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Recent research has challenged the necessity of complex deep learning architectures for time series forecasting, demonstrating that simple linear models can often outperform sophisticated approaches. Building upon this insight, we introduce…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-30 Remi Genet , Hugo Inzirillo

Transformer-based models have emerged as promising tools for time series forecasting. However, these model cannot make accurate prediction for long input time series. On the one hand, they failed to capture global dependencies within time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-16 YanJun Zhao , Ziqing Ma , Tian Zhou , Liang Sun , Mengni Ye , Yi Qian

Recently, there has been a surge of Transformer-based solutions for the long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) task. Despite the growing performance over the past few years, we question the validity of this line of research in this work.…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-08-18 Ailing Zeng , Muxi Chen , Lei Zhang , Qiang Xu

The emergence of deep learning has yielded noteworthy advancements in time series forecasting (TSF). Transformer architectures, in particular, have witnessed broad utilization and adoption in TSF tasks. Transformers have proven to be the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-01 Liyilei Su , Xumin Zuo , Rui Li , Xin Wang , Heng Zhao , Bingding Huang

Recently, Transformer-base models have made significant progress in the field of time series prediction which have achieved good results and become baseline models beyond Dlinear. The paper proposes an U-Net time series prediction model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-07 Li Chu , Xiao Bingjia , Yuan Qiping

Time series forecasting is a critical task that provides key information for decision-making. After traditional statistical and machine learning approaches, various fundamental deep learning architectures such as MLPs, CNNs, RNNs, and GNNs…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-02 Jongseon Kim , Hyungjoon Kim , HyunGi Kim , Dongjun Lee , Sungroh Yoon

In recent years, numerous Transformer-based models have been applied to long-term time-series forecasting (LTSF) tasks. However, recent studies with linear models have questioned their effectiveness, demonstrating that simple linear layers…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-20 Jiaheng Yin , Zhengxin Shi , Jianshen Zhang , Xiaomin Lin , Yulin Huang , Yongzhi Qi , Wei Qi

Transformer-based models have recently become dominant in Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF), yet the variations in their architecture, such as encoder-only, encoder-decoder, and decoder-only designs, raise a crucial question: What…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-18 Lefei Shen , Mouxiang Chen , Han Fu , Xiaoxue Ren , Xiaoyun Joy Wang , Jianling Sun , Zhuo Li , Chenghao Liu

Long-term time-series forecasting (LTTF) has become a pressing demand in many applications, such as wind power supply planning. Transformer models have been adopted to deliver high prediction capacity because of the high computational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-06 Yan Li , Xinjiang Lu , Haoyi Xiong , Jian Tang , Jiantao Su , Bo Jin , Dejing Dou

There has been a recent surge of interest in time series modeling using the Transformer architecture. However, forecasting multivariate time series with Transformer presents a unique challenge as it requires modeling both temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-04 Yu-Hsiang Lan , Eric K. Oermann

Following the success of Transformer architectures in language modeling, particularly their ability to capture long-range dependencies, researchers have explored how these architectures can be adapted for time-series forecasting.…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-10-07 Abukar Ali

Time series data are everywhere -- from finance to healthcare -- and each domain brings its own unique complexities and structures. While advanced models like Transformers and graph neural networks (GNNs) have gained popularity in time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-01 Fan-Keng Sun , Yu-Cheng Wu , Duane S. Boning

Within the field of complicated multivariate time series forecasting (TSF), popular techniques frequently rely on intricate deep learning architectures, ranging from transformer-based designs to recurrent neural networks. However, recent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-25 Aiyinsi Zuo , Haixi Zhang , Zirui Li , Ce Zheng

Real-world time-series datasets are often multivariate with complex dynamics. To capture this complexity, high capacity architectures like recurrent- or attention-based sequential deep learning models have become popular. However, recent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-12 Si-An Chen , Chun-Liang Li , Nate Yoder , Sercan O. Arik , Tomas Pfister

Recently, there has been a growing interest in Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF), which involves predicting long-term future values by analyzing a large amount of historical time-series data to identify patterns and trends. There…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-17 Aitian Ma , Dongsheng Luo , Mo Sha

The performance of time series forecasting has recently been greatly improved by the introduction of transformers. In this paper, we propose a general multi-scale framework that can be applied to the state-of-the-art transformer-based time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-08 Amin Shabani , Amir Abdi , Lili Meng , Tristan Sylvain

Time series data is a key element of big data analytics, commonly found in domains such as finance, healthcare, climate forecasting, and transportation. In large scale real world settings, such data is often high dimensional and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-14 Younghwi Kim , Dohee Kim , Joongrock Kim , Sunghyun Sim

Traffic prediction is essential for the progression of Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) and the vision of smart cities. While Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural Networks (STGNNs) have shown promise in this domain by leveraging Graph…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-24 Wenying Duan , Hong Rao , Wei Huang , Xiaoxi He

Time series forecasting (TSF) has long been a crucial task in both industry and daily life. Most classical statistical models may have certain limitations when applied to practical scenarios in fields such as energy, healthcare, traffic,…

The challenge of effectively learning inter-series correlations for multivariate time series forecasting remains a substantial and unresolved problem. Traditional deep learning models, which are largely dependent on the Transformer paradigm…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-29 Wanlin Cai , Kun Wang , Hao Wu , Xiaoxu Chen , Yuankai Wu
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