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Accurate forecasting of industrial time series requires balancing predictive accuracy with physical plausibility under non-stationary operating conditions. Existing data-driven models often achieve strong statistical performance but…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-20 Yeran Zhang , Pengwei Yang , Guoqing Wang , Tianyu Li

With the goal of predicting the future rainfall intensity in a local region over a relatively short period time, precipitation nowcasting has been a long-time scientific challenge with great social and economic impact. The radar echo…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-07 Bi-Ying Yan , Chao Yang , Feng Chen , Kohei Takeda , Changjun Wang

Multivariate time series forecasting is essential in domains such as finance, transportation, climate, and energy. However, existing patch-based methods typically adopt fixed-length segmentation, overlooking the heterogeneity of local…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-06 Kuiye Ding , Fanda Fan , Chunyi Hou , Zheya Wang , Lei Wang , Zhengxin Yang , Jianfeng Zhan

QCAAPatchTF is a quantum attention network integrated with an advanced patch-based transformer, designed for multivariate time series forecasting, classification, and anomaly detection. Leveraging quantum superpositions, entanglement, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-02 Sanjay Chakraborty , Fredrik Heintz

Time Series Forecasting plays a crucial role in various fields such as industrial equipment maintenance, meteorology, energy consumption, traffic flow and financial investment. However, despite their considerable advantages over traditional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-02 Ruiqi Li , Maowei Jiang , Kai Wang , Kaiduo Feng , Quangao Liu , Yue Sun , Xiufang Zhou

Accurate electricity demand forecasting is challenging due to the strong multi-periodicity of real-world demand series, which makes effective modeling of recurrent temporal patterns crucial. Decomposition techniques make such structure…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-03 Weibin Feng , Ran Tao , John Cartlidge , Jin Zheng

Periodicity is a fundamental characteristic of time series data and has long played a central role in forecasting. Recent deep learning methods strengthen the exploitation of periodicity by treating patches as basic tokens, thereby…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-07 Yiming Niu , Jinliang Deng , Yongxin Tong

Stream networks, a unique class of spatiotemporal graphs, exhibit complex directional flow constraints and evolving dependencies, making uncertainty quantification a critical yet challenging task. Traditional conformal prediction methods…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-11 Jifan Zhang , Fangxin Wang , Zihe Song , Philip S. Yu , Kaize Ding , Shixiang Zhu

The estimation of time-varying quantities is a fundamental component of decision making in fields such as healthcare and finance. However, the practical utility of such estimates is limited by how accurately they quantify predictive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-29 Alexandre Drouin , Étienne Marcotte , Nicolas Chapados

Self-supervised learning has garnered increasing attention in time series analysis for benefiting various downstream tasks and reducing reliance on labeled data. Despite its effectiveness, existing methods often struggle to comprehensively…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-12 Daoyu Wang , Mingyue Cheng , Zhiding Liu , Qi Liu

Multivariate time series prediction has applications in a wide variety of domains and is considered to be a very challenging task, especially when the variables have correlations and exhibit complex temporal patterns, such as seasonality…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-07 Yuya Jeremy Ong , Mu Qiao , Divyesh Jadav

In an era of escalating climate change, urban flooding has emerged as a critical challenge for sustainable cities, threatening lives, infrastructure, and ecosystems. Traditional flood detection methods are constrained by their reliance on…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-09-11 Shahid Shafi Dar , Bharat Kaurav , Arnav Jain , Chandravardhan Singh Raghaw , Mohammad Zia Ur Rehman , Nagendra Kumar

We present a framework for modeling multi-scale processes, and study its performance in the context of streamflow forecasting in hydrology. Specifically, we propose a novel hierarchical recurrent neural architecture that factorizes the…

The increasing frequency of extreme weather events due to global climate change urges accurate weather prediction. Recently, great advances have been made by the \textbf{end-to-end methods}, thanks to deep learning techniques, but they face…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-24 Shaohan Li , Hao Yang , Min Chen , Xiaolin Qin

Traffic predictions play a crucial role in intelligent transportation systems. The rapid development of IoT devices allows us to collect different kinds of data with high correlations to traffic predictions, fostering the development of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-09 Huy Quang Ung , Hao Niu , Minh-Son Dao , Shinya Wada , Atsunori Minamikawa

The proliferation of mobile devices generates a massive volume of time series across various domains, where effective time series forecasting enables a variety of real-world applications. This study focuses on a new problem of source-free…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-03 Kangjia Yan , Chenxi Liu , Hao Miao , Xinle Wu , Yan Zhao , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang

Transformer has achieved great success in computer vision, while how to split patches in an image remains a problem. Existing methods usually use a fixed-size patch embedding which might destroy the semantics of objects. To address this…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-08-02 Zhiyang Chen , Yousong Zhu , Chaoyang Zhao , Guosheng Hu , Wei Zeng , Jinqiao Wang , Ming Tang

Climate change is increasing the occurrence of extreme precipitation events, threatening infrastructure, agriculture, and public safety. Ensemble prediction systems provide probabilistic forecasts but exhibit biases and difficulties in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-09 Christopher Bülte , Sohir Maskey , Philipp Scholl , Jonas von Berg , Gitta Kutyniok

In recent years, transformer-based models have gained prominence in multivariate long-term time series forecasting (LTSF), demonstrating significant advancements despite facing challenges such as high computational demands, difficulty in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-13 Musleh Alharthi , Ausif Mahmood

Periodic time series (PTS) forecasting plays a crucial role in a variety of industries to foster critical tasks, such as early warning, pre-planning, resource scheduling, etc. However, the complicated dependencies of the PTS signal on its…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-16 Wei Fan , Shun Zheng , Xiaohan Yi , Wei Cao , Yanjie Fu , Jiang Bian , Tie-Yan Liu