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相关论文: From Tables to Time: Extending TabPFN-v2 to Time S…

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Tabular foundation models, particularly Prior-data Fitted Networks like TabPFN have emerged as the leading contender in a myriad of tasks ranging from data imputation to label prediction on the tabular data format surpassing the historical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-10 Mayuka Jayawardhana , Nihal Sharma , Kazem Meidani , Bayan Bruss , Tom Goldstein , Doron Bergman

Tabular datasets are inherently heterogeneous, presenting significant challenges for developing pre-trained foundation models. The recently introduced transformer-based Tabular Prior-data Fitted Network v2 (TabPFN v2) achieves unprecedented…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-12 Han-Jia Ye , Si-Yang Liu , Wei-Lun Chao

The zero-shot capabilities of foundation models (FMs) for time series forecasting offer promising potentials in conformal prediction, as most of the available data can be allocated to calibration. This study compares the performance of Time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-15 Sami Achour , Yassine Bouher , Duong Nguyen , Nicolas Chesneau

The diversity of time series applications and scarcity of domain-specific data highlight the need for time-series models with strong few-shot learning capabilities. In this work, we propose a novel training scheme and a transformer-based…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-25 Ege Onur Taga , M. Emrullah Ildiz , Samet Oymak

Tabular foundation models such as TabPFN have revolutionized predictive machine learning for tabular data. At the same time, the driving factors of this revolution are hard to understand. Existing open-source tabular foundation models are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-19 Alexander Pfefferle , Johannes Hog , Lennart Purucker , Frank Hutter

Tabular data underpins most high-value prediction problems in science and industry, and TabPFN has driven the foundation model revolution for this modality. Designed with feedback from our users, TabPFN-3 builds on this foundation to scale…

Foundation models for tabular data, such as the Tabular Prior-data Fitted Network (TabPFN), are pre-trained on a massive number of synthetic datasets generated by structural causal models (SCM). They leverage in-context learning to offer…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-28 Qinyi Liu , Mohammad Khalil , Naman Goel

Foundation models for time series imputation remain largely unexplored. Recently, two such models, TabPFN-TS and MoTM, have emerged. These models share a common philosophy that places them within the family of time-indexed foundation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-11 Etienne Le Naour , Tahar Nabil , Adrien Petralia , Ghislain Agoua

We present an application of a foundation model for small- to medium-sized tabular data (TabPFN), to sub-national yield forecasting task in South Africa. TabPFN has recently demonstrated superior performance compared to traditional machine…

Foundation models for zero-shot time series forecasting face challenges in efficient long-horizon prediction and reproducibility, with existing synthetic-only approaches underperforming on challenging benchmarks. This paper presents…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-06 Vladyslav Moroshan , Julien Siems , Arber Zela , Timur Carstensen , Frank Hutter

Small Earth data are geoscience observations with limited short-term monitoring variability, providing sparse but meaningful measurements, typically exhibiting spatiotemporal correlations. Spatiotemporal forecasting on such data is crucial…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-13 Yuting Yang , Gang Mei , Zhengjing Ma , Nengxiong Xu , Jianbing Peng

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) offer strong zero-shot forecasting via large-scale pre-training, yet fine-tuning remains critical for boosting performance in domains with limited public data. With the growing number of TSFMs,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-30 Qingren Yao , Ming Jin , Chengqi Zhang , Chao-Han Huck Yang , Jun Qi , Shirui Pan

Hollmann et al. (Nature 637 (2025) 319-326) recently introduced TabPFN, a transformer-based deep learning model for regression and classification on tabular data, which they claim "outperforms all previous methods on datasets with up to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-01 Qiong Zhang , Yan Shuo Tan , Qinglong Tian , Pengfei Li

Financial time series forecasting is central to trading, portfolio optimization, and risk management, yet it remains challenging due to noisy, non-stationary, and heterogeneous data. Recent advances in time series foundation models (TSFMs),…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-11-25 Eghbal Rahimikia , Hao Ni , Weiguan Wang

Foundation models are an emerging research direction in tabular deep learning. Notably, TabPFNv2 recently claimed superior performance over traditional GBDT-based methods on small-scale datasets using an in-context learning paradigm, which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-12 Ivan Rubachev , Akim Kotelnikov , Nikolay Kartashev , Artem Babenko

Foundation models for tabular data, like TabPFN, achieve strong performance on small datasets when pre-trained solely on synthetic data. We show that this performance can be significantly boosted by a targeted continued pre-training phase.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-08 Anurag Garg , Muhammad Ali , Noah Hollmann , Lennart Purucker , Samuel Müller , Frank Hutter

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) have recently emerged as general-purpose forecasting models and show considerable potential for applications in energy systems. However, applications in critical infrastructure like power grids require…

Deep Neural Networks have spearheaded remarkable advancements in time series forecasting (TSF), one of the major tasks in time series modeling. Nonetheless, the non-stationarity of time series undermines the reliability of pre-trained…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-10 HyunGi Kim , Siwon Kim , Jisoo Mok , Sungroh Yoon

Process Model Forecasting (PMF) aims to predict how the control-flow structure of a process evolves over time by modeling the temporal dynamics of directly-follows (DF) relations, complementing predictive process monitoring that focuses on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-09 Yongbo Yu , Jari Peeperkorn , Johannes De Smedt , Jochen De Weerdt

Financial time series forecasting presents significant challenges due to complex nonlinear relationships, temporal dependencies, variable interdependencies and limited data availability, particularly for tasks involving low-frequency data,…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2025-07-11 Ben A. Marconi
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