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相关论文: Breaking the Context Bottleneck on Long Time Serie…

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Time series forecasting remains a challenging task, particularly in the context of complex multiscale temporal patterns. This study presents LLM-Mixer, a framework that improves forecasting accuracy through the combination of multiscale…

Generating forecasts for time series with multiple seasonal cycles is an important use-case for many industries nowadays. Accounting for the multi-seasonal patterns becomes necessary to generate more accurate and meaningful forecasts in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-04-28 Kasun Bandara , Christoph Bergmeir , Hansika Hewamalage

Short fixed-length inputs are the main bottleneck of deep learning methods in long time-series forecasting tasks. Prolonging input length causes overfitting, rapidly deteriorating accuracy. Our research indicates that the overfitting is a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-05 Chao Ma , Yikai Hou , Xiang Li , Yinggang Sun , Haining Yu

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) represents a critical frontier in time series analysis, characterized by extensive input sequences, as opposed to the shorter spans typical of traditional approaches. While longer sequences…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-17 Jinliang Deng , Feiyang Ye , Du Yin , Xuan Song , Ivor W. Tsang , Hui Xiong

Enlarging the context window of large language models (LLMs) has become a crucial research area, particularly for applications involving extremely long texts. In this work, we propose a novel training-free framework for processing long…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-10-15 Zihan Zhou , Chong Li , Xinyi Chen , Shuo Wang , Yu Chao , Zhili Li , Haoyu Wang , Rongqiao An , Qi Shi , Zhixing Tan , Xu Han , Xiaodong Shi , Zhiyuan Liu , Maosong Sun

The adaptation of large language models (LLMs) to time series forecasting poses unique challenges, as time series data is continuous in nature, while LLMs operate on discrete tokens. Despite the success of LLMs in natural language…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-08-05 Taibiao Zhao , Xiaobing Chen , Mingxuan Sun

Accurate forecasting of long-term time series has important applications for decision making and planning. However, it remains challenging to capture the long-term dependencies in time series data. To better extract long-term dependencies,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-15 Feifei Li , Suhan Guo , Feng Han , Jian Zhao , Furao Shen

Predicting multivariate time series is crucial, demanding precise modeling of intricate patterns, including inter-series dependencies and intra-series variations. Distinctive trend characteristics in each time series pose challenges, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-08 Guoqi Yu , Jing Zou , Xiaowei Hu , Angelica I. Aviles-Rivero , Jing Qin , Shujun Wang

Time series forecasting aims to model temporal dependencies among variables for future state inference, holding significant importance and widespread applications in real-world scenarios. Although deep learning-based methods have achieved…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-21 Zesen Wang , Lijuan Lan , Yonggang Li

Time series forecasting is widely used in extensive applications, such as traffic planning and weather forecasting. However, real-world time series usually present intricate temporal variations, making forecasting extremely challenging.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-24 Shiyu Wang , Haixu Wu , Xiaoming Shi , Tengge Hu , Huakun Luo , Lintao Ma , James Y. Zhang , Jun Zhou

Pre-trained Large Language Models (LLMs) encapsulate large amounts of knowledge and take enormous amounts of compute to train. We make use of this resource, together with the observation that LLMs are able to transfer knowledge and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-14 Malcolm L. Wolff , Shenghao Yang , Kari Torkkola , Michael W. Mahoney

Long-context reasoning is essential for complex real-world applications, yet remains a significant challenge for Large Language Models (LLMs). Despite the rapid evolution in long-context reasoning, current research often overlooks the…

Spatio-temporal forecasting plays a crucial role in various sectors such as transportation systems, logistics, and supply chain management. However, existing methods are limited by their ability to handle large, complex datasets. To…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-27 Sakhinana Sagar Srinivas , Chidaksh Ravuru , Geethan Sannidhi , Venkataramana Runkana

Multivariate time-series forecasting is vital in various domains, e.g., economic planning and weather prediction. Deep train-from-scratch models have exhibited effective performance yet require large amounts of data, which limits real-world…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-21 Ching Chang , Wei-Yao Wang , Wen-Chih Peng , Tien-Fu Chen

Transformer-based and MLP-based methods have emerged as leading approaches in time series forecasting (TSF). While Transformer-based methods excel in capturing long-range dependencies, they suffer from high computational complexities and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-16 Yifan Hu , Peiyuan Liu , Peng Zhu , Dawei Cheng , Tao Dai

Recent advances in Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated new possibilities for accurate and efficient time series analysis, but prior work often required heavy fine-tuning and/or ignored inter-series correlations. In this work, we…

As Large Language Models (LLMs) can now process extremely long contexts, efficient inference over these extended inputs has become increasingly important, especially for emerging applications like LLM agents that highly depend on this…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-04-09 Penghui Yang , Cunxiao Du , Fengzhuo Zhang , Haonan Wang , Tianyu Pang , Chao Du , Bo An

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) offers broad utility in practical settings like energy consumption and weather prediction. Accurately predicting long-term changes, however, is demanding due to the intricate temporal patterns and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-19 Boshi Gao , Qingjian Ni , Fanbo Ju , Yu Chen , Ziqi Zhao

Time series forecasting is prevalent in various real-world applications. Despite the promising results of deep learning models in time series forecasting, especially the Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs), the explanations of time series…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-29 Chaoqun Wang , Yijun Li , Xiangqian Sun , Qi Wu , Dongdong Wang , Zhixiang Huang

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) is a challenging task that has been investigated in various domains such as finance investment, health care, traffic, and weather forecasting. In recent years, Linear-based LTSF models showed better…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-13 Seonkyu Lim , Jaehyeon Park , Seojin Kim , Hyowon Wi , Haksoo Lim , Jinsung Jeon , Jeongwhan Choi , Noseong Park
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