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Multivariate time series forecasting plays a crucial role in various real-world applications. Significant efforts have been made to integrate advanced network architectures and training strategies that enhance the capture of temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-31 Zhiding Liu , Jiqian Yang , Qingyang Mao , Yuze Zhao , Mingyue Cheng , Zhi Li , Qi Liu , Enhong Chen

Explainability in time series models is crucial for fostering trust, facilitating debugging, and ensuring interpretability in real-world applications. In this work, we introduce Implet, a novel post-hoc explainer that generates accurate and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-14 Fanyu Meng , Ziwen Kan , Shahbaz Rezaei , Zhaodan Kong , Xin Chen , Xin Liu

Time-series representation learning is a fundamental task for time-series analysis. While significant progress has been made to achieve accurate representations for downstream applications, the learned representations often lack…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-24 Yuening Li , Zhengzhang Chen , Daochen Zha , Mengnan Du , Denghui Zhang , Haifeng Chen , Xia Hu

Advanced machine learning models have recently achieved high predictive accuracy for weather and climate prediction. However, these complex models often lack inherent transparency and interpretability, acting as "black boxes" that impede…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-03-29 Ruyi Yang , Jingyu Hu , Zihao Li , Jianli Mu , Tingzhao Yu , Jiangjiang Xia , Xuhong Li , Aritra Dasgupta , Haoyi Xiong

Interpretability has arisen as a key desideratum of machine learning models alongside performance. Approaches so far have been primarily concerned with fixed dimensional inputs emphasizing feature relevance or selection. In contrast, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-07-03 Guang-He Lee , David Alvarez-Melis , Tommi S. Jaakkola

In this paper, we propose Dynamic Compressive Transformer (DCT), a transformer-based framework for modeling the unbounded sequence. In contrast to the previous baselines which append every sentence representation to memory, conditionally…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-10-12 Kai-Po Chang , Wei-Yun Ma

In multivariate time series forecasting, the Transformer architecture encounters two significant challenges: effectively mining features from historical sequences and avoiding overfitting during the learning of temporal dependencies. To…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-30 Han Zhou , Yuntian Chen

Regression problems with time-series predictors are common in banking and many other areas of application. In this paper, we use multi-head attention networks to develop interpretable features and use them to achieve good predictive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-26 Tianjie Wang , Jie Chen , Joel Vaughan , Vijayan N. Nair

When predictive models are used to support complex and important decisions, the ability to explain a model's reasoning can increase trust, expose hidden biases, and reduce vulnerability to adversarial attacks. However, attempts at…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-11 Dimitris Bertsimas , Arthur Delarue , Patrick Jaillet , Sebastien Martin

Time series data is a key element of big data analytics, commonly found in domains such as finance, healthcare, climate forecasting, and transportation. In large scale real world settings, such data is often high dimensional and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-14 Younghwi Kim , Dohee Kim , Joongrock Kim , Sunghyun Sim

We introduce a novel modeling approach for time series imputation and forecasting, tailored to address the challenges often encountered in real-world data, such as irregular samples, missing data, or unaligned measurements from multiple…

In many scientific problems such as video surveillance, modern genomics, and finance, data are often collected from diverse measurements across time that exhibit time-dependent heterogeneous properties. Thus, it is important to not only…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-10 Lin Qiu , Vernon M. Chinchilli , Lin Lin

Interpretability of deep neural networks (DNNs) is essential since it enables users to understand the overall strengths and weaknesses of the models, conveys an understanding of how the models will behave in the future, and how to diagnose…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2017-03-31 Yinpeng Dong , Hang Su , Jun Zhu , Bo Zhang

Interpretation and explanation of deep models is critical towards wide adoption of systems that rely on them. In this paper, we propose a novel scheme for both interpretation as well as explanation in which, given a pretrained model, we…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-03-11 Jose Oramas , Kaili Wang , Tinne Tuytelaars

Deep learning (DL) approaches are being increasingly used for time-series forecasting, with many efforts devoted to designing complex DL models. Recent studies have shown that the DL success is often attributed to effective data…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2023-07-28 Jianing Hao , Qing Shi , Yilin Ye , Wei Zeng

Numerous deep learning architectures have been developed to accommodate the diversity of time series datasets across different domains. In this article, we survey common encoder and decoder designs used in both one-step-ahead and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-04-28 Bryan Lim , Stefan Zohren

Forecasting how landslides will evolve over time or whether they will fail is a challenging task due to a variety of factors, both internal and external. Despite their considerable potential to address these challenges, deep learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-19 Zhengjing Ma , Gang Mei

When deploying time series forecasting models based on machine learning to real world settings, one often encounter situations where the data distribution drifts. Such drifts expose the forecasting models to out-of-distribution (OOD) data,…

This paper reviews recent studies in understanding neural-network representations and learning neural networks with interpretable/disentangled middle-layer representations. Although deep neural networks have exhibited superior performance…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-02-08 Quanshi Zhang , Song-Chun Zhu

As time evolves, data within specific domains exhibit predictability that motivates time series forecasting to predict future trends from historical data. However, current deep forecasting methods can achieve promising performance but…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-11 Ziran Liang , Rui An , Wenqi Fan , Yanghui Rao , Yuxuan Liang