20 Dae Woong Ham , Kosuke Imai , Lucas Janson

Congressional district lines in many U.S. states are drawn by partisan actors, raising concerns about gerrymandering. To separate the partisan effects of redistricting from the effects of other factors including geography and redistricting…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-01-15 Christopher T. Kenny , Cory McCartan , Tyler Simko , Shiro Kuriwaki , Kosuke Imai

Electricity systems are experiencing increased effects of randomness and variability due to emerging stochastic assets. The increased effects introduce new uncertainties into power systems that can impact system operability and reliability.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-11-10 Naeem Turner-Bandele , Amritanshu Pandey , Larry Pileggi

Many problems of practical interest rely on Continuous-time Markov chains~(CTMCs) defined over combinatorial state spaces, rendering the computation of transition probabilities, and hence probabilistic inference, difficult or impossible…

In majority voting dynamics, a group of $n$ agents in a social network are asked for their preferred candidate in a future election between two possible choices. At each time step, a new poll is taken, and each agent adjusts their vote…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2023-09-06 Diego Maldonado , Pedro Montealegre , Martín Ríos-Wilson , Guillaume Theyssier

We analyzed 2012 and 2016 YouGov pre-election polls in order to understand how different population groups voted in the 2012 and 2016 elections. We broke the data down by demographics and state. We display our findings with a series of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-03-15 Rob Trangucci , Imad Ali , Andrew Gelman , Doug Rivers