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A new class of survival frailty models based on the Generalized Inverse-Gaussian (GIG) distributions is proposed. We show that the GIG frailty models are flexible and mathematically convenient like the popular gamma frailty model.…

Normalizing flows transform a latent distribution through an invertible neural network for a flexible and pleasingly simple approach to generative modelling, while preserving an exact likelihood. We propose FlowGMM, an end-to-end approach…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-01 Pavel Izmailov , Polina Kirichenko , Marc Finzi , Andrew Gordon Wilson

There is an increasing realization that algorithmic inductive biases are central in preventing overfitting; empirically, we often see a benign overfitting phenomenon in overparameterized settings for natural learning algorithms, such as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-14 Difan Zou , Jingfeng Wu , Vladimir Braverman , Quanquan Gu , Sham M. Kakade

Analyzing neural network dynamics via stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is crucial to building theoretical foundations for deep learning. Previous work has analyzed structured inputs within the \textit{hidden manifold model}, often under…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-01 Jaeyong Bae , Hawoong Jeong

While stochastic variational inference is relatively well known for scaling inference in Bayesian probabilistic models, related methods also offer ways to circumnavigate the approximation of analytically intractable expectations. The key…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-09-08 David A. Knowles

Risk assessment in casualty insurance, such as flood risk, traditionally relies on extreme-value methods that emphasizes rare events. These approaches are well-suited for characterizing tail risk, but do not capture the broader dynamics of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-10-22 Samuel Perreault , Silvana M. Pesenti , Daniyal Shahzad

The Tweedie generalized linear models are commonly applied in the insurance industry to analyze semicontinuous claim data. For better prediction of the aggregated claim size, the mean and dispersion of the Tweedie model are often estimated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-27 Yuwen Gu

Approximations are commonly employed in realistic applications of scientific Bayesian inference, often due to convenience if not necessity. In the field of gravitational-wave (GW) data analysis, fast-to-evaluate but approximate waveform…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2024-04-03 Ruiting Mao , Jeong Eun Lee , Ollie Burke , Alvin J. K. Chua , Matthew C. Edwards , Renate Meyer

In this paper, we first propose a Bayesian neighborhood selection method to estimate Gaussian Graphical Models (GGMs). We show the graph selection consistency of this method in the sense that the posterior probability of the true model…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-07-08 Zhixiang Lin , Tao Wang , Can Yang , Hongyu Zhao

In this paper, we introduce a new generalization of geometric distribution which can also viewed as discrete analogue of weighted exponential distribution introduced by Gupta and Kundu(2009). We study some basic distributional properties…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-02-08 Deepesh Bhati , Savitri Joshi

Graphical Transformation Models (GTMs) are introduced as a novel approach to effectively model multivariate data with intricate marginals and complex dependency structures semiparametrically, while maintaining interpretability through the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-28 Matthias Herp , Johannes Brachem , Michael Altenbuchinger , Thomas Kneib

Joint species distribution models (JSDM) are among the most important statistical tools in community ecology. They are routinely used for inference and various prediction tasks, such as to build species distribution maps or biomass…

Deep generative models (DGM) are neural networks with many hidden layers trained to approximate complicated, high-dimensional probability distributions using a large number of samples. When trained successfully, we can use the DGMs to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-13 Lars Ruthotto , Eldad Haber

We study the Out-of-Distribution (OOD) generalization in machine learning and propose a general framework that establishes information-theoretic generalization bounds. Our framework interpolates freely between Integral Probability Metric…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2024-12-16 Wenliang Liu , Guanding Yu , Lele Wang , Renjie Liao

We propose a new stochastic optimization framework for empirical risk minimization problems such as those that arise in machine learning. The traditional approaches, such as (mini-batch) stochastic gradient descent (SGD), utilize an…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-02-04 Kenji Kawaguchi , Haihao Lu

The generalized lambda distribution (GLD) is a flexible four parameter distribution with many practical applications. L-moments of the GLD can be expressed in closed form and are good alternatives for the central moments. The L-moments of…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-02-07 Juha Karvanen , Arto Nuutinen

Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) are well-established tools for probabilistic exploration of dependence structures using precision matrices. We develop a Bayesian method to incorporate covariate information in this GGMs setup in a nonlinear…

We introduce data structures for solving robust regression through stochastic gradient descent (SGD) by sampling gradients with probability proportional to their norm, i.e., importance sampling. Although SGD is widely used for large scale…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-19 Sepideh Mahabadi , David P. Woodruff , Samson Zhou

In this paper, we introduce a new four-parameter generalized version of the Gompertz model which is called Beta-Gompertz (BG) distribution. It includes some well-known lifetime distributions such as beta-exponential and generalized Gompertz…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-07-04 Ali Akbar Jafari , Saeid Tahmasebi , Morad Alizadeh

The Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD) plays a central role in modelling heavy tail phenomena in many applications. Applying the GPD to actual datasets however is a non-trivial task. One common way suggested in the literature to…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-08-08 Se Yoon Lee , Joseph H. T. Kim